PHI
@
6:40p
MIA
Park Factor
0.94×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
0.943
Wind
0 mph
dome
Aaron Nola
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Liam Hicks | 55 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 10 | 0.261 | 88.1 | · | 38.9% | 371 | 23.3% | 25.0% | 36.0% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Connor Norby | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 85 | 0.150 | 88.2 | · | 18.8% | 390 | 9.7% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 19 |
| 3 |
|
Agustín Ramírez | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 102 | 0.125 | 89.2 | · | 12.5% | 415 | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 28 |
| 4 |
|
Jakob Marsee | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 111 | 0.085 | 87.8 | · | 5.6% | 351 | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 29 |
| 5 |
|
Graham Pauley | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 129 | 0.134 | 83.7 | · | 5.9% | 362 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.5% | 18 |
| 6 |
|
Otto Lopez | 25 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 139 | 0.170 | 91.5 | · | 13.3% | 390 | 6.2% | 0.0% | 12.5% | 39 |
| 7 |
|
Xavier Edwards | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 152 | 0.115 | 88.5 | · | 10.0% | 385 | 3.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 39 |
| 8 |
|
Owen Caissie | 19 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 163 | 0.138 | 90.7 | · | 15.4% | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.0% | 18 |
| 9 | Heriberto Hernández | 7 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 194 | 0.031 | 89.0 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.9% | 11 |
Janson Junk
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kyle Schwarber | 54 | 🟠 C | · | · | 11 | 0.315 | 92.8 | · | 42.9% | 404 | 23.3% | 23.1% | 35.7% | 32 |
| 2 |
|
Bryce Harper | 41 | ⚪ D | · | · | 52 | 0.240 | 88.5 | · | 16.7% | 411 | 16.7% | 15.4% | 16.0% | 38 |
| 3 |
|
Brandon Marsh | 30 | ⚪ D | · | · | 104 | 0.170 | 91.1 | · | 19.1% | 398 | 7.1% | 8.3% | 13.9% | 32 |
| 4 |
|
Trea Turner | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 113 | 0.119 | 90.2 | · | 14.3% | 383 | 13.3% | 15.4% | 6.5% | 39 |
| 5 |
|
Adolis García | 21 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 155 | 0.155 | 92.9 | · | 12.5% | 377 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 36 |
| 6 |
|
Alec Bohm | 21 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 156 | 0.059 | 88.9 | · | 8.3% | 354 | 3.4% | 0.0% | 5.7% | 38 |
| 7 |
|
Bryson Stott | 15 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 173 | 0.050 | 90.3 | · | 4.5% | 399 | 7.4% | 16.7% | 8.2% | 32 |
| 8 | J.T. Realmuto | 12 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 184 | 0.093 | 88.9 | · | 11.1% | 401 | 4.0% | 0.0% | 5.9% | 10 | |
| 9 |
|
Justin Crawford | 10 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 188 | 0.085 | 88.3 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 33 |