⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
PIT
@ 3:07p
TOR
Rogers Centre · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.97×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
0.974
Wind
0 mph
dome
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Henry Davis Henry Davis 48 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 108 0.144 90.4 9.3% 20.0% 392 5.0% 16.7% 11.1% 17
2 Spencer Horwitz Spencer Horwitz 48 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 109 0.169 86.6 6.3% 11.4% 380 5.3% 10.0% 9.0% 29
3 Esmerlyn Valdez Esmerlyn Valdez 44 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 145 0.152 90.0 6.0% 7.1% 402 0.0% 0.0% 13.8% 11
4 Marcell Ozuna Marcell Ozuna 41 ⚪ D · · 164 0.115 89.3 9.0% 22.2% 408 8.9% 9.1% 9.3% 19
5 Konnor Griffin Konnor Griffin 40 ⚪ D · · 173 0.127 87.6 9.0% 0.0% 401 3.2% 8.3% 6.1% 38
6 Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds 38 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 192 0.132 90.4 8.5% 18.2% 415 9.1% 0.0% 8.3% 38
7 Nick Gonzales Nick Gonzales 18 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 278 0.048 87.1 3.8% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.1% 37
8 Jared Triolo Jared Triolo 17 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 281 0.061 85.2 4.6% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.1% 18
9 Jhostynxon Garcia Jhostynxon Garcia 10 ⚪ D · · 287 · · · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 8.2% 9
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jesús Sánchez Jesús Sánchez 37 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 202 0.169 90.7 6.2% 23.1% 400 11.4% 8.3% 11.2% 25
2 Daulton Varsho Daulton Varsho 36 ⚪ D · · 207 0.157 86.6 5.8% 16.0% 387 8.3% 8.3% 9.5% 36
3 George Springer George Springer 34 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 217 0.160 87.0 6.1% 26.7% 385 6.8% 9.1% 13.4% 34
4 Yohendrick Piñango 34 ⚪ D · · 219 0.088 89.6 5.5% 9.1% 348 20.0% 25.0% 7.2% 27
5 Andrés Giménez Andrés Giménez 32 ⚪ D · · 226 0.152 85.6 4.3% 15.4% 382 2.9% 8.3% 13.2% 28
6 Ernie Clement Ernie Clement 30 ⚪ D · · 239 0.127 86.1 3.4% 3.1% 370 6.4% 20.0% 7.2% 37
7 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 28 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 246 0.108 90.4 6.0% 10.0% 412 6.1% 8.3% 7.5% 46
8 Lenyn Sosa Lenyn Sosa 22 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 272 0.100 89.1 5.5% 0.0% 415 0.0% 0.0% 6.2% 18
9 Tyler Heineman Tyler Heineman 10 ⚪ D · · 288 0.000 83.2 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 8.1% 11
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