⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
MIL
@ 7:45p
STL
Busch Stadium · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.94×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cold air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Combined
0.850
Temp
53.1°F
Wind
10.4 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
Brandon Sproat
Brandon Sproat RHP 💥 Meltdown
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jordan Walker Jordan Walker 54 🟠 C · · 18 0.264 96.0 · 36.4% 406 20.0% 18.2% 28.1% 32
2 Nathan Church Nathan Church 50 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 31 0.211 86.8 · 33.3% 387 16.7% 25.0% 28.5% 45
3 Pedro Pagés Pedro Pagés 43 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 50 0.183 86.0 · 23.1% 397 8.3% 0.0% 23.3% 22
4 JJ Wetherholt JJ Wetherholt 42 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 52 0.194 90.2 · 19.2% 394 6.2% 8.3% 23.6% 46
5 Ivan Herrera Ivan Herrera 38 ⚪ D · · 78 0.178 90.8 · 18.8% 400 9.1% 12.5% 15.4% 34
6 Nolan Gorman Nolan Gorman 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 93 0.147 88.0 · 19.2% 403 10.0% 8.3% 11.8% 36
7 Alec Burleson Alec Burleson 35 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 108 0.154 91.2 · 18.2% 414 16.1% 18.2% 11.8% 37
8 Victor Scott II Victor Scott II 25 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 173 0.055 87.5 · 14.3% 415 0.0% 0.0% 8.5% 23
9 Masyn Winn Masyn Winn 25 ⚪ D · · 174 0.109 86.4 · 9.1% 373 3.3% 0.0% 8.2% 39
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Brice Turang Brice Turang 40 ⚪ D · · 67 0.208 92.7 · 26.3% 401 12.5% 8.3% 15.1% 36
2 Jake Bauers Jake Bauers 36 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 91 0.206 92.6 · 32.0% 395 11.8% 0.0% 16.2% 34
3 Sal Frelick Sal Frelick 31 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 134 0.096 84.7 · 14.3% 402 6.9% 9.1% 8.9% 37
4 William Contreras William Contreras 27 ⚪ D · · 165 0.116 89.8 · 27.3% 404 6.5% 8.3% 8.5% 51
5 Garrett Mitchell Garrett Mitchell 23 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 194 0.139 90.0 · 16.7% 420 0.0% 0.0% 8.7% 30
6 Luis Rengifo Luis Rengifo 19 ⚪ D · · 217 0.079 87.4 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.6% 39
7 David Hamilton David Hamilton 10 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 250 0.029 84.6 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.6% 32
8 Brandon Lockridge Brandon Lockridge 9 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 257 0.042 86.0 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.2% 18
9 Joey Ortiz Joey Ortiz 8 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 258 0.000 86.1 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 8.1% 18
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