PIT
@
3:07p
TOR
Park Factor
0.97×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
0.974
Wind
0 mph
dome
Patrick Corbin
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Henry Davis | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 108 | 0.144 | 90.4 | 9.3% | 20.0% | 392 | 5.0% | 16.7% | 11.1% | 17 |
| 2 |
|
Spencer Horwitz | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 109 | 0.169 | 86.6 | 6.3% | 11.4% | 380 | 5.3% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 29 |
| 3 |
|
Esmerlyn Valdez | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 145 | 0.152 | 90.0 | 6.0% | 7.1% | 402 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.8% | 11 |
| 4 |
|
Marcell Ozuna | 41 | ⚪ D | · | · | 164 | 0.115 | 89.3 | 9.0% | 22.2% | 408 | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 19 |
| 5 |
|
Konnor Griffin | 40 | ⚪ D | · | · | 173 | 0.127 | 87.6 | 9.0% | 0.0% | 401 | 3.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 38 |
| 6 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 192 | 0.132 | 90.4 | 8.5% | 18.2% | 415 | 9.1% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 38 |
| 7 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 18 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 278 | 0.048 | 87.1 | 3.8% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.1% | 37 |
| 8 |
|
Jared Triolo | 17 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 281 | 0.061 | 85.2 | 4.6% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.1% | 18 |
| 9 |
|
Jhostynxon Garcia | 10 | ⚪ D | · | · | 287 | · | · | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 9 |
Paul Skenes
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jesús Sánchez | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 202 | 0.169 | 90.7 | 6.2% | 23.1% | 400 | 11.4% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 25 |
| 2 |
|
Daulton Varsho | 36 | ⚪ D | · | · | 207 | 0.157 | 86.6 | 5.8% | 16.0% | 387 | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 36 |
| 3 |
|
George Springer | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 217 | 0.160 | 87.0 | 6.1% | 26.7% | 385 | 6.8% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 34 |
| 4 | Yohendrick Piñango | 34 | ⚪ D | · | · | 219 | 0.088 | 89.6 | 5.5% | 9.1% | 348 | 20.0% | 25.0% | 7.2% | 27 | |
| 5 |
|
Andrés Giménez | 32 | ⚪ D | · | · | 226 | 0.152 | 85.6 | 4.3% | 15.4% | 382 | 2.9% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 28 |
| 6 |
|
Ernie Clement | 30 | ⚪ D | · | · | 239 | 0.127 | 86.1 | 3.4% | 3.1% | 370 | 6.4% | 20.0% | 7.2% | 37 |
| 7 |
|
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 246 | 0.108 | 90.4 | 6.0% | 10.0% | 412 | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 46 |
| 8 |
|
Lenyn Sosa | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 272 | 0.100 | 89.1 | 5.5% | 0.0% | 415 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 18 |
| 9 |
|
Tyler Heineman | 10 | ⚪ D | · | · | 288 | 0.000 | 83.2 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 11 |