⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
MIL
@ 2:10p
MIN
Target Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.99×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
cool air · strong crosswind · roof open
Combined
1.091
Temp
64.7°F
Wind
16.1 mph
cross
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ryan Jeffers Ryan Jeffers 69 🔵 C+ · · 32 0.238 91.0 14.7% 27.3% 404 15.8% 20.0% 25.1% 25
2 Kody Clemens Kody Clemens 54 🟠 C · · 73 0.192 92.3 14.7% 14.3% 402 0.0% 0.0% 10.2% 24
3 Ryan Kreidler Ryan Kreidler 48 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 100 0.158 89.0 13.3% 16.7% 412 0.0% 0.0% 10.8% 4
4 Royce Lewis Royce Lewis 43 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 137 0.129 87.9 11.8% 21.4% 382 13.6% 0.0% 7.6% 21
5 Brooks Lee Brooks Lee 33 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 188 0.144 87.0 4.7% 16.7% 364 12.5% 0.0% 8.0% 44
6 Victor Caratini Victor Caratini 26 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 225 0.039 88.8 4.8% 12.5% 423 2.7% 0.0% 6.7% 15
7 Luke Keaschall Luke Keaschall 23 ⚪ D · · 233 0.070 84.3 3.7% 8.3% 367 2.6% 0.0% 6.0% 29
8 Austin Martin Austin Martin 20 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 242 0.096 86.1 2.2% 0.0% 406 0.0% 0.0% 5.1% 36
9 James Outman James Outman 16 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 253 0.055 84.5 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.4% 7
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jackson Chourio Jackson Chourio 59 🟠 C · · 52 0.127 92.8 24.1% 14.3% 400 6.2% 25.0% 6.4% 29
2 Jake Bauers Jake Bauers 56 🟠 C · · 66 0.204 92.6 11.2% 30.8% 399 12.5% 11.1% 21.0% 16
3 Brice Turang Brice Turang 51 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 87 0.213 91.8 9.6% 28.0% 405 9.8% 9.1% 21.8% 31
4 Garrett Mitchell Garrett Mitchell 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 116 0.112 91.7 13.4% 11.1% 420 0.0% 0.0% 8.0% 18
5 William Contreras William Contreras 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 168 0.111 90.1 6.4% 25.0% 404 7.5% 9.1% 7.5% 35
6 Christian Yelich Christian Yelich 31 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 193 0.127 89.2 5.1% 20.0% 421 0.0% 0.0% 10.7% 2
7 Sal Frelick Sal Frelick 22 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 239 0.085 84.7 3.4% 11.1% 402 5.3% 0.0% 7.9% 31
8 Joey Ortiz Joey Ortiz 16 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 251 0.044 85.6 3.8% 8.3% 395 0.0% 0.0% 5.8% 22
9 David Hamilton David Hamilton 9 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 266 0.021 84.3 2.5% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.2% 15
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