⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
SF
@ 3:40p
AZ
Chase Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.86×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
warm air · light crosswind · retractable roof
Combined
0.862
Temp
72.4°F
Wind
4.8 mph
cross
Roof
retractable
Tyler Mahle
Tyler Mahle RHP 💥 Meltdown
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ryan Waldschmidt Ryan Waldschmidt 69 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 26 0.295 85.4 16.0% 16.7% · 0.0% 0.0% 33.0% 21
2 Ketel Marte Ketel Marte 41 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 123 0.152 91.9 10.3% 20.8% 408 6.7% 8.3% 8.5% 43
3 Ildemaro Vargas Ildemaro Vargas 41 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 124 0.230 87.2 4.1% 17.6% 399 12.5% 7.7% 12.3% 50
4 Jorge Barrosa Jorge Barrosa 39 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 137 0.180 85.9 7.4% 11.1% 351 3.6% 0.0% 10.8% 5
5 Adrian Del Castillo Adrian Del Castillo 39 ⚪ D · · 140 0.151 88.6 7.9% 16.7% 403 10.0% 0.0% 7.9% 17
6 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 30 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 202 0.045 87.3 5.9% 10.0% 379 25.0% 33.3% 9.7% 32
7 Geraldo Perdomo Geraldo Perdomo 27 ⚪ D · · 209 0.135 87.6 3.0% 5.3% 382 3.1% 0.0% 5.6% 40
8 Tim Tawa Tim Tawa 24 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 227 0.109 87.7 2.4% 16.7% 363 0.0% 0.0% 12.9% 5
9 Jose Fernandez Jose Fernandez 21 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 237 0.111 88.3 4.3% 33.3% 409 0.0% 0.0% 12.2% 22
Merrill Kelly
Merrill Kelly RHP 💥 Meltdown
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Casey Schmitt Casey Schmitt 57 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 50 0.215 90.0 14.2% 21.9% 388 14.0% 7.7% 17.7% 32
2 Rafael Devers Rafael Devers 50 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 86 0.148 90.5 7.8% 15.4% 404 12.1% 30.8% 16.4% 33
3 Willy Adames Willy Adames 44 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 110 0.123 88.7 8.9% 12.5% 375 9.1% 15.4% 7.2% 40
4 Daniel Susac Daniel Susac 39 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 136 0.175 88.7 7.1% 16.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 10.2% 8
5 Matt Chapman Matt Chapman 26 ⚪ D · · 213 0.082 87.2 5.3% 9.1% 349 2.3% 0.0% 6.7% 32
6 Will Brennan Will Brennan 25 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 223 0.149 84.5 · 7.4% · 0.0% 0.0% 10.5% 6
7 Luis Arraez Luis Arraez 24 ⚪ D · · 229 0.070 87.1 · 3.0% 345 4.4% 15.4% 6.0% 48
8 Bryce Eldridge Bryce Eldridge 22 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 235 0.045 91.1 · 0.0% 364 0.0% 0.0% 11.4% 13
9 Drew Gilbert Drew Gilbert 18 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 245 0.100 83.2 3.0% 25.0% 380 0.0% 0.0% 9.1% 23
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