⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
SEA
@ 9:40p
ATH
Sutter Health Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.25×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
Unknown stadium
Combined
1.250
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Luke Raley Luke Raley 78 🟡 B +370 🌧️ COOL 4 0.282 91.7 13.3% 38.5% 382 16.7% 15.4% 37.3% 26
2 Julio Rodríguez Julio Rodríguez 61 🔵 C+ · · 39 0.172 89.9 8.1% 11.5% 413 19.4% 23.1% 17.7% 44
3 Randy Arozarena Randy Arozarena 58 🟠 C +390 🌤️ WARM 45 0.168 91.1 7.6% 17.4% 379 7.8% 15.4% 16.2% 34
4 Dominic Canzone Dominic Canzone 56 🟠 C +390 ❄ COLD 52 0.210 92.8 10.8% 21.7% 402 5.0% 7.7% 17.5% 25
5 Cal Raleigh Cal Raleigh 56 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 57 0.157 87.5 10.1% 14.6% 390 15.6% 0.0% 11.9% 8
6 J. P. Crawford J. P. Crawford 47 ⚪ D · · 89 0.145 88.2 8.1% 27.8% 376 0.0% 0.0% 14.1% 37
7 Cole Young Cole Young 43 ⚪ D +625 🌧️ COOL 115 0.138 88.2 7.2% 6.9% 395 5.9% 0.0% 9.3% 37
8 Josh Naylor Josh Naylor 41 ⚪ D +370 🌧️ COOL 129 0.107 87.7 7.1% 15.6% 402 8.6% 0.0% 10.1% 40
9 Leo Rivas Leo Rivas 28 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 196 0.038 86.2 3.5% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 9.6% 5
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Nick Kurtz Nick Kurtz 73 🟡 B +220 · 9 0.196 94.7 13.7% 38.9% 411 16.7% 25.0% 33.2% 28
2 Zack Gelof Zack Gelof 73 🟡 B +500 🌤️ WARM 10 0.209 90.6 10.3% 31.2% 396 40.0% 33.3% 30.5% 40
3 Shea Langeliers Shea Langeliers 71 🟡 B +290 🌧️ COOL 13 0.260 91.8 12.9% 26.5% 415 19.1% 9.1% 22.5% 38
4 Brent Rooker Brent Rooker 67 🔵 C+ +320 · 20 0.189 89.9 12.9% 24.1% 388 16.2% 18.2% 21.4% 32
5 Carlos Cortes Carlos Cortes 53 🟠 C +425 🌧️ COOL 65 0.177 90.9 10.2% 21.7% 393 6.2% 8.3% 15.0% 25
6 Tyler Soderstrom Tyler Soderstrom 51 🟠 C +330 ❄ COLD 77 0.183 90.0 11.1% 13.5% 393 8.5% 0.0% 14.0% 38
7 Jacob Wilson Jacob Wilson 47 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 90 0.101 84.3 4.9% 14.3% 368 4.5% 0.0% 17.6% 30
8 Jeff McNeil Jeff McNeil 43 ⚪ D +625 🔥 HOT 111 0.092 86.4 4.0% 10.0% 380 0.0% 0.0% 9.5% 33
9 Lawrence Butler Lawrence Butler 40 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 135 0.104 90.4 8.6% 22.2% 378 2.3% 0.0% 11.2% 13
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