MIN
@
1:35p
BOS
Park Factor
0.86×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.690
Temp
52.8°F
Wind
6.0 mph
cross
Roof
open
Sonny Gray
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ryan Kreidler | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 27 | 0.298 | 90.0 | 11.0% | 14.3% | 413 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 23.2% | 13 |
| 2 |
|
Kody Clemens | 42 | ⚪ D | · | · | 145 | 0.193 | 92.2 | 11.0% | 11.1% | 402 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.4% | 38 |
| 3 |
|
Orlando Arcia | 39 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 165 | 0.208 | 85.4 | 8.2% | 19.2% | 401 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.9% | 5 |
| 4 |
|
James Outman | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 186 | 0.187 | 84.7 | 6.8% | 14.3% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.6% | 14 |
| 5 |
|
Josh Bell | 35 | ⚪ D | · | · | 204 | 0.124 | 89.8 | 9.9% | 16.7% | 397 | 3.1% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 32 |
| 6 |
|
Victor Caratini | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 212 | 0.086 | 88.8 | 7.2% | 18.2% | 415 | 4.7% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 17 |
| 7 |
|
Trevor Larnach | 33 | ⚪ D | · | · | 221 | 0.135 | 86.2 | 7.9% | 11.1% | 381 | 4.8% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 22 |
| 8 |
|
Brooks Lee | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 236 | 0.144 | 87.1 | 6.5% | 15.0% | 364 | 11.1% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 34 |
| 9 |
|
Austin Martin | 24 | ⚪ D | · | · | 256 | 0.097 | 85.9 | 5.1% | 5.9% | 392 | 3.6% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 37 |
Bailey Ober
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Willson Contreras | 50 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 91 | 0.218 | 90.0 | 11.3% | 31.6% | 413 | 19.1% | 16.7% | 14.6% | 33 |
| 2 |
|
Jarren Duran | 44 | ⚪ D | · | · | 132 | 0.154 | 90.2 | 9.6% | 30.0% | 387 | 10.6% | 16.7% | 12.9% | 32 |
| 3 |
|
Wilyer Abreu | 41 | ⚪ D | · | · | 148 | 0.152 | 90.0 | 9.7% | 13.6% | 391 | 12.8% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 41 |
| 4 |
|
Ceddanne Rafaela | 40 | ⚪ D | · | · | 157 | 0.167 | 87.2 | 7.8% | 19.1% | 364 | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 28 |
| 5 |
|
Marcelo Mayer | 29 | ⚪ D | · | · | 234 | 0.088 | 86.8 | 7.8% | 4.3% | 382 | 3.0% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 28 |
| 6 |
|
Masataka Yoshida | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 239 | 0.100 | 87.7 | 3.2% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.6% | 26 |
| 7 |
|
Carlos Narváez | 26 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 247 | 0.105 | 91.3 | 7.9% | 11.8% | 386 | 7.1% | 0.0% | 5.7% | 13 |
| 8 |
|
Caleb Durbin | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 248 | 0.070 | 84.9 | 3.7% | 8.3% | 386 | 2.2% | 0.0% | 5.4% | 17 |
| 9 |
|
Nick Sogard | 19 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 272 | 0.086 | 81.8 | 7.2% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.6% | 15 |