PIT
@
7:07p
TOR
Park Factor
1.01×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
1.006
Wind
0 mph
dome
Kevin Gausman
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Brandon Lowe | 69 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 25 | 0.280 | 89.6 | 13.2% | 28.6% | 397 | 15.4% | 18.2% | 28.8% | 35 |
| 2 |
|
Oneil Cruz | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 36 | 0.220 | 95.8 | 16.9% | 29.2% | 410 | 21.4% | 9.1% | 15.1% | 29 |
| 3 |
|
Ryan O'Hearn | 48 | ⚪ D | · | · | 98 | 0.175 | 90.3 | 7.1% | 19.4% | 392 | 14.3% | 25.0% | 17.2% | 25 |
| 4 |
|
Henry Davis | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 135 | 0.105 | 90.4 | 9.0% | 23.1% | 392 | 5.3% | 20.0% | 13.2% | 17 |
| 5 |
|
Marcell Ozuna | 39 | ⚪ D | · | · | 162 | 0.114 | 89.3 | 8.4% | 12.0% | 408 | 9.1% | 10.0% | 16.2% | 22 |
| 6 |
|
Konnor Griffin | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 177 | 0.139 | 87.8 | 8.5% | 20.0% | 401 | 3.3% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 39 |
| 7 |
|
Spencer Horwitz | 36 | ⚪ D | +900 | · | 180 | 0.150 | 86.3 | 3.4% | 16.7% | 380 | 5.4% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 28 |
| 8 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 183 | 0.138 | 90.4 | 7.6% | 11.8% | 415 | 9.3% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 40 |
| 9 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 13 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 256 | 0.049 | 86.7 | 1.5% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 35 |
Bubba Chandler
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kazuma Okamoto | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 41 | 0.219 | 93.1 | 14.4% | 31.0% | 411 | 12.9% | 0.0% | 16.2% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Daulton Varsho | 45 | ⚪ D | · | · | 118 | 0.153 | 86.6 | 6.7% | 16.0% | 387 | 8.6% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 37 |
| 3 |
|
Ernie Clement | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 138 | 0.112 | 86.1 | 2.3% | 3.2% | 370 | 6.5% | 20.0% | 5.7% | 38 |
| 4 |
|
Andrés Giménez | 41 | ⚪ D | · | · | 143 | 0.163 | 85.5 | 3.8% | 15.4% | 382 | 2.9% | 8.3% | 17.5% | 29 |
| 5 |
|
Jesús Sánchez | 41 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 147 | 0.157 | 90.4 | 6.0% | 25.0% | 400 | 11.8% | 8.3% | 14.0% | 23 |
| 6 |
|
Davis Schneider | 40 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 151 | 0.106 | 86.6 | 10.0% | 12.5% | 366 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 8 |
| 7 |
|
George Springer | 39 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌧️ COOL | 163 | 0.117 | 86.9 | 7.5% | 26.7% | 385 | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 35 |
| 8 |
|
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 184 | 0.084 | 90.5 | 7.5% | 10.0% | 412 | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 44 |
| 9 |
|
Myles Straw | 31 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 204 | 0.130 | 86.4 | 5.9% | 11.1% | 389 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 15 |