⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
PHI
@ 6:45p
BOS
Fenway Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.92×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light partial wind out · roof open
Combined
0.736
Temp
54.7°F
Wind
3.4 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kyle Schwarber Kyle Schwarber 87 🟢 A · 🌤️ WARM 5 0.378 92.6 24.2% 35.7% 403 28.9% 41.7% 35.9% 34
2 Bryce Harper Bryce Harper 68 🔵 C+ · · 21 0.266 88.8 14.4% 20.0% 407 21.1% 25.0% 28.7% 37
3 Adolis García Adolis García 35 ⚪ D · · 112 0.130 92.8 8.2% 33.3% 388 3.6% 8.3% 10.0% 38
4 Brandon Marsh Brandon Marsh 29 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 135 0.150 90.2 6.1% 0.0% 398 5.6% 0.0% 6.1% 39
5 Trea Turner Trea Turner 25 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 147 0.111 89.7 4.5% 5.9% 383 10.5% 8.3% 6.1% 40
6 Felix Reyes Felix Reyes 23 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 151 · 89.2 7.4% 0.0% 348 0.0% 0.0% 7.9% 12
7 J.T. Realmuto 18 ⚪ D · · 165 0.080 88.3 2.7% 0.0% 401 3.0% 0.0% 5.3% 31
8 Alec Bohm Alec Bohm 18 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 167 0.093 89.0 1.7% 16.7% 365 5.4% 9.1% 9.3% 35
9 Edmundo Sosa Edmundo Sosa 14 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 174 0.092 86.5 3.8% 14.3% 442 0.0% 0.0% 7.6% 23
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Willson Contreras Willson Contreras 57 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 44 0.201 91.1 17.0% 36.4% 409 18.4% 8.3% 16.7% 22
2 Wilyer Abreu Wilyer Abreu 48 ⚪ D · · 65 0.169 90.5 11.5% 11.1% 391 15.8% 16.7% 13.6% 30
3 Jarren Duran Jarren Duran 39 ⚪ D · · 95 0.122 90.0 9.5% 0.0% 397 7.9% 25.0% 10.0% 33
4 Ceddanne Rafaela Ceddanne Rafaela 37 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 101 0.149 86.8 7.9% 16.7% 364 10.8% 25.0% 16.1% 30
5 Carlos Narváez Carlos Narváez 30 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 129 0.111 91.8 8.6% 11.1% 386 9.5% 0.0% 7.7% 12
6 Andruw Monasterio Andruw Monasterio 29 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 137 0.138 90.3 6.5% 16.7% 388 25.0% 0.0% 8.7% 10
7 Trevor Story Trevor Story 24 ⚪ D · · 149 0.100 89.2 3.7% 0.0% 412 7.9% 8.3% 5.7% 24
8 Caleb Durbin Caleb Durbin 11 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 180 0.076 85.3 0.9% 0.0% 386 2.6% 0.0% 6.1% 27
9 Isiah Kiner-Falefa Isiah Kiner-Falefa 9 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 182 0.000 80.7 3.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 11.6% 5
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