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STL
@
2:10p
HOU
Park Factor
1.11×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
cool air · steady wind out · retractable roof
Combined
1.218
Temp
59.4°F
Wind
10.5 mph
out
Roof
retractable
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Yordan Alvarez | 97 | 🥇 S | · | · | 4 | 0.447 | 93.0 | 19.2% | 28.1% | 392 | 66.7% | 80.0% | 38.8% | 43 |
| 2 |
|
Cam Smith | 74 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 26 | 0.189 | 90.7 | 17.0% | 21.4% | 403 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 15.3% | 37 |
| 3 |
|
Christian Walker | 72 | 🟡 B | · | ❄ COLD | 32 | 0.237 | 90.5 | 15.1% | 23.5% | 393 | 15.0% | 16.7% | 33.6% | 36 |
| 4 |
|
Jose Altuve | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 76 | 0.190 | 84.7 | 7.7% | 30.0% | 376 | 10.5% | 9.1% | 16.2% | 38 |
| 5 |
|
Carlos Correa | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 89 | 0.111 | 91.2 | 10.0% | 11.1% | 402 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.4% | 30 |
| 6 |
|
Yainer Diaz | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 141 | 0.068 | 86.8 | 2.3% | 14.3% | 372 | 5.6% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 28 |
| 7 |
|
Isaac Paredes | 30 | ⚪ D | · | · | 192 | 0.068 | 88.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 28 |
| 8 |
|
Taylor Trammell | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 218 | 0.029 | 83.8 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.7% | 16 |
| 9 |
|
Shay Whitcomb | 19 | ⚪ D | · | · | 239 | · | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.6% | 2 |
Mike Burrows
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jordan Walker | 92 | 🔥 A+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 5 | 0.350 | 95.8 | 24.4% | 42.1% | 413 | 28.6% | 20.0% | 43.7% | 32 |
| 2 |
|
Alec Burleson | 66 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 46 | 0.182 | 92.8 | 12.1% | 14.3% | 431 | 16.7% | 18.2% | 14.0% | 42 |
| 3 |
|
JJ Wetherholt | 46 | ⚪ D | · | · | 107 | 0.139 | 89.8 | 7.7% | 16.7% | 396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.8% | 0 |
| 4 |
|
Nolan Gorman | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 109 | 0.143 | 87.0 | 6.3% | 17.6% | 431 | 12.5% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 26 |
| 5 |
|
Iván Herrera | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 111 | 0.129 | 90.0 | 5.9% | 22.2% | 401 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.8% | 34 |
| 6 |
|
Masyn Winn | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 113 | 0.103 | 87.4 | 2.9% | 11.1% | · | 5.9% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 21 |
| 7 |
|
Pedro Pagés | 39 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 145 | 0.131 | 88.2 | 4.2% | 11.1% | 418 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 9.7% | 21 |
| 8 |
|
Nathan Church | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 154 | 0.087 | 84.4 | 8.0% | 16.7% | 378 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.4% | 18 |
| 9 |
|
Victor Scott II | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 224 | 0.020 | 87.1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.3% | 22 |