⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
SEA
@ 7:40p
MIN
Target Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.84×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
cold air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
0.929
Temp
41.4°F
Wind
13.8 mph
out
Roof
open
Joe Ryan
Joe Ryan RHP
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Luke Raley Luke Raley 76 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 21 0.269 94.0 22.7% 38.5% 392 16.7% 16.7% 32.6% 17
2 Cal Raleigh Cal Raleigh 61 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 49 0.214 86.1 12.7% 12.9% 387 25.9% 38.5% 21.8% 38
3 Brendan Donovan Brendan Donovan 35 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 153 0.214 83.8 4.4% 30.0% 348 9.5% 0.0% 15.0% 9
4 Cole Young Cole Young 33 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 162 0.134 87.3 5.7% 10.5% 381 11.1% 7.7% 7.8% 37
5 Randy Arozarena Randy Arozarena 30 ⚪ D · · 175 0.130 89.4 8.0% 15.4% 387 3.7% 7.7% 4.5% 36
6 J.P. Crawford 29 ⚪ D · · 180 0.082 88.9 10.6% 0.0% 369 3.8% 8.3% 6.6% 37
7 Julio Rodríguez Julio Rodríguez 29 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 182 0.078 87.8 5.3% 0.0% 426 8.3% 8.3% 3.4% 39
8 Josh Naylor Josh Naylor 27 ⚪ D · · 192 0.106 87.1 6.4% 20.0% 405 9.1% 9.1% 8.8% 33
9 Leo Rivas Leo Rivas 17 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 212 0.042 86.4 2.4% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.4% 25
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Byron Buxton Byron Buxton 66 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 38 0.221 88.3 15.7% 26.3% 408 20.0% 40.0% 20.6% 33
2 Ryan Jeffers Ryan Jeffers 47 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 95 0.183 92.0 14.9% 27.3% 394 13.0% 11.1% 9.9% 25
3 Brooks Lee Brooks Lee 41 ⚪ D · · 121 0.187 89.6 4.8% 22.2% 371 20.0% 27.3% 18.1% 37
4 Trevor Larnach Trevor Larnach 29 ⚪ D · · 181 0.138 87.2 7.7% 11.1% 398 4.3% 0.0% 7.0% 22
5 Matt Wallner Matt Wallner 28 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 185 0.118 89.7 8.7% 30.0% 413 12.5% 0.0% 7.9% 22
6 Josh Bell Josh Bell 27 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 189 0.143 88.3 8.6% 15.4% 392 0.0% 0.0% 7.7% 39
7 Austin Martin Austin Martin 25 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 197 0.128 85.8 4.8% 11.1% 406 0.0% 0.0% 7.2% 16
8 Luke Keaschall Luke Keaschall 14 ⚪ D · · 220 0.064 85.2 3.5% 13.3% 367 4.0% 0.0% 5.9% 38
9 Victor Caratini Victor Caratini 10 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 223 0.056 88.1 4.9% 16.7% 423 4.2% 0.0% 7.0% 20
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