PIT
@
8:05p
TEX
Park Factor
0.77×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light crosswind · retractable roof
Combined
0.691
Temp
60.8°F
Wind
7.1 mph
cross
Roof
retractable
Jack Leiter
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Oneil Cruz | 77 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 14 | 0.248 | 97.1 | 20.5% | 37.5% | 418 | 29.4% | 25.0% | 19.3% | 31 |
| 2 |
|
Brandon Lowe | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 44 | 0.333 | 84.6 | 11.9% | 38.9% | 390 | 7.1% | 0.0% | 25.6% | 29 |
| 3 |
|
Ryan O'Hearn | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 63 | 0.203 | 89.4 | 10.0% | 22.2% | 387 | 20.0% | 33.3% | 10.6% | 31 |
| 4 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 116 | 0.146 | 93.1 | 10.9% | 23.1% | 405 | 17.6% | 14.3% | 7.5% | 27 |
| 5 |
|
Marcell Ozuna | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 143 | 0.110 | 88.0 | 2.9% | 15.4% | · | 10.0% | 22.2% | 8.3% | 30 |
| 6 |
|
Nick Yorke | 33 | ⚪ D | · | · | 177 | 0.098 | 89.4 | 6.3% | 6.7% | · | 16.7% | 20.0% | 5.4% | 35 |
| 7 |
|
Spencer Horwitz | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 212 | 0.145 | 83.7 | 0.0% | 22.2% | 376 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.2% | 22 |
| 8 |
|
Konnor Griffin ⚡ | 23 | ⚪ D | · | · | 215 | 0.069 | 86.7 | 7.7% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.5% | 0 |
| 9 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 16 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 244 | 0.043 | 87.3 | 2.6% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.1% | 26 |
Braxton Ashcraft
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Corey Seager | 56 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 71 | 0.227 | 90.6 | 15.9% | 27.8% | 405 | 23.5% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Brandon Nimmo | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 81 | 0.200 | 89.4 | 9.4% | 23.5% | 404 | 16.7% | 22.2% | 12.3% | 40 |
| 3 |
|
Jake Burger ⚡ | 48 | ⚪ D | · | · | 88 | 0.207 | 90.6 | 12.8% | 35.7% | 403 | 11.1% | 0.0% | 15.7% | 34 |
| 4 |
|
Evan Carter | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 112 | 0.151 | 90.4 | 12.1% | 12.5% | 381 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 7.3% | 29 |
| 5 |
|
Josh Jung | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 178 | 0.194 | 89.7 | 0.0% | 18.2% | · | 11.1% | 25.0% | 8.1% | 36 |
| 6 |
|
Danny Jansen | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 193 | 0.130 | 89.5 | 4.0% | 14.3% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.7% | 16 |
| 7 |
|
Wyatt Langford | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 204 | 0.125 | 90.1 | 7.1% | 7.7% | 365 | 5.6% | 12.5% | 4.3% | 26 |
| 8 |
|
Josh Smith | 18 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 236 | 0.030 | 86.8 | 4.9% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.6% | 27 |
| 9 |
|
Joc Pederson | 15 | ⚪ D | · | · | 247 | 0.079 | 92.0 | 0.0% | 7.7% | 361 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.3% | 16 |