MIN
@
1:35p
PIT
Park Factor
0.82×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
warm air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.824
Temp
72.7°F
Wind
3 mph
cross
Roof
open
Zebby Matthews
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Brandon Lowe | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 53 | 0.272 | 90.0 | 10.1% | 27.5% | 396 | 14.9% | 16.7% | 19.3% | 33 |
| 2 |
|
Oneil Cruz | 57 | 🟠 C | · | · | 64 | 0.206 | 96.2 | 11.2% | 28.6% | 414 | 24.0% | 25.0% | 22.6% | 28 |
| 3 |
|
Spencer Horwitz | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 102 | 0.178 | 86.0 | 6.8% | 20.0% | 387 | 10.9% | 33.3% | 17.8% | 42 |
| 4 |
|
Ryan O'Hearn | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 128 | 0.161 | 90.3 | 7.3% | 19.4% | 392 | 12.9% | 0.0% | 16.0% | 24 |
| 5 |
|
Henry Davis | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 134 | 0.153 | 90.5 | 8.7% | 28.6% | 397 | 8.0% | 20.0% | 14.7% | 17 |
| 6 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 136 | 0.164 | 91.0 | 8.2% | 13.6% | 413 | 11.5% | 15.4% | 9.5% | 38 |
| 7 |
|
Jake Mangum | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 252 | 0.019 | 84.3 | 3.0% | 0.0% | 410 | 5.3% | 25.0% | 5.6% | 25 |
| 8 |
|
Jared Triolo | 11 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 267 | 0.050 | 86.2 | 3.6% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.9% | 21 |
| 9 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 11 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 268 | 0.050 | 86.1 | 3.8% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.9% | 40 |
Braxton Ashcraft
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kody Clemens | 42 | ⚪ D | · | · | 149 | 0.209 | 92.3 | 8.8% | 10.3% | 396 | 5.6% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 45 |
| 2 |
|
Brooks Lee | 31 | ⚪ D | · | · | 217 | 0.154 | 86.7 | 4.9% | 12.5% | 367 | 12.0% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 32 |
| 3 |
|
Alex Jackson | 30 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 222 | 0.164 | 89.4 | 6.7% | 21.4% | 396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.3% | 4 |
| 4 |
|
Austin Martin | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 233 | 0.096 | 86.5 | 4.1% | 5.6% | 392 | 3.0% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 35 |
| 5 |
|
Josh Bell | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 243 | 0.115 | 89.6 | 7.3% | 14.8% | 397 | 2.7% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 36 |
| 6 |
|
Tristan Gray ⚡ | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 248 | 0.112 | 89.9 | 6.8% | 16.7% | 390 | 8.3% | 0.0% | 6.8% | 15 |
| 7 |
|
Trevor Larnach | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 249 | 0.145 | 86.5 | 5.9% | 9.5% | 395 | 4.3% | 0.0% | 6.8% | 30 |
| 8 |
|
Luke Keaschall | 15 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 263 | 0.089 | 84.2 | 4.1% | 6.9% | 367 | 2.1% | 0.0% | 5.4% | 30 |
| 9 |
|
Orlando Arcia ⚡ | 13 | ⚪ D | · | · | 266 | 0.035 | 86.2 | 5.2% | 17.2% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.3% | 20 |