⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
NYM
@ 2:20p
CHC
Wrigley Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.00×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
warm air · steady wind in · roof open
Combined
0.700
Temp
77.0°F
Wind
13.7 mph
in
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ian Happ Ian Happ 74 🟡 B · · 25 0.243 90.9 18.4% 33.3% 377 29.4% 18.2% 18.3% 25
2 Dansby Swanson Dansby Swanson 68 🔵 C+ · · 40 0.217 90.7 13.5% 28.6% 377 23.5% 36.4% 26.9% 30
3 Moisés Ballesteros Moisés Ballesteros 60 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 58 0.184 93.8 16.7% 22.2% 403 0.0% 0.0% 20.8% 18
4 Carson Kelly Carson Kelly 49 ⚪ D · · 91 0.134 95.2 13.5% 12.5% 422 6.7% 10.0% 8.2% 25
5 Nico Hoerner Nico Hoerner 36 ⚪ D · · 155 0.183 84.6 0.0% 12.5% 369 11.8% 18.2% 11.2% 44
6 Pete Crow-Armstrong Pete Crow-Armstrong 31 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 178 0.070 91.8 4.3% 7.7% 389 5.9% 9.1% 7.5% 34
7 Alex Bregman Alex Bregman 26 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 203 0.095 90.7 6.7% 13.3% 388 6.7% 0.0% 8.1% 39
8 Michael Busch Michael Busch 16 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 246 0.032 84.7 4.5% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.5% 30
9 Seiya Suzuki Seiya Suzuki 14 ⚪ D · · 252 · 87.5 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 8.5% 16
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Francisco Alvarez Francisco Alvarez 69 🔵 C+ · · 37 0.271 89.6 22.2% 40.0% 415 0.0% 0.0% 25.2% 25
2 Luis Robert Jr. 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 152 0.104 89.5 5.0% 20.0% 400 33.3% 0.0% 6.8% 25
3 Francisco Lindor Francisco Lindor 33 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 169 0.105 89.1 8.6% 7.7% 402 6.2% 11.1% 5.9% 41
4 Carson Benge Carson Benge 31 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 177 0.075 89.9 2.9% 14.3% 385 0.0% 0.0% 6.4% 25
5 Brett Baty Brett Baty 26 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 202 0.085 90.8 7.7% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.3% 24
6 Tyrone Taylor Tyrone Taylor 25 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 212 0.026 85.3 5.0% 0.0% 419 7.7% 12.5% 6.6% 16
7 Marcus Semien Marcus Semien 24 ⚪ D · · 217 0.075 86.7 5.9% 4.3% 407 0.0% 0.0% 5.2% 37
8 Bo Bichette Bo Bichette 20 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 232 0.076 90.4 1.8% 11.1% 344 6.2% 11.1% 6.2% 36
9 MJ Melendez MJ Melendez 8 ⚪ D · · 260 · · 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 8.3% 2
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