⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
PIT
@ 9:40p
AZ
Chase Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.83×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
mild air · wind out · retractable roof
Combined
0.833
Temp
66.8°F
Wind
0 mph
out
Roof
retractable
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ildemaro Vargas Ildemaro Vargas 44 ⚪ D · · 60 0.326 87.7 · 30.0% 395 15.8% 18.2% 21.8% 44
2 Corbin Carroll Corbin Carroll 35 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 118 0.274 89.7 · 23.1% 408 13.3% 9.1% 15.0% 28
3 Adrian Del Castillo Adrian Del Castillo 34 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 123 0.167 88.8 · 21.4% 403 22.2% 22.2% 16.5% 17
4 Nolan Arenado Nolan Arenado 32 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 141 0.179 83.5 · 21.1% 400 13.8% 18.2% 16.1% 27
5 Ketel Marte Ketel Marte 23 ⚪ D · · 209 0.159 92.8 · 26.3% 411 5.6% 9.1% 10.2% 34
6 Jorge Barrosa Jorge Barrosa 22 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 213 0.204 86.3 · 12.5% 351 5.6% 0.0% 10.8% 15
7 Alek Thomas Alek Thomas 21 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 219 0.171 89.5 · 12.5% 408 5.3% 9.1% 10.1% 18
8 Jose Fernandez Jose Fernandez 18 ⚪ D · · 235 0.145 89.3 · 42.9% 409 0.0% 0.0% 9.6% 23
9 Geraldo Perdomo Geraldo Perdomo 16 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 246 0.140 86.6 · 9.1% 382 5.3% 9.1% 7.0% 26
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Oneil Cruz Oneil Cruz 42 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 69 0.265 96.2 · 30.0% 415 27.6% 25.0% 26.8% 30
2 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 39 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 89 0.275 88.7 · 30.0% 393 7.7% 8.3% 16.0% 28
3 Ryan O'Hearn Ryan O'Hearn 24 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 203 0.183 90.6 · 19.1% 388 11.1% 7.7% 10.4% 36
4 Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds 20 ⚪ D · · 225 0.119 91.5 · 13.3% 415 13.3% 7.7% 6.8% 29
5 Konnor Griffin Konnor Griffin 18 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 234 0.115 88.8 · 16.7% 395 0.0% 0.0% 9.1% 33
6 Marcell Ozuna Marcell Ozuna 15 ⚪ D · · 249 0.080 88.9 · 12.5% 412 9.4% 8.3% 7.0% 28
7 Spencer Horwitz Spencer Horwitz 15 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 250 0.136 85.3 · 17.4% 385 3.8% 8.3% 7.4% 39
8 Nick Yorke Nick Yorke 14 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 255 0.089 90.7 · 0.0% 394 6.2% 0.0% 6.9% 4
9 Nick Gonzales Nick Gonzales 3 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 270 0.049 86.4 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.8% 41
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