SEA
@
7:40p
MIN
Park Factor
0.84×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
cold air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
0.929
Temp
41.4°F
Wind
13.8 mph
out
Roof
open
Joe Ryan
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Luke Raley | 76 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 21 | 0.269 | 94.0 | 22.7% | 38.5% | 392 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 32.6% | 17 |
| 2 |
|
Cal Raleigh | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 49 | 0.214 | 86.1 | 12.7% | 12.9% | 387 | 25.9% | 38.5% | 21.8% | 38 |
| 3 |
|
Brendan Donovan | 35 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 153 | 0.214 | 83.8 | 4.4% | 30.0% | 348 | 9.5% | 0.0% | 15.0% | 9 |
| 4 |
|
Cole Young | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 162 | 0.134 | 87.3 | 5.7% | 10.5% | 381 | 11.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 37 |
| 5 |
|
Randy Arozarena | 30 | ⚪ D | · | · | 175 | 0.130 | 89.4 | 8.0% | 15.4% | 387 | 3.7% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 36 |
| 6 | J.P. Crawford | 29 | ⚪ D | · | · | 180 | 0.082 | 88.9 | 10.6% | 0.0% | 369 | 3.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 37 | |
| 7 |
|
Julio Rodríguez | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 182 | 0.078 | 87.8 | 5.3% | 0.0% | 426 | 8.3% | 8.3% | 3.4% | 39 |
| 8 |
|
Josh Naylor | 27 | ⚪ D | · | · | 192 | 0.106 | 87.1 | 6.4% | 20.0% | 405 | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 33 |
| 9 |
|
Leo Rivas | 17 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 212 | 0.042 | 86.4 | 2.4% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 25 |
Logan Gilbert
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Byron Buxton | 66 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 38 | 0.221 | 88.3 | 15.7% | 26.3% | 408 | 20.0% | 40.0% | 20.6% | 33 |
| 2 |
|
Ryan Jeffers | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 95 | 0.183 | 92.0 | 14.9% | 27.3% | 394 | 13.0% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 25 |
| 3 |
|
Brooks Lee | 41 | ⚪ D | · | · | 121 | 0.187 | 89.6 | 4.8% | 22.2% | 371 | 20.0% | 27.3% | 18.1% | 37 |
| 4 |
|
Trevor Larnach | 29 | ⚪ D | · | · | 181 | 0.138 | 87.2 | 7.7% | 11.1% | 398 | 4.3% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 22 |
| 5 |
|
Matt Wallner | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 185 | 0.118 | 89.7 | 8.7% | 30.0% | 413 | 12.5% | 0.0% | 7.9% | 22 |
| 6 |
|
Josh Bell | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 189 | 0.143 | 88.3 | 8.6% | 15.4% | 392 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 39 |
| 7 |
|
Austin Martin | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 197 | 0.128 | 85.8 | 4.8% | 11.1% | 406 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 16 |
| 8 |
|
Luke Keaschall | 14 | ⚪ D | · | · | 220 | 0.064 | 85.2 | 3.5% | 13.3% | 367 | 4.0% | 0.0% | 5.9% | 38 |
| 9 |
|
Victor Caratini | 10 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 223 | 0.056 | 88.1 | 4.9% | 16.7% | 423 | 4.2% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 20 |