⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
PHI
@ 7:15p
ATL
Truist Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.18×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
mild air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
1.178
Temp
67.8°F
Wind
6.9 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Michael Harris II 90 🔥 A+ · 🌤️ WARM 5 0.255 95.4 19.7% 40.0% 391 20.8% 27.3% 39.1% 30
2 Matt Olson Matt Olson 87 🟢 A · · 10 0.296 92.1 17.7% 28.0% 416 24.0% 25.0% 30.1% 44
3 Drake Baldwin Drake Baldwin 73 🟡 B · · 31 0.223 90.5 15.9% 31.8% 400 28.0% 16.7% 20.7% 40
4 Dominic Smith Dominic Smith 60 🔵 C+ · · 67 0.226 89.5 8.8% 22.2% 398 13.6% 10.0% 22.4% 33
5 Austin Riley Austin Riley 53 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 90 0.137 90.4 9.0% 14.3% 385 8.0% 16.7% 14.7% 41
6 Ronald Acuña Jr. Ronald Acuña Jr. 53 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 91 0.128 88.6 13.4% 8.7% 411 18.2% 11.1% 8.5% 38
7 Ozzie Albies Ozzie Albies 46 ⚪ D · · 126 0.171 86.2 3.3% 17.2% 379 16.0% 16.7% 13.1% 47
8 Mauricio Dubón Mauricio Dubón 34 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 193 0.141 87.2 6.8% 9.5% 393 0.0% 0.0% 9.4% 33
9 Mike Yastrzemski Mike Yastrzemski 30 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 208 0.061 91.2 3.4% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.4% 27
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kyle Schwarber Kyle Schwarber 90 🔥 A+ · · 6 0.295 92.9 21.8% 34.8% 402 22.7% 25.0% 35.9% 32
2 Bryce Harper Bryce Harper 80 🟢 A · 🌤️ WARM 20 0.257 88.5 13.9% 24.0% 411 22.7% 33.3% 31.9% 38
3 Trea Turner Trea Turner 51 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 104 0.133 88.8 4.8% 10.0% 386 13.6% 25.0% 11.9% 41
4 Brandon Marsh Brandon Marsh 49 ⚪ D · · 111 0.188 91.6 5.9% 21.1% 398 9.5% 8.3% 15.4% 36
5 Adolis García Adolis García 41 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 144 0.143 92.8 9.2% 20.0% 377 0.0% 0.0% 10.2% 30
6 Justin Crawford Justin Crawford 34 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 192 0.095 88.5 1.7% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.4% 35
7 Alec Bohm Alec Bohm 33 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 196 0.056 88.8 1.3% 7.7% 354 4.5% 0.0% 7.9% 36
8 J.T. Realmuto 23 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 242 0.093 88.4 2.3% 7.1% 401 5.3% 0.0% 7.8% 21
9 Bryson Stott Bryson Stott 22 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 249 0.028 89.9 5.1% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.6% 28
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