MIN
@
4:05p
PIT
Park Factor
0.89×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
warm air · steady crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.888
Temp
72.0°F
Wind
8.1 mph
cross
Roof
open
Bailey Ober
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Brandon Lowe | 67 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 23 | 0.278 | 90.0 | 11.2% | 27.5% | 396 | 15.2% | 16.7% | 21.4% | 31 |
| 2 |
|
Oneil Cruz | 56 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 75 | 0.196 | 96.3 | 12.2% | 28.6% | 414 | 22.4% | 16.7% | 20.7% | 26 |
| 3 |
|
Spencer Horwitz | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 94 | 0.183 | 86.0 | 7.1% | 20.0% | 383 | 8.9% | 27.3% | 18.5% | 37 |
| 4 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 129 | 0.152 | 90.7 | 8.8% | 13.6% | 413 | 11.8% | 15.4% | 9.0% | 39 |
| 5 |
|
Endy Rodríguez | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 172 | 0.184 | 89.2 | 8.0% | 14.3% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.6% | 9 |
| 6 |
|
Konnor Griffin | 37 | ⚪ D | · | · | 188 | 0.131 | 87.7 | 8.6% | 22.2% | 393 | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 32 |
| 7 |
|
Jared Triolo | 16 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 260 | 0.052 | 86.4 | 4.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.0% | 18 |
| 8 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 16 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 261 | 0.052 | 85.9 | 4.1% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.0% | 38 |
| 9 |
|
Jake Mangum | 13 | ⚪ D | · | · | 266 | 0.019 | 83.5 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.8% | 21 |
Mitch Keller
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Byron Buxton | 66 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 27 | 0.333 | 90.1 | 9.9% | 37.2% | 396 | 31.9% | 22.2% | 21.6% | 23 |
| 2 |
|
Kody Clemens | 42 | ⚪ D | · | · | 157 | 0.195 | 92.1 | 8.1% | 10.3% | 396 | 5.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 43 |
| 3 |
|
Austin Martin | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 224 | 0.097 | 86.5 | 4.0% | 5.6% | 392 | 3.1% | 10.0% | 4.7% | 34 |
| 4 |
|
Trevor Larnach | 29 | ⚪ D | · | · | 228 | 0.128 | 86.5 | 5.8% | 9.5% | 395 | 4.3% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 31 |
| 5 |
|
Josh Bell | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 233 | 0.117 | 89.8 | 7.1% | 14.8% | 397 | 2.8% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 36 |
| 6 |
|
Tristan Gray | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 235 | 0.115 | 89.6 | 6.6% | 16.7% | 390 | 9.1% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 15 |
| 7 |
|
Victor Caratini | 23 | ⚪ D | · | · | 246 | 0.076 | 89.0 | 5.0% | 15.4% | 415 | 4.3% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 21 |
| 8 |
|
Luke Keaschall | 16 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 262 | 0.086 | 84.1 | 4.0% | 6.9% | 367 | 2.2% | 0.0% | 4.8% | 26 |
| 9 |
|
Orlando Arcia | 12 | ⚪ D | · | · | 269 | 0.035 | 86.9 | · | 17.2% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.6% | 15 |