⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
SEA
@ 8:15p
STL
Busch Stadium · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.99×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
cool air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
0.989
Temp
64.7°F
Wind
6.9 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Luke Raley Luke Raley 88 🟢 A · · 8 0.284 94.0 22.7% 38.5% 392 25.0% 25.0% 32.5% 23
2 Dominic Canzone Dominic Canzone 71 🟡 B · · 39 0.263 95.0 17.8% 16.7% 409 5.9% 0.0% 15.8% 22
3 Cal Raleigh Cal Raleigh 67 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 51 0.183 86.1 12.7% 14.3% 387 21.7% 36.4% 19.3% 40
4 J.P. Crawford 42 ⚪ D · · 138 0.096 88.9 10.6% 10.0% 369 4.5% 10.0% 7.7% 35
5 Randy Arozarena Randy Arozarena 42 ⚪ D · · 139 0.134 89.4 8.0% 15.4% 387 4.3% 9.1% 8.4% 38
6 Cole Young Cole Young 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 159 0.106 87.3 5.7% 11.8% 381 8.7% 0.0% 7.8% 36
7 Josh Naylor Josh Naylor 35 ⚪ D · · 174 0.115 87.1 6.4% 18.8% 405 0.0% 0.0% 14.6% 36
8 Julio Rodríguez Julio Rodríguez 34 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 177 0.059 87.8 5.3% 6.7% 426 0.0% 0.0% 7.2% 38
9 Leo Rivas Leo Rivas 28 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 214 0.047 86.4 2.4% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.5% 20
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jordan Walker Jordan Walker 81 🟢 A · 🌧️ COOL 18 0.301 94.8 21.7% 38.1% 413 20.0% 12.5% 33.3% 27
2 Alec Burleson Alec Burleson 52 🟠 C · · 96 0.161 92.0 11.3% 13.0% 423 14.3% 20.0% 10.9% 35
3 Iván Herrera Iván Herrera 51 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 102 0.145 90.1 9.3% 18.8% 391 14.3% 20.0% 14.7% 38
4 Ramón Urías Ramón Urías 44 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 130 0.192 91.2 10.8% 18.2% 412 0.0% 0.0% 11.9% 21
5 Nolan Gorman Nolan Gorman 36 ⚪ D · · 170 0.136 88.1 5.3% 15.0% 405 10.0% 10.0% 8.2% 30
6 Masyn Winn Masyn Winn 32 ⚪ D · · 190 0.135 85.9 3.5% 10.0% 373 5.0% 11.1% 7.7% 26
7 JJ Wetherholt JJ Wetherholt 31 ⚪ D · · 193 0.121 88.0 5.7% 13.0% 396 0.0% 0.0% 9.6% 0
8 José Fermín José Fermín 29 ⚪ D · · 206 0.148 86.2 0.0% 16.7% 370 0.0% 0.0% 10.6% 17
9 Nathan Church Nathan Church 29 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 207 0.119 84.8 4.7% 25.0% 374 12.5% 14.3% 8.5% 22
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