⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
MIN
@ 4:05p
PIT
PNC Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.89×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
warm air · steady crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.888
Temp
72.0°F
Wind
8.1 mph
cross
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 67 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 23 0.278 90.0 11.2% 27.5% 396 15.2% 16.7% 21.4% 31
2 Oneil Cruz Oneil Cruz 56 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 75 0.196 96.3 12.2% 28.6% 414 22.4% 16.7% 20.7% 26
3 Spencer Horwitz Spencer Horwitz 53 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 94 0.183 86.0 7.1% 20.0% 383 8.9% 27.3% 18.5% 37
4 Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds 47 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 129 0.152 90.7 8.8% 13.6% 413 11.8% 15.4% 9.0% 39
5 Endy Rodríguez Endy Rodríguez 40 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 172 0.184 89.2 8.0% 14.3% · 0.0% 0.0% 10.6% 9
6 Konnor Griffin Konnor Griffin 37 ⚪ D · · 188 0.131 87.7 8.6% 22.2% 393 5.4% 8.3% 7.1% 32
7 Jared Triolo Jared Triolo 16 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 260 0.052 86.4 4.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.0% 18
8 Nick Gonzales Nick Gonzales 16 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 261 0.052 85.9 4.1% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.0% 38
9 Jake Mangum Jake Mangum 13 ⚪ D · · 266 0.019 83.5 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.8% 21
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Byron Buxton Byron Buxton 66 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 27 0.333 90.1 9.9% 37.2% 396 31.9% 22.2% 21.6% 23
2 Kody Clemens Kody Clemens 42 ⚪ D · · 157 0.195 92.1 8.1% 10.3% 396 5.9% 10.0% 10.1% 43
3 Austin Martin Austin Martin 30 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 224 0.097 86.5 4.0% 5.6% 392 3.1% 10.0% 4.7% 34
4 Trevor Larnach Trevor Larnach 29 ⚪ D · · 228 0.128 86.5 5.8% 9.5% 395 4.3% 10.0% 8.7% 31
5 Josh Bell Josh Bell 27 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 233 0.117 89.8 7.1% 14.8% 397 2.8% 10.0% 8.1% 36
6 Tristan Gray Tristan Gray 26 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 235 0.115 89.6 6.6% 16.7% 390 9.1% 0.0% 7.4% 15
7 Victor Caratini Victor Caratini 23 ⚪ D · · 246 0.076 89.0 5.0% 15.4% 415 4.3% 11.1% 7.3% 21
8 Luke Keaschall Luke Keaschall 16 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 262 0.086 84.1 4.0% 6.9% 367 2.2% 0.0% 4.8% 26
9 Orlando Arcia Orlando Arcia 12 ⚪ D · · 269 0.035 86.9 · 17.2% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.6% 15
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