⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
PIT
@ 7:10p
MIL
American Family Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.00×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · steady partial wind out · retractable roof
Combined
0.798
Temp
45°F
Wind
11.5 mph
slight_out
Roof
retractable
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Oneil Cruz Oneil Cruz 89 🟢 A · 🌤️ WARM 7 0.271 97.3 23.5% 44.4% 415 35.0% 44.4% 40.4% 35
2 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 67 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 49 0.292 86.5 12.3% 36.8% 390 5.9% 0.0% 38.1% 34
3 Ryan O'Hearn Ryan O'Hearn 51 🟠 C · · 105 0.191 90.6 8.6% 21.1% 385 12.5% 20.0% 14.8% 32
4 Marcell Ozuna Marcell Ozuna 43 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 140 0.094 88.5 9.8% 11.1% 405 8.7% 20.0% 9.8% 36
5 Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds 40 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 152 0.138 91.5 9.4% 20.0% 405 15.0% 0.0% 10.4% 30
6 Nick Yorke Nick Yorke 37 ⚪ D · · 172 0.098 90.8 6.0% 6.7% 394 14.3% 20.0% 8.2% 29
7 Spencer Horwitz Spencer Horwitz 36 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 175 0.123 86.3 1.9% 16.7% 380 0.0% 0.0% 12.7% 30
8 Konnor Griffin Konnor Griffin 35 ⚪ D · · 181 0.100 86.6 10.2% 9.1% 386 0.0% 0.0% 10.8% 0
9 Nick Gonzales Nick Gonzales 12 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 264 0.037 87.3 1.5% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.5% 31
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Gary Sánchez Gary Sánchez 78 🟡 B · · 24 0.346 90.0 17.9% 50.0% 405 28.6% 16.7% 24.5% 28
2 Brice Turang Brice Turang 59 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 69 0.223 92.8 9.5% 23.5% 401 12.5% 18.2% 22.3% 33
3 Jake Bauers Jake Bauers 56 🟠 C · · 79 0.215 93.2 9.7% 29.4% 395 22.2% 12.5% 17.2% 32
4 Garrett Mitchell Garrett Mitchell 39 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 158 0.147 93.0 13.3% 25.0% 420 0.0% 0.0% 8.0% 13
5 William Contreras William Contreras 36 ⚪ D · · 176 0.133 90.6 7.7% 11.8% 397 4.3% 0.0% 6.7% 44
6 Luis Rengifo Luis Rengifo 27 ⚪ D · · 228 0.086 87.0 6.5% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.5% 30
7 Sal Frelick Sal Frelick 15 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 261 0.064 85.2 1.5% 8.3% 407 4.8% 0.0% 6.3% 34
8 Brandon Lockridge Brandon Lockridge 10 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 267 0.046 85.3 2.2% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.0% 21
9 David Hamilton David Hamilton 5 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 270 0.000 84.2 2.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.5% 24
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