PIT
@
7:10p
MIL
Park Factor
1.00×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · steady partial wind out · retractable roof
Combined
0.798
Temp
45°F
Wind
11.5 mph
slight_out
Roof
retractable
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Oneil Cruz | 89 | 🟢 A | · | 🌤️ WARM | 7 | 0.271 | 97.3 | 23.5% | 44.4% | 415 | 35.0% | 44.4% | 40.4% | 35 |
| 2 |
|
Brandon Lowe | 67 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 49 | 0.292 | 86.5 | 12.3% | 36.8% | 390 | 5.9% | 0.0% | 38.1% | 34 |
| 3 |
|
Ryan O'Hearn | 51 | 🟠 C | · | · | 105 | 0.191 | 90.6 | 8.6% | 21.1% | 385 | 12.5% | 20.0% | 14.8% | 32 |
| 4 |
|
Marcell Ozuna | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 140 | 0.094 | 88.5 | 9.8% | 11.1% | 405 | 8.7% | 20.0% | 9.8% | 36 |
| 5 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 152 | 0.138 | 91.5 | 9.4% | 20.0% | 405 | 15.0% | 0.0% | 10.4% | 30 |
| 6 |
|
Nick Yorke | 37 | ⚪ D | · | · | 172 | 0.098 | 90.8 | 6.0% | 6.7% | 394 | 14.3% | 20.0% | 8.2% | 29 |
| 7 |
|
Spencer Horwitz | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 175 | 0.123 | 86.3 | 1.9% | 16.7% | 380 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.7% | 30 |
| 8 |
|
Konnor Griffin | 35 | ⚪ D | · | · | 181 | 0.100 | 86.6 | 10.2% | 9.1% | 386 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.8% | 0 |
| 9 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 12 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 264 | 0.037 | 87.3 | 1.5% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.5% | 31 |
Mitch Keller
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Gary Sánchez | 78 | 🟡 B | · | · | 24 | 0.346 | 90.0 | 17.9% | 50.0% | 405 | 28.6% | 16.7% | 24.5% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Brice Turang | 59 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 69 | 0.223 | 92.8 | 9.5% | 23.5% | 401 | 12.5% | 18.2% | 22.3% | 33 |
| 3 |
|
Jake Bauers | 56 | 🟠 C | · | · | 79 | 0.215 | 93.2 | 9.7% | 29.4% | 395 | 22.2% | 12.5% | 17.2% | 32 |
| 4 |
|
Garrett Mitchell | 39 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 158 | 0.147 | 93.0 | 13.3% | 25.0% | 420 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.0% | 13 |
| 5 |
|
William Contreras | 36 | ⚪ D | · | · | 176 | 0.133 | 90.6 | 7.7% | 11.8% | 397 | 4.3% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 44 |
| 6 |
|
Luis Rengifo | 27 | ⚪ D | · | · | 228 | 0.086 | 87.0 | 6.5% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.5% | 30 |
| 7 |
|
Sal Frelick | 15 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 261 | 0.064 | 85.2 | 1.5% | 8.3% | 407 | 4.8% | 0.0% | 6.3% | 34 |
| 8 |
|
Brandon Lockridge | 10 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 267 | 0.046 | 85.3 | 2.2% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0% | 21 |
| 9 |
|
David Hamilton | 5 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 270 | 0.000 | 84.2 | 2.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.5% | 24 |