NYM
@
2:20p
CHC
Park Factor
1.03×
Weather Mod
+2.0%
cold air · strong wind out · roof open
Combined
1.242
Temp
46.9°F
Wind
14.8 mph
out
Roof
open
Tobias Myers
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ian Happ | 87 | 🟢 A | · | · | 9 | 0.306 | 90.9 | 18.4% | 37.5% | 377 | 36.8% | 33.3% | 36.2% | 29 |
| 2 |
|
Moisés Ballesteros | 81 | 🟢 A | · | 🌤️ WARM | 16 | 0.238 | 93.8 | 16.7% | 30.0% | 403 | 20.0% | 33.3% | 31.2% | 21 |
| 3 |
|
Dansby Swanson ⚡ | 68 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 38 | 0.200 | 90.7 | 13.5% | 22.2% | 377 | 21.1% | 33.3% | 25.5% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Carson Kelly ⚡ | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 48 | 0.180 | 95.2 | 13.5% | 20.0% | 422 | 11.8% | 18.2% | 20.0% | 26 |
| 5 |
|
Nico Hoerner ⚡ | 43 | ⚪ D | · | · | 128 | 0.200 | 84.6 | 0.0% | 15.8% | 369 | 15.8% | 25.0% | 16.5% | 51 |
| 6 |
|
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 183 | 0.064 | 91.8 | 4.3% | 6.2% | 389 | 5.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 36 |
| 7 |
|
Alex Bregman | 27 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 204 | 0.084 | 90.7 | 6.7% | 12.5% | 388 | 5.9% | 0.0% | 8.6% | 45 |
| 8 |
|
Seiya Suzuki ⚡ | 19 | ⚪ D | · | · | 240 | 0.033 | 87.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 22 |
| 9 |
|
Michael Busch | 18 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 242 | 0.029 | 84.7 | 4.5% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.8% | 33 |
Javier Assad
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Mark Vientos | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 104 | 0.160 | 87.2 | 2.9% | 15.4% | 406 | 15.4% | 14.3% | 10.3% | 25 |
| 2 |
|
Francisco Lindor | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 108 | 0.107 | 89.1 | 8.6% | 6.7% | 402 | 5.6% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 42 |
| 3 | Luis Robert Jr. | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 115 | 0.121 | 89.5 | 5.0% | 20.0% | 400 | 20.0% | 0.0% | 8.8% | 30 | |
| 4 |
|
Carson Benge | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 147 | 0.067 | 89.9 | 2.9% | 12.5% | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.7% | 26 |
| 5 |
|
Brett Baty | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 178 | 0.080 | 90.8 | 7.7% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.9% | 21 |
| 6 |
|
Marcus Semien | 33 | ⚪ D | · | · | 179 | 0.081 | 86.7 | 5.9% | 4.2% | 407 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 36 |
| 7 |
|
Bo Bichette ⚡ | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 206 | 0.068 | 90.4 | 1.8% | 10.0% | 344 | 5.6% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 37 |
| 8 |
|
Luis Torrens | 23 | ⚪ D | · | · | 220 | 0.064 | 89.3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0% | 9 |
| 9 |
|
MJ Melendez | 16 | ⚪ D | · | · | 249 | · | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.8% | 5 |