⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
PHI
@ 6:40p
MIA
loanDepot Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.94×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
0.943
Wind
0 mph
dome
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Liam Hicks Liam Hicks 55 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 10 0.261 88.1 · 38.9% 371 23.3% 25.0% 36.0% 28
2 Connor Norby Connor Norby 34 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 85 0.150 88.2 · 18.8% 390 9.7% 9.1% 12.8% 19
3 Agustín Ramírez Agustín Ramírez 30 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 102 0.125 89.2 · 12.5% 415 5.9% 8.3% 9.6% 28
4 Jakob Marsee Jakob Marsee 29 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 111 0.085 87.8 · 5.6% 351 5.6% 8.3% 7.1% 29
5 Graham Pauley Graham Pauley 27 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 129 0.134 83.7 · 5.9% 362 0.0% 0.0% 8.5% 18
6 Otto Lopez Otto Lopez 25 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 139 0.170 91.5 · 13.3% 390 6.2% 0.0% 12.5% 39
7 Xavier Edwards Xavier Edwards 22 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 152 0.115 88.5 · 10.0% 385 3.1% 8.3% 7.9% 39
8 Owen Caissie Owen Caissie 19 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 163 0.138 90.7 · 15.4% 387 0.0% 0.0% 9.0% 18
9 Heriberto Hernández 7 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 194 0.031 89.0 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.9% 11
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kyle Schwarber Kyle Schwarber 54 🟠 C · · 11 0.315 92.8 · 42.9% 404 23.3% 23.1% 35.7% 32
2 Bryce Harper Bryce Harper 41 ⚪ D · · 52 0.240 88.5 · 16.7% 411 16.7% 15.4% 16.0% 38
3 Brandon Marsh Brandon Marsh 30 ⚪ D · · 104 0.170 91.1 · 19.1% 398 7.1% 8.3% 13.9% 32
4 Trea Turner Trea Turner 29 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 113 0.119 90.2 · 14.3% 383 13.3% 15.4% 6.5% 39
5 Adolis García Adolis García 21 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 155 0.155 92.9 · 12.5% 377 0.0% 0.0% 7.2% 36
6 Alec Bohm Alec Bohm 21 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 156 0.059 88.9 · 8.3% 354 3.4% 0.0% 5.7% 38
7 Bryson Stott Bryson Stott 15 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 173 0.050 90.3 · 4.5% 399 7.4% 16.7% 8.2% 32
8 J.T. Realmuto 12 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 184 0.093 88.9 · 11.1% 401 4.0% 0.0% 5.9% 10
9 Justin Crawford Justin Crawford 10 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 188 0.085 88.3 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.6% 33
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