PHI
@
7:15p
ATL
Park Factor
1.18×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
mild air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
1.178
Temp
67.8°F
Wind
6.9 mph
out
Roof
open
Zack Wheeler
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael Harris II | 90 | 🔥 A+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 5 | 0.255 | 95.4 | 19.7% | 40.0% | 391 | 20.8% | 27.3% | 39.1% | 30 | |
| 2 |
|
Matt Olson | 87 | 🟢 A | · | · | 10 | 0.296 | 92.1 | 17.7% | 28.0% | 416 | 24.0% | 25.0% | 30.1% | 44 |
| 3 |
|
Drake Baldwin | 73 | 🟡 B | · | · | 31 | 0.223 | 90.5 | 15.9% | 31.8% | 400 | 28.0% | 16.7% | 20.7% | 40 |
| 4 |
|
Dominic Smith | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 67 | 0.226 | 89.5 | 8.8% | 22.2% | 398 | 13.6% | 10.0% | 22.4% | 33 |
| 5 |
|
Austin Riley | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 90 | 0.137 | 90.4 | 9.0% | 14.3% | 385 | 8.0% | 16.7% | 14.7% | 41 |
| 6 |
|
Ronald Acuña Jr. | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 91 | 0.128 | 88.6 | 13.4% | 8.7% | 411 | 18.2% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 38 |
| 7 |
|
Ozzie Albies | 46 | ⚪ D | · | · | 126 | 0.171 | 86.2 | 3.3% | 17.2% | 379 | 16.0% | 16.7% | 13.1% | 47 |
| 8 |
|
Mauricio Dubón | 34 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 193 | 0.141 | 87.2 | 6.8% | 9.5% | 393 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.4% | 33 |
| 9 |
|
Mike Yastrzemski | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 208 | 0.061 | 91.2 | 3.4% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 27 |
Bryce Elder
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kyle Schwarber | 90 | 🔥 A+ | · | · | 6 | 0.295 | 92.9 | 21.8% | 34.8% | 402 | 22.7% | 25.0% | 35.9% | 32 |
| 2 |
|
Bryce Harper | 80 | 🟢 A | · | 🌤️ WARM | 20 | 0.257 | 88.5 | 13.9% | 24.0% | 411 | 22.7% | 33.3% | 31.9% | 38 |
| 3 |
|
Trea Turner | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 104 | 0.133 | 88.8 | 4.8% | 10.0% | 386 | 13.6% | 25.0% | 11.9% | 41 |
| 4 |
|
Brandon Marsh | 49 | ⚪ D | · | · | 111 | 0.188 | 91.6 | 5.9% | 21.1% | 398 | 9.5% | 8.3% | 15.4% | 36 |
| 5 |
|
Adolis García | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 144 | 0.143 | 92.8 | 9.2% | 20.0% | 377 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.2% | 30 |
| 6 |
|
Justin Crawford | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 192 | 0.095 | 88.5 | 1.7% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 35 |
| 7 |
|
Alec Bohm | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 196 | 0.056 | 88.8 | 1.3% | 7.7% | 354 | 4.5% | 0.0% | 7.9% | 36 |
| 8 | J.T. Realmuto | 23 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 242 | 0.093 | 88.4 | 2.3% | 7.1% | 401 | 5.3% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 21 | |
| 9 |
|
Bryson Stott | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 249 | 0.028 | 89.9 | 5.1% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 28 |