PIT
@
9:40p
AZ
Park Factor
0.87×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
mild air · steady wind in · retractable roof
Combined
0.869
Temp
65.3°F
Wind
8.1 mph
in
Roof
retractable
Bubba Chandler
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ildemaro Vargas | 54 | 🟠 C | · | · | 16 | 0.346 | 87.8 | · | 37.5% | 395 | 16.7% | 18.2% | 34.4% | 43 |
| 2 |
|
Corbin Carroll | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 61 | 0.255 | 89.8 | · | 25.0% | 408 | 14.3% | 9.1% | 18.6% | 25 |
| 3 |
|
Nolan Arenado | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 98 | 0.152 | 83.5 | · | 21.1% | 400 | 14.3% | 18.2% | 10.8% | 29 |
| 4 |
|
Adrian Del Castillo | 34 | ⚪ D | · | · | 115 | 0.123 | 87.9 | · | 18.2% | 403 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 15.2% | 17 |
| 5 |
|
Alek Thomas | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 131 | 0.180 | 89.4 | · | 12.5% | 408 | 5.6% | 9.1% | 19.6% | 20 |
| 6 |
|
Jorge Barrosa | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 142 | 0.204 | 86.3 | · | 12.5% | 351 | 5.9% | 0.0% | 13.2% | 15 |
| 7 |
|
Ketel Marte | 29 | ⚪ D | · | · | 154 | 0.139 | 92.6 | · | 27.8% | 411 | 5.9% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 32 |
| 8 |
|
Jose Fernandez | 26 | ⚪ D | · | · | 168 | 0.152 | 89.3 | · | 42.9% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.6% | 26 |
| 9 |
|
Geraldo Perdomo | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 175 | 0.143 | 86.6 | · | 9.1% | 382 | 5.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 26 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Oneil Cruz | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 29 | 0.273 | 96.4 | · | 66.7% | 415 | 28.6% | 27.3% | 39.7% | 30 |
| 2 |
|
Brandon Lowe | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 44 | 0.273 | 88.7 | · | 28.6% | 393 | 8.0% | 9.1% | 17.3% | 28 |
| 3 |
|
Ryan O'Hearn | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 128 | 0.192 | 90.6 | · | 20.0% | 388 | 11.8% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 37 |
| 4 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 28 | ⚪ D | · | · | 161 | 0.123 | 91.5 | · | 33.3% | 415 | 13.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 28 |
| 5 |
|
Konnor Griffin | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 179 | 0.119 | 88.5 | · | 15.4% | 395 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.0% | 35 |
| 6 |
|
Marcell Ozuna | 22 | ⚪ D | · | · | 199 | 0.085 | 88.6 | · | 16.7% | 412 | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 28 |
| 7 |
|
Nick Yorke | 20 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 211 | 0.093 | 90.7 | · | 9.1% | 394 | 6.7% | 0.0% | 6.3% | 8 |
| 8 |
|
Spencer Horwitz | 18 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 219 | 0.103 | 85.3 | · | 14.3% | 385 | 4.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 39 |
| 9 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 10 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 251 | 0.051 | 86.7 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.5% | 40 |