SEA
@
9:40p
ATH
Park Factor
1.25×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
Unknown stadium
Combined
1.250
Aaron Civale
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Luke Raley | 78 | 🟡 B | +370 | 🌧️ COOL | 4 | 0.282 | 91.7 | 13.3% | 38.5% | 382 | 16.7% | 15.4% | 37.3% | 26 |
| 2 |
|
Julio Rodríguez | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 39 | 0.172 | 89.9 | 8.1% | 11.5% | 413 | 19.4% | 23.1% | 17.7% | 44 |
| 3 |
|
Randy Arozarena | 58 | 🟠 C | +390 | 🌤️ WARM | 45 | 0.168 | 91.1 | 7.6% | 17.4% | 379 | 7.8% | 15.4% | 16.2% | 34 |
| 4 |
|
Dominic Canzone | 56 | 🟠 C | +390 | ❄ COLD | 52 | 0.210 | 92.8 | 10.8% | 21.7% | 402 | 5.0% | 7.7% | 17.5% | 25 |
| 5 |
|
Cal Raleigh | 56 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 57 | 0.157 | 87.5 | 10.1% | 14.6% | 390 | 15.6% | 0.0% | 11.9% | 8 |
| 6 |
|
J. P. Crawford | 47 | ⚪ D | · | · | 89 | 0.145 | 88.2 | 8.1% | 27.8% | 376 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.1% | 37 |
| 7 |
|
Cole Young | 43 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🌧️ COOL | 115 | 0.138 | 88.2 | 7.2% | 6.9% | 395 | 5.9% | 0.0% | 9.3% | 37 |
| 8 |
|
Josh Naylor | 41 | ⚪ D | +370 | 🌧️ COOL | 129 | 0.107 | 87.7 | 7.1% | 15.6% | 402 | 8.6% | 0.0% | 10.1% | 40 |
| 9 |
|
Leo Rivas | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 196 | 0.038 | 86.2 | 3.5% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.6% | 5 |
Luis Castillo
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Nick Kurtz | 73 | 🟡 B | +220 | · | 9 | 0.196 | 94.7 | 13.7% | 38.9% | 411 | 16.7% | 25.0% | 33.2% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Zack Gelof | 73 | 🟡 B | +500 | 🌤️ WARM | 10 | 0.209 | 90.6 | 10.3% | 31.2% | 396 | 40.0% | 33.3% | 30.5% | 40 |
| 3 |
|
Shea Langeliers | 71 | 🟡 B | +290 | 🌧️ COOL | 13 | 0.260 | 91.8 | 12.9% | 26.5% | 415 | 19.1% | 9.1% | 22.5% | 38 |
| 4 |
|
Brent Rooker | 67 | 🔵 C+ | +320 | · | 20 | 0.189 | 89.9 | 12.9% | 24.1% | 388 | 16.2% | 18.2% | 21.4% | 32 |
| 5 |
|
Carlos Cortes | 53 | 🟠 C | +425 | 🌧️ COOL | 65 | 0.177 | 90.9 | 10.2% | 21.7% | 393 | 6.2% | 8.3% | 15.0% | 25 |
| 6 |
|
Tyler Soderstrom | 51 | 🟠 C | +330 | ❄ COLD | 77 | 0.183 | 90.0 | 11.1% | 13.5% | 393 | 8.5% | 0.0% | 14.0% | 38 |
| 7 |
|
Jacob Wilson | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 90 | 0.101 | 84.3 | 4.9% | 14.3% | 368 | 4.5% | 0.0% | 17.6% | 30 |
| 8 |
|
Jeff McNeil | 43 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🔥 HOT | 111 | 0.092 | 86.4 | 4.0% | 10.0% | 380 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.5% | 33 |
| 9 |
|
Lawrence Butler | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 135 | 0.104 | 90.4 | 8.6% | 22.2% | 378 | 2.3% | 0.0% | 11.2% | 13 |