SEA
@
8:15p
STL
Park Factor
0.99×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
cool air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
0.989
Temp
64.7°F
Wind
6.9 mph
out
Roof
open
Andre Pallante
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Luke Raley | 88 | 🟢 A | · | · | 8 | 0.284 | 94.0 | 22.7% | 38.5% | 392 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 32.5% | 23 |
| 2 |
|
Dominic Canzone | 71 | 🟡 B | · | · | 39 | 0.263 | 95.0 | 17.8% | 16.7% | 409 | 5.9% | 0.0% | 15.8% | 22 |
| 3 |
|
Cal Raleigh | 67 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 51 | 0.183 | 86.1 | 12.7% | 14.3% | 387 | 21.7% | 36.4% | 19.3% | 40 |
| 4 | J.P. Crawford | 42 | ⚪ D | · | · | 138 | 0.096 | 88.9 | 10.6% | 10.0% | 369 | 4.5% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 35 | |
| 5 |
|
Randy Arozarena | 42 | ⚪ D | · | · | 139 | 0.134 | 89.4 | 8.0% | 15.4% | 387 | 4.3% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 38 |
| 6 |
|
Cole Young | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 159 | 0.106 | 87.3 | 5.7% | 11.8% | 381 | 8.7% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 36 |
| 7 |
|
Josh Naylor | 35 | ⚪ D | · | · | 174 | 0.115 | 87.1 | 6.4% | 18.8% | 405 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.6% | 36 |
| 8 |
|
Julio Rodríguez | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 177 | 0.059 | 87.8 | 5.3% | 6.7% | 426 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 38 |
| 9 |
|
Leo Rivas | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 214 | 0.047 | 86.4 | 2.4% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.5% | 20 |
George Kirby
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jordan Walker | 81 | 🟢 A | · | 🌧️ COOL | 18 | 0.301 | 94.8 | 21.7% | 38.1% | 413 | 20.0% | 12.5% | 33.3% | 27 |
| 2 |
|
Alec Burleson | 52 | 🟠 C | · | · | 96 | 0.161 | 92.0 | 11.3% | 13.0% | 423 | 14.3% | 20.0% | 10.9% | 35 |
| 3 |
|
Iván Herrera | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 102 | 0.145 | 90.1 | 9.3% | 18.8% | 391 | 14.3% | 20.0% | 14.7% | 38 |
| 4 |
|
Ramón Urías | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 130 | 0.192 | 91.2 | 10.8% | 18.2% | 412 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.9% | 21 |
| 5 |
|
Nolan Gorman | 36 | ⚪ D | · | · | 170 | 0.136 | 88.1 | 5.3% | 15.0% | 405 | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 30 |
| 6 |
|
Masyn Winn | 32 | ⚪ D | · | · | 190 | 0.135 | 85.9 | 3.5% | 10.0% | 373 | 5.0% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 26 |
| 7 |
|
JJ Wetherholt | 31 | ⚪ D | · | · | 193 | 0.121 | 88.0 | 5.7% | 13.0% | 396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.6% | 0 |
| 8 |
|
José Fermín | 29 | ⚪ D | · | · | 206 | 0.148 | 86.2 | 0.0% | 16.7% | 370 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.6% | 17 |
| 9 |
|
Nathan Church | 29 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 207 | 0.119 | 84.8 | 4.7% | 25.0% | 374 | 12.5% | 14.3% | 8.5% | 22 |