⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
NYM
@ 2:20p
CHC
Wrigley Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.03×
Weather Mod
+2.0%
cold air · strong wind out · roof open
Combined
1.242
Temp
46.9°F
Wind
14.8 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ian Happ Ian Happ 87 🟢 A · · 9 0.306 90.9 18.4% 37.5% 377 36.8% 33.3% 36.2% 29
2 Moisés Ballesteros Moisés Ballesteros 81 🟢 A · 🌤️ WARM 16 0.238 93.8 16.7% 30.0% 403 20.0% 33.3% 31.2% 21
3 Dansby Swanson Dansby Swanson 68 🔵 C+ · · 38 0.200 90.7 13.5% 22.2% 377 21.1% 33.3% 25.5% 33
4 Carson Kelly Carson Kelly 64 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 48 0.180 95.2 13.5% 20.0% 422 11.8% 18.2% 20.0% 26
5 Nico Hoerner Nico Hoerner 43 ⚪ D · · 128 0.200 84.6 0.0% 15.8% 369 15.8% 25.0% 16.5% 51
6 Pete Crow-Armstrong Pete Crow-Armstrong 32 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 183 0.064 91.8 4.3% 6.2% 389 5.3% 8.3% 7.8% 36
7 Alex Bregman Alex Bregman 27 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 204 0.084 90.7 6.7% 12.5% 388 5.9% 0.0% 8.6% 45
8 Seiya Suzuki Seiya Suzuki 19 ⚪ D · · 240 0.033 87.5 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.8% 22
9 Michael Busch Michael Busch 18 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 242 0.029 84.7 4.5% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.8% 33
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Mark Vientos Mark Vientos 47 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 104 0.160 87.2 2.9% 15.4% 406 15.4% 14.3% 10.3% 25
2 Francisco Lindor Francisco Lindor 46 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 108 0.107 89.1 8.6% 6.7% 402 5.6% 10.0% 7.4% 42
3 Luis Robert Jr. 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 115 0.121 89.5 5.0% 20.0% 400 20.0% 0.0% 8.8% 30
4 Carson Benge Carson Benge 38 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 147 0.067 89.9 2.9% 12.5% 385 0.0% 0.0% 12.7% 26
5 Brett Baty Brett Baty 33 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 178 0.080 90.8 7.7% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.9% 21
6 Marcus Semien Marcus Semien 33 ⚪ D · · 179 0.081 86.7 5.9% 4.2% 407 0.0% 0.0% 6.7% 36
7 Bo Bichette Bo Bichette 27 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 206 0.068 90.4 1.8% 10.0% 344 5.6% 10.0% 8.0% 37
8 Luis Torrens Luis Torrens 23 ⚪ D · · 220 0.064 89.3 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.0% 9
9 MJ Melendez MJ Melendez 16 ⚪ D · · 249 · · 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 10.8% 5
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