⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
PIT
@ 9:40p
AZ
Chase Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.87×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
mild air · steady wind in · retractable roof
Combined
0.869
Temp
65.3°F
Wind
8.1 mph
in
Roof
retractable
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ildemaro Vargas Ildemaro Vargas 54 🟠 C · · 16 0.346 87.8 · 37.5% 395 16.7% 18.2% 34.4% 43
2 Corbin Carroll Corbin Carroll 41 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 61 0.255 89.8 · 25.0% 408 14.3% 9.1% 18.6% 25
3 Nolan Arenado Nolan Arenado 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 98 0.152 83.5 · 21.1% 400 14.3% 18.2% 10.8% 29
4 Adrian Del Castillo Adrian Del Castillo 34 ⚪ D · · 115 0.123 87.9 · 18.2% 403 25.0% 25.0% 15.2% 17
5 Alek Thomas Alek Thomas 31 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 131 0.180 89.4 · 12.5% 408 5.6% 9.1% 19.6% 20
6 Jorge Barrosa Jorge Barrosa 30 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 142 0.204 86.3 · 12.5% 351 5.9% 0.0% 13.2% 15
7 Ketel Marte Ketel Marte 29 ⚪ D · · 154 0.139 92.6 · 27.8% 411 5.9% 9.1% 10.9% 32
8 Jose Fernandez Jose Fernandez 26 ⚪ D · · 168 0.152 89.3 · 42.9% 409 0.0% 0.0% 8.6% 26
9 Geraldo Perdomo Geraldo Perdomo 25 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 175 0.143 86.6 · 9.1% 382 5.6% 9.1% 8.8% 26
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Oneil Cruz Oneil Cruz 50 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 29 0.273 96.4 · 66.7% 415 28.6% 27.3% 39.7% 30
2 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 46 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 44 0.273 88.7 · 28.6% 393 8.0% 9.1% 17.3% 28
3 Ryan O'Hearn Ryan O'Hearn 32 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 128 0.192 90.6 · 20.0% 388 11.8% 8.3% 12.2% 37
4 Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds 28 ⚪ D · · 161 0.123 91.5 · 33.3% 415 13.8% 8.3% 8.6% 28
5 Konnor Griffin Konnor Griffin 24 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 179 0.119 88.5 · 15.4% 395 0.0% 0.0% 8.0% 35
6 Marcell Ozuna Marcell Ozuna 22 ⚪ D · · 199 0.085 88.6 · 16.7% 412 9.7% 9.1% 7.1% 28
7 Nick Yorke Nick Yorke 20 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 211 0.093 90.7 · 9.1% 394 6.7% 0.0% 6.3% 8
8 Spencer Horwitz Spencer Horwitz 18 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 219 0.103 85.3 · 14.3% 385 4.0% 9.1% 7.6% 39
9 Nick Gonzales Nick Gonzales 10 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 251 0.051 86.7 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.5% 40
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