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SEA
@
8:10p
HOU
Park Factor
1.14×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
warm air · light wind in · retractable roof
Combined
1.257
Temp
80.3°F
Wind
2.0 mph
in
Roof
retractable
Bryce Miller
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Yordan Alvarez | 61 | 🔵 C+ | +245 | 🌤️ WARM | 5 | 0.381 | 94.4 | · | 21.9% | 394 | 30.8% | 16.7% | 25.9% | 29 |
| 2 |
|
Christian Walker | 57 | 🟠 C | +330 | 🌤️ WARM | 11 | 0.280 | 91.2 | · | 34.8% | 397 | 20.0% | 16.7% | 16.5% | 37 |
| 3 |
|
Brice Matthews | 41 | ⚪ D | +475 | 🌧️ COOL | 63 | 0.208 | 88.5 | · | 18.2% | 398 | 14.3% | 16.7% | 12.4% | 32 |
| 4 |
|
Isaac Paredes | 33 | ⚪ D | +475 | 🌤️ WARM | 107 | 0.145 | 87.5 | · | 13.0% | 374 | 5.0% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 39 |
| 5 |
|
Jose Altuve | 30 | ⚪ D | +475 | · | 126 | 0.146 | 85.9 | · | 18.8% | 378 | 5.3% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 36 |
| 6 |
|
Cam Smith | 30 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌧️ COOL | 131 | 0.138 | 88.2 | · | 17.6% | 406 | 10.3% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 27 |
| 7 |
|
Carlos Correa | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 172 | 0.129 | 89.2 | · | 0.0% | 384 | 3.8% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 15 |
| 8 |
|
Yainer Diaz | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 175 | 0.120 | 87.8 | · | 11.8% | 380 | 5.4% | 0.0% | 5.9% | 16 |
| 9 |
|
Joey Loperfido | 20 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 208 | 0.086 | 90.0 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.7% | 19 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Luke Raley | 55 | 🟠 C | +400 | 🌧️ COOL | 13 | 0.244 | 93.4 | · | 40.0% | 387 | 16.0% | 16.7% | 43.8% | 13 |
| 2 |
|
Cal Raleigh | 50 | 🟠 C | +280 | 🌤️ WARM | 22 | 0.200 | 87.4 | · | 15.0% | 390 | 17.5% | 0.0% | 16.7% | 21 |
| 3 |
|
Dominic Canzone | 49 | ⚪ D | +475 | 🌧️ COOL | 24 | 0.238 | 93.5 | · | 22.7% | 402 | 6.9% | 10.0% | 27.5% | 16 |
| 4 |
|
Julio Rodríguez | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 34 | 0.095 | 89.4 | · | 11.8% | 416 | 20.0% | 33.3% | 15.5% | 36 |
| 5 |
|
Randy Arozarena ⚡ | 45 | ⚪ D | +500 | 🌤️ WARM | 39 | 0.150 | 91.1 | · | 18.8% | 375 | 7.5% | 16.7% | 15.7% | 30 |
| 6 |
|
Cole Young | 39 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌤️ WARM | 66 | 0.134 | 88.4 | · | 7.7% | 395 | 7.5% | 0.0% | 9.5% | 30 |
| 7 |
|
Josh Naylor ⚡ | 38 | ⚪ D | +425 | · | 78 | 0.124 | 88.1 | · | 21.7% | 402 | 12.5% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 42 |
| 8 | J.P. Crawford | 37 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌧️ COOL | 86 | 0.113 | 88.4 | · | 21.4% | 374 | 10.3% | 25.0% | 19.5% | 36 | |
| 9 |
|
Leo Rivas | 17 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 222 | 0.040 | 86.2 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.4% | 12 |