⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
PHI
@ 6:45p
BOS
Fenway Park · 9 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.86×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · steady crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.774
Temp
57.3°F
Wind
8.1 mph
cross
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Willson Contreras Willson Contreras 36 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 90 0.224 91.2 · 26.7% 409 19.4% 18.2% 18.9% 26
2 Wilyer Abreu Wilyer Abreu 29 ⚪ D +575 🌧️ COOL 151 0.175 90.1 · 16.7% 391 16.7% 18.2% 14.6% 27
3 Jarren Duran Jarren Duran 20 ⚪ D +1000 · 215 0.080 89.9 · 25.0% 397 8.3% 27.3% 13.1% 32
4 Ceddanne Rafaela Ceddanne Rafaela 18 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 223 0.116 86.9 · 17.6% 359 8.6% 18.2% 8.7% 29
5 Carlos Narváez Carlos Narváez 17 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 225 0.125 92.2 · 13.3% 386 10.5% 0.0% 5.9% 11
6 Marcelo Mayer Marcelo Mayer 13 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 235 0.120 87.3 · 0.0% 385 0.0% 0.0% 5.2% 25
7 Roman Anthony Roman Anthony 11 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 240 0.084 92.3 · 5.9% 391 3.1% 0.0% 6.1% 18
8 Trevor Story Trevor Story 9 ⚪ D +950 ❄ COLD 246 0.098 89.2 · 12.5% 407 5.6% 0.0% 5.8% 23
9 Caleb Durbin Caleb Durbin 7 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 249 0.091 85.4 · 10.0% 386 2.8% 0.0% 5.7% 31
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