⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
PIT
@ 8:05p
TEX
Globe Life Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.77×
Weather Mod
+2.0%
warm air · steady partial wind out · retractable roof
Combined
0.922
Temp
76.5°F
Wind
12.7 mph
slight_out
Roof
retractable
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Oneil Cruz Oneil Cruz 81 🟢 A · 🌤️ WARM 8 0.271 97.3 23.5% 44.4% 415 33.3% 37.5% 29.6% 35
2 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 59 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 32 0.292 86.5 12.3% 36.8% 390 6.7% 0.0% 27.9% 34
3 Ryan O'Hearn Ryan O'Hearn 46 ⚪ D · · 66 0.191 90.6 8.6% 21.1% 385 16.7% 25.0% 10.8% 32
4 Marcell Ozuna Marcell Ozuna 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 93 0.094 88.5 9.8% 11.1% 405 9.5% 22.2% 7.2% 36
5 Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds 36 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 94 0.138 91.5 9.4% 20.0% 405 16.7% 14.3% 7.6% 30
6 Joey Bart Joey Bart 31 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 109 0.115 85.8 9.5% 9.1% 383 0.0% 0.0% 9.1% 14
7 Konnor Griffin Konnor Griffin 28 ⚪ D · · 116 0.100 86.6 10.2% 9.1% 386 0.0% 0.0% 7.9% 0
8 Spencer Horwitz Spencer Horwitz 28 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 117 0.123 86.3 1.9% 16.7% 380 0.0% 0.0% 9.3% 30
9 Nick Gonzales Nick Gonzales 5 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 160 0.037 87.3 1.5% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.5% 31
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Corey Seager Corey Seager 61 🔵 C+ · ❄ COLD 27 0.242 90.4 15.2% 31.6% 402 22.2% 14.3% 18.6% 33
2 Brandon Nimmo Brandon Nimmo 58 🟠 C · · 34 0.199 90.8 12.3% 20.0% 396 15.8% 22.2% 15.8% 42
3 Josh Jung Josh Jung 56 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 39 0.217 91.0 2.9% 21.4% 373 15.8% 37.5% 17.2% 42
4 Evan Carter Evan Carter 49 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 57 0.167 90.2 10.2% 15.0% 381 20.0% 20.0% 10.8% 32
5 Jake Burger Jake Burger 44 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 69 0.182 88.5 9.5% 29.4% 404 10.5% 0.0% 17.6% 38
6 Danny Jansen Danny Jansen 26 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 124 0.121 87.2 5.3% 14.3% 409 0.0% 0.0% 6.6% 16
7 Joc Pederson Joc Pederson 21 ⚪ D · · 136 0.069 93.2 0.0% 7.1% 361 0.0% 0.0% 5.9% 17
8 Josh Smith Josh Smith 21 ⚪ D · · 137 0.027 88.0 6.7% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 4.8% 28
9 Alejandro Osuna Alejandro Osuna 17 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 148 · 85.5 5.6% 0.0% 394 0.0% 0.0% 8.5% 4
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