NYM
@
9:40p
AZ
Park Factor
0.85×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
warm air · steady crosswind · retractable roof
Combined
0.849
Temp
74.4°F
Wind
8.1 mph
cross
Roof
retractable
Ryne Nelson
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Juan Soto | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 45 | 0.218 | 92.5 | · | 25.0% | 384 | 8.3% | 11.1% | 23.8% | 37 |
| 2 |
|
Mark Vientos ⚡ | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 104 | 0.111 | 89.9 | · | 26.7% | 411 | 10.0% | 7.7% | 13.2% | 24 |
| 3 |
|
Francisco Alvarez | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 125 | 0.169 | 89.7 | · | 17.6% | 415 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.1% | 26 |
| 4 |
|
Francisco Lindor | 25 | ⚪ D | · | · | 161 | 0.129 | 90.9 | · | 12.5% | 406 | 6.5% | 0.0% | 6.5% | 26 |
| 5 |
|
Bo Bichette ⚡ | 22 | ⚪ D | · | · | 174 | 0.089 | 91.2 | · | 8.3% | 365 | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 44 |
| 6 | Luis Robert Jr. | 22 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 175 | 0.105 | 90.2 | · | 0.0% | 400 | 5.0% | 0.0% | 6.3% | 3 | |
| 7 |
|
Carson Benge | 22 | ⚪ D | · | · | 176 | 0.093 | 90.7 | · | 16.7% | 403 | 4.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 30 |
| 8 |
|
Brett Baty | 15 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 210 | 0.102 | 89.6 | · | 4.8% | 414 | 2.9% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 25 |
| 9 |
|
Marcus Semien | 15 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 214 | 0.076 | 85.7 | · | 6.5% | 401 | 2.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 36 |
Nolan McLean
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Corbin Carroll | 41 | ⚪ D | · | · | 52 | 0.274 | 89.6 | · | 26.7% | 408 | 17.6% | 18.2% | 18.3% | 29 |
| 2 |
|
Ildemaro Vargas | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 71 | 0.326 | 87.1 | · | 25.0% | 395 | 14.3% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 42 |
| 3 |
|
Adrian Del Castillo ⚡ | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 94 | 0.167 | 89.1 | · | 20.0% | 403 | 18.2% | 20.0% | 13.6% | 19 |
| 4 |
|
Geraldo Perdomo | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 148 | 0.140 | 86.9 | · | 7.1% | 382 | 4.8% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 25 |
| 5 |
|
Nolan Arenado ⚡ | 26 | ⚪ D | · | · | 151 | 0.179 | 83.3 | · | 21.1% | 400 | 12.9% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 23 |
| 6 |
|
Jorge Barrosa | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 178 | 0.204 | 85.9 | · | 12.5% | 351 | 5.0% | 0.0% | 9.1% | 13 |
| 7 |
|
Ketel Marte | 20 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 192 | 0.159 | 92.0 | · | 26.3% | 411 | 5.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 33 |
| 8 |
|
Alek Thomas | 20 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 193 | 0.171 | 89.9 | · | 12.5% | 408 | 4.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 19 |
| 9 |
|
Jose Fernandez ⚡ | 15 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 211 | 0.145 | 89.6 | · | 42.9% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.9% | 22 |