NYM
@
2:20p
CHC
Park Factor
1.00×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
warm air · steady wind in · roof open
Combined
0.700
Temp
77.0°F
Wind
13.7 mph
in
Roof
open
Kodai Senga
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ian Happ | 74 | 🟡 B | · | · | 25 | 0.243 | 90.9 | 18.4% | 33.3% | 377 | 29.4% | 18.2% | 18.3% | 25 |
| 2 |
|
Dansby Swanson ⚡ | 68 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 40 | 0.217 | 90.7 | 13.5% | 28.6% | 377 | 23.5% | 36.4% | 26.9% | 30 |
| 3 |
|
Moisés Ballesteros | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 58 | 0.184 | 93.8 | 16.7% | 22.2% | 403 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 20.8% | 18 |
| 4 |
|
Carson Kelly ⚡ | 49 | ⚪ D | · | · | 91 | 0.134 | 95.2 | 13.5% | 12.5% | 422 | 6.7% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 25 |
| 5 |
|
Nico Hoerner ⚡ | 36 | ⚪ D | · | · | 155 | 0.183 | 84.6 | 0.0% | 12.5% | 369 | 11.8% | 18.2% | 11.2% | 44 |
| 6 |
|
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 178 | 0.070 | 91.8 | 4.3% | 7.7% | 389 | 5.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 34 |
| 7 |
|
Alex Bregman | 26 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 203 | 0.095 | 90.7 | 6.7% | 13.3% | 388 | 6.7% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 39 |
| 8 |
|
Michael Busch | 16 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 246 | 0.032 | 84.7 | 4.5% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.5% | 30 |
| 9 |
|
Seiya Suzuki ⚡ | 14 | ⚪ D | · | · | 252 | · | 87.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.5% | 16 |
Edward Cabrera
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Francisco Alvarez | 69 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 37 | 0.271 | 89.6 | 22.2% | 40.0% | 415 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 25.2% | 25 |
| 2 | Luis Robert Jr. | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 152 | 0.104 | 89.5 | 5.0% | 20.0% | 400 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 6.8% | 25 | |
| 3 |
|
Francisco Lindor | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 169 | 0.105 | 89.1 | 8.6% | 7.7% | 402 | 6.2% | 11.1% | 5.9% | 41 |
| 4 |
|
Carson Benge | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 177 | 0.075 | 89.9 | 2.9% | 14.3% | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 25 |
| 5 |
|
Brett Baty | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 202 | 0.085 | 90.8 | 7.7% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.3% | 24 |
| 6 |
|
Tyrone Taylor | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 212 | 0.026 | 85.3 | 5.0% | 0.0% | 419 | 7.7% | 12.5% | 6.6% | 16 |
| 7 |
|
Marcus Semien | 24 | ⚪ D | · | · | 217 | 0.075 | 86.7 | 5.9% | 4.3% | 407 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.2% | 37 |
| 8 |
|
Bo Bichette ⚡ | 20 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 232 | 0.076 | 90.4 | 1.8% | 11.1% | 344 | 6.2% | 11.1% | 6.2% | 36 |
| 9 |
|
MJ Melendez | 8 | ⚪ D | · | · | 260 | · | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 2 |