LongDong™ — SD @ MIL

@ 7:40p

MIL

American Family Field · 18 ranked batters

Park Factor

0.98×

Weather Mod

+0.0%

cold air · steady partial wind out · retractable roof

Combined

0.978

Temp

52.6°F

Wind

13.8 mph

slight_out

Roof

retractable

Matt Waldron RHP

9 batters

#	Batter	Score	Tier	Odds	Form	Rank	ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.	EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg.	Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg.	HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg.	HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg.	Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor.	14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form.	Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.	BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1	Gary Sánchez	48	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	27	0.311	88.7	·	25.0%	405	13.3%	0.0%	12.9%	14
2	Brice Turang ⚡	43	⚪ D	+525	🌧️ COOL	48	0.220	92.6	·	33.3%	405	11.1%	10.0%	24.6%	34
3	Jake Bauers	39	⚪ D	+390	❄ COLD	70	0.209	92.6	·	30.8%	399	14.3%	10.0%	19.5%	23
4	Sal Frelick	34	⚪ D	+950	🌤️ WARM	101	0.094	85.0	·	14.3%	402	6.1%	10.0%	11.3%	35
5	Garrett Mitchell ⚡	29	⚪ D	+575	·	144	0.135	91.3	·	14.3%	420	0.0%	0.0%	10.0%	24
6	William Contreras ⚡	29	⚪ D	+500	🌧️ COOL	150	0.112	89.9	·	26.1%	404	8.6%	20.0%	7.4%	40
7	Luis Rengifo	20	⚪ D	+900	🌧️ COOL	210	0.087	87.4	·	0.0%	·	0.0%	0.0%	7.7%	32
8	Brandon Lockridge	11	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	238	0.040	86.2	·	0.0%	·	0.0%	0.0%	5.4%	14
9	David Hamilton ⚡	10	⚪ D	+750	❄ COLD	243	0.029	84.9	·	0.0%	·	0.0%	0.0%	7.8%	21

Brandon Sproat RHP 💥 Meltdown

9 batters

#	Batter	Score	Tier	Odds	Form	Rank	ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.	EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg.	Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg.	HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg.	HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg.	Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor.	14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form.	Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.	BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1	Gavin Sheets	46	⚪ D	+500	·	35	0.244	88.8	·	30.0%	409	8.8%	8.3%	19.3%	20
2	Miguel Andujar	45	⚪ D	+625	🌤️ WARM	39	0.165	89.4	·	6.7%	397	9.1%	16.7%	13.6%	32
3	Manny Machado	43	⚪ D	+425	🌤️ WARM	49	0.162	90.6	·	23.8%	399	14.3%	16.7%	18.2%	29
4	Xander Bogaerts	39	⚪ D	+575	🌧️ COOL	72	0.156	88.1	·	29.2%	392	17.1%	25.0%	23.5%	28
5	Jackson Merrill	36	⚪ D	+390	🌤️ WARM	88	0.130	89.8	·	15.4%	408	11.4%	8.3%	8.9%	31
6	Ramón Laureano	35	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	92	0.187	88.8	·	25.0%	406	4.3%	8.3%	20.1%	16
7	Nick Castellanos	33	⚪ D	+525	🌤️ WARM	112	0.109	88.7	·	14.3%	397	4.2%	11.1%	15.8%	18
8	Jake Cronenworth	27	⚪ D	·	🌤️ WARM	167	0.056	87.4	·	7.7%	399	2.9%	0.0%	8.0%	10
9	Fernando Tatis Jr.	15	⚪ D	+425	🌧️ COOL	231	0.036	92.7	·	0.0%	·	0.0%	0.0%	7.2%	29