PIT
@
9:40p
AZ
Park Factor
0.83×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
mild air · wind out · retractable roof
Combined
0.833
Temp
66.8°F
Wind
0 mph
out
Roof
retractable
Paul Skenes
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ildemaro Vargas | 44 | ⚪ D | · | · | 60 | 0.326 | 87.7 | · | 30.0% | 395 | 15.8% | 18.2% | 21.8% | 44 |
| 2 |
|
Corbin Carroll | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 118 | 0.274 | 89.7 | · | 23.1% | 408 | 13.3% | 9.1% | 15.0% | 28 |
| 3 |
|
Adrian Del Castillo | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 123 | 0.167 | 88.8 | · | 21.4% | 403 | 22.2% | 22.2% | 16.5% | 17 |
| 4 |
|
Nolan Arenado | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 141 | 0.179 | 83.5 | · | 21.1% | 400 | 13.8% | 18.2% | 16.1% | 27 |
| 5 |
|
Ketel Marte | 23 | ⚪ D | · | · | 209 | 0.159 | 92.8 | · | 26.3% | 411 | 5.6% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 34 |
| 6 |
|
Jorge Barrosa | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 213 | 0.204 | 86.3 | · | 12.5% | 351 | 5.6% | 0.0% | 10.8% | 15 |
| 7 |
|
Alek Thomas | 21 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 219 | 0.171 | 89.5 | · | 12.5% | 408 | 5.3% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 18 |
| 8 |
|
Jose Fernandez | 18 | ⚪ D | · | · | 235 | 0.145 | 89.3 | · | 42.9% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.6% | 23 |
| 9 |
|
Geraldo Perdomo | 16 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 246 | 0.140 | 86.6 | · | 9.1% | 382 | 5.3% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 26 |
Michael Soroka
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Oneil Cruz | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 69 | 0.265 | 96.2 | · | 30.0% | 415 | 27.6% | 25.0% | 26.8% | 30 |
| 2 |
|
Brandon Lowe | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 89 | 0.275 | 88.7 | · | 30.0% | 393 | 7.7% | 8.3% | 16.0% | 28 |
| 3 |
|
Ryan O'Hearn | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 203 | 0.183 | 90.6 | · | 19.1% | 388 | 11.1% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 36 |
| 4 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 20 | ⚪ D | · | · | 225 | 0.119 | 91.5 | · | 13.3% | 415 | 13.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 29 |
| 5 |
|
Konnor Griffin | 18 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 234 | 0.115 | 88.8 | · | 16.7% | 395 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.1% | 33 |
| 6 |
|
Marcell Ozuna | 15 | ⚪ D | · | · | 249 | 0.080 | 88.9 | · | 12.5% | 412 | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 28 |
| 7 |
|
Spencer Horwitz | 15 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 250 | 0.136 | 85.3 | · | 17.4% | 385 | 3.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 39 |
| 8 |
|
Nick Yorke | 14 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 255 | 0.089 | 90.7 | · | 0.0% | 394 | 6.2% | 0.0% | 6.9% | 4 |
| 9 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 3 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 270 | 0.049 | 86.4 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.8% | 41 |