⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
MIN
@ 1:35p
BOS
Fenway Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.86×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.690
Temp
52.8°F
Wind
6.0 mph
cross
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ryan Kreidler Ryan Kreidler 65 🔵 C+ · · 27 0.298 90.0 11.0% 14.3% 413 25.0% 25.0% 23.2% 13
2 Kody Clemens Kody Clemens 42 ⚪ D · · 145 0.193 92.2 11.0% 11.1% 402 0.0% 0.0% 9.4% 38
3 Orlando Arcia Orlando Arcia 39 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 165 0.208 85.4 8.2% 19.2% 401 0.0% 0.0% 16.9% 5
4 James Outman James Outman 37 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 186 0.187 84.7 6.8% 14.3% · 0.0% 0.0% 9.6% 14
5 Josh Bell Josh Bell 35 ⚪ D · · 204 0.124 89.8 9.9% 16.7% 397 3.1% 10.0% 8.8% 32
6 Victor Caratini Victor Caratini 34 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 212 0.086 88.8 7.2% 18.2% 415 4.7% 10.0% 8.4% 17
7 Trevor Larnach Trevor Larnach 33 ⚪ D · · 221 0.135 86.2 7.9% 11.1% 381 4.8% 11.1% 6.6% 22
8 Brooks Lee Brooks Lee 29 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 236 0.144 87.1 6.5% 15.0% 364 11.1% 0.0% 7.4% 34
9 Austin Martin Austin Martin 24 ⚪ D · · 256 0.097 85.9 5.1% 5.9% 392 3.6% 10.0% 7.0% 37
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Willson Contreras Willson Contreras 50 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 91 0.218 90.0 11.3% 31.6% 413 19.1% 16.7% 14.6% 33
2 Jarren Duran Jarren Duran 44 ⚪ D · · 132 0.154 90.2 9.6% 30.0% 387 10.6% 16.7% 12.9% 32
3 Wilyer Abreu Wilyer Abreu 41 ⚪ D · · 148 0.152 90.0 9.7% 13.6% 391 12.8% 0.0% 8.3% 41
4 Ceddanne Rafaela Ceddanne Rafaela 40 ⚪ D · · 157 0.167 87.2 7.8% 19.1% 364 8.7% 8.3% 8.0% 28
5 Marcelo Mayer Marcelo Mayer 29 ⚪ D · · 234 0.088 86.8 7.8% 4.3% 382 3.0% 10.0% 6.2% 28
6 Masataka Yoshida Masataka Yoshida 28 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 239 0.100 87.7 3.2% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.6% 26
7 Carlos Narváez Carlos Narváez 26 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 247 0.105 91.3 7.9% 11.8% 386 7.1% 0.0% 5.7% 13
8 Caleb Durbin Caleb Durbin 26 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 248 0.070 84.9 3.7% 8.3% 386 2.2% 0.0% 5.4% 17
9 Nick Sogard Nick Sogard 19 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 272 0.086 81.8 7.2% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.6% 15
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