⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
PIT
@ 8:05p
TEX
Globe Life Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.77×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light crosswind · retractable roof
Combined
0.691
Temp
60.8°F
Wind
7.1 mph
cross
Roof
retractable
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Oneil Cruz Oneil Cruz 77 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 14 0.248 97.1 20.5% 37.5% 418 29.4% 25.0% 19.3% 31
2 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 62 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 44 0.333 84.6 11.9% 38.9% 390 7.1% 0.0% 25.6% 29
3 Ryan O'Hearn Ryan O'Hearn 57 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 63 0.203 89.4 10.0% 22.2% 387 20.0% 33.3% 10.6% 31
4 Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds 42 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 116 0.146 93.1 10.9% 23.1% 405 17.6% 14.3% 7.5% 27
5 Marcell Ozuna Marcell Ozuna 38 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 143 0.110 88.0 2.9% 15.4% · 10.0% 22.2% 8.3% 30
6 Nick Yorke Nick Yorke 33 ⚪ D · · 177 0.098 89.4 6.3% 6.7% · 16.7% 20.0% 5.4% 35
7 Spencer Horwitz Spencer Horwitz 24 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 212 0.145 83.7 0.0% 22.2% 376 0.0% 0.0% 12.2% 22
8 Konnor Griffin Konnor Griffin 23 ⚪ D · · 215 0.069 86.7 7.7% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.5% 0
9 Nick Gonzales Nick Gonzales 16 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 244 0.043 87.3 2.6% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.1% 26
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Corey Seager Corey Seager 56 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 71 0.227 90.6 15.9% 27.8% 405 23.5% 14.3% 14.0% 28
2 Brandon Nimmo Brandon Nimmo 50 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 81 0.200 89.4 9.4% 23.5% 404 16.7% 22.2% 12.3% 40
3 Jake Burger Jake Burger 48 ⚪ D · · 88 0.207 90.6 12.8% 35.7% 403 11.1% 0.0% 15.7% 34
4 Evan Carter Evan Carter 43 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 112 0.151 90.4 12.1% 12.5% 381 25.0% 25.0% 7.3% 29
5 Josh Jung Josh Jung 33 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 178 0.194 89.7 0.0% 18.2% · 11.1% 25.0% 8.1% 36
6 Danny Jansen Danny Jansen 28 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 193 0.130 89.5 4.0% 14.3% 409 0.0% 0.0% 4.7% 16
7 Wyatt Langford Wyatt Langford 26 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 204 0.125 90.1 7.1% 7.7% 365 5.6% 12.5% 4.3% 26
8 Josh Smith Josh Smith 18 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 236 0.030 86.8 4.9% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 3.6% 27
9 Joc Pederson Joc Pederson 15 ⚪ D · · 247 0.079 92.0 0.0% 7.7% 361 0.0% 0.0% 4.3% 16
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