⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
PIT
@ 7:07p
TOR
Rogers Centre · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.01×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
1.006
Wind
0 mph
dome
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 69 🔵 C+ · · 25 0.280 89.6 13.2% 28.6% 397 15.4% 18.2% 28.8% 35
2 Oneil Cruz Oneil Cruz 64 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 36 0.220 95.8 16.9% 29.2% 410 21.4% 9.1% 15.1% 29
3 Ryan O'Hearn Ryan O'Hearn 48 ⚪ D · · 98 0.175 90.3 7.1% 19.4% 392 14.3% 25.0% 17.2% 25
4 Henry Davis Henry Davis 42 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 135 0.105 90.4 9.0% 23.1% 392 5.3% 20.0% 13.2% 17
5 Marcell Ozuna Marcell Ozuna 39 ⚪ D · · 162 0.114 89.3 8.4% 12.0% 408 9.1% 10.0% 16.2% 22
6 Konnor Griffin Konnor Griffin 36 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 177 0.139 87.8 8.5% 20.0% 401 3.3% 9.1% 11.5% 39
7 Spencer Horwitz Spencer Horwitz 36 ⚪ D +900 · 180 0.150 86.3 3.4% 16.7% 380 5.4% 11.1% 8.6% 28
8 Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds 35 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 183 0.138 90.4 7.6% 11.8% 415 9.3% 0.0% 7.2% 40
9 Nick Gonzales Nick Gonzales 13 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 256 0.049 86.7 1.5% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.4% 35
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kazuma Okamoto Kazuma Okamoto 62 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 41 0.219 93.1 14.4% 31.0% 411 12.9% 0.0% 16.2% 28
2 Daulton Varsho Daulton Varsho 45 ⚪ D · · 118 0.153 86.6 6.7% 16.0% 387 8.6% 8.3% 11.9% 37
3 Ernie Clement Ernie Clement 42 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 138 0.112 86.1 2.3% 3.2% 370 6.5% 20.0% 5.7% 38
4 Andrés Giménez Andrés Giménez 41 ⚪ D · · 143 0.163 85.5 3.8% 15.4% 382 2.9% 8.3% 17.5% 29
5 Jesús Sánchez Jesús Sánchez 41 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 147 0.157 90.4 6.0% 25.0% 400 11.8% 8.3% 14.0% 23
6 Davis Schneider Davis Schneider 40 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 151 0.106 86.6 10.0% 12.5% 366 0.0% 0.0% 7.2% 8
7 George Springer George Springer 39 ⚪ D +950 🌧️ COOL 163 0.117 86.9 7.5% 26.7% 385 7.0% 9.1% 10.2% 35
8 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 35 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 184 0.084 90.5 7.5% 10.0% 412 6.2% 8.3% 6.8% 44
9 Myles Straw Myles Straw 31 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 204 0.130 86.4 5.9% 11.1% 389 0.0% 0.0% 7.0% 15
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