PHI
@
6:45p
BOS
Park Factor
0.86×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · steady crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.774
Temp
57.3°F
Wind
8.1 mph
cross
Roof
open
Zack Wheeler
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Willson Contreras | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 90 | 0.224 | 91.2 | · | 26.7% | 409 | 19.4% | 18.2% | 18.9% | 26 |
| 2 |
|
Wilyer Abreu | 29 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌧️ COOL | 151 | 0.175 | 90.1 | · | 16.7% | 391 | 16.7% | 18.2% | 14.6% | 27 |
| 3 |
|
Jarren Duran | 20 | ⚪ D | +1000 | · | 215 | 0.080 | 89.9 | · | 25.0% | 397 | 8.3% | 27.3% | 13.1% | 32 |
| 4 |
|
Ceddanne Rafaela | 18 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 223 | 0.116 | 86.9 | · | 17.6% | 359 | 8.6% | 18.2% | 8.7% | 29 |
| 5 |
|
Carlos Narváez | 17 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 225 | 0.125 | 92.2 | · | 13.3% | 386 | 10.5% | 0.0% | 5.9% | 11 |
| 6 |
|
Marcelo Mayer | 13 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 235 | 0.120 | 87.3 | · | 0.0% | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.2% | 25 |
| 7 |
|
Roman Anthony | 11 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 240 | 0.084 | 92.3 | · | 5.9% | 391 | 3.1% | 0.0% | 6.1% | 18 |
| 8 |
|
Trevor Story | 9 | ⚪ D | +950 | ❄ COLD | 246 | 0.098 | 89.2 | · | 12.5% | 407 | 5.6% | 0.0% | 5.8% | 23 |
| 9 |
|
Caleb Durbin | 7 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 249 | 0.091 | 85.4 | · | 10.0% | 386 | 2.8% | 0.0% | 5.7% | 31 |