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MIL
@
8:10p
HOU
Park Factor
1.09×
Weather Mod
+2.0%
hot air · steady crosswind · retractable roof
Combined
1.310
Temp
88.6°F
Wind
8.1 mph
cross
Roof
retractable
Coleman Crow
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Yordan Alvarez | 73 | 🟡 B | +390 | · | 12 | 0.343 | 94.5 | 11.1% | 25.0% | 403 | 30.6% | 25.0% | 23.6% | 30 |
| 2 |
|
Christian Walker | 69 | 🔵 C+ | +500 | · | 18 | 0.274 | 90.5 | 9.1% | 37.1% | 394 | 24.1% | 33.3% | 26.5% | 34 |
| 3 |
|
Isaac Paredes | 45 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌤️ WARM | 128 | 0.122 | 87.0 | 5.8% | 14.3% | 369 | 7.5% | 18.2% | 10.5% | 38 |
| 4 |
|
Jake Meyers | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 136 | 0.134 | 86.0 | 8.3% | 16.7% | 391 | 11.8% | 33.3% | 8.3% | 17 |
| 5 |
|
Cam Smith | 38 | ⚪ D | +675 | 🌧️ COOL | 158 | 0.119 | 87.8 | 9.2% | 13.6% | 416 | 9.6% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 28 |
| 6 |
|
Taylor Trammell | 38 | ⚪ D | +950 | ❄ COLD | 160 | 0.175 | 90.5 | 4.9% | 20.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.8% | 7 |
| 7 |
|
Braden Shewmake | 35 | ⚪ D | +950 | ❄ COLD | 171 | 0.182 | 90.3 | 6.6% | 21.4% | 376 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.0% | 29 |
| 8 |
|
Nick Allen | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 216 | 0.082 | 86.1 | · | 0.0% | 367 | 5.6% | 33.3% | 8.6% | 9 |
| 9 |
|
César Salazar | 11 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 251 | · | 87.3 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.5% | 5 |
Kai-Wei Teng
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jake Bauers | 68 | 🔵 C+ | +575 | 🌤️ WARM | 20 | 0.258 | 92.1 | 8.0% | 31.0% | 401 | 15.2% | 20.0% | 32.1% | 27 |
| 2 |
|
Christian Yelich | 58 | 🟠 C | +850 | 🌤️ WARM | 54 | 0.186 | 89.5 | 6.3% | 22.2% | 402 | 9.5% | 40.0% | 25.1% | 27 |
| 3 |
|
Garrett Mitchell | 52 | 🟠 C | +750 | 🌤️ WARM | 77 | 0.141 | 92.5 | 8.6% | 27.3% | 415 | 5.9% | 20.0% | 20.1% | 14 |
| 4 |
|
Jackson Chourio | 47 | ⚪ D | +700 | · | 108 | 0.141 | 93.0 | 10.0% | 5.3% | 400 | 4.5% | 12.5% | 6.1% | 33 |
| 5 |
|
William Contreras | 45 | ⚪ D | +1000 | 🌤️ WARM | 125 | 0.142 | 90.4 | 6.3% | 22.2% | 406 | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 38 |
| 6 |
|
Brice Turang | 43 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 134 | 0.188 | 91.3 | 6.6% | 29.6% | 400 | 9.8% | 8.3% | 16.2% | 25 |
| 7 |
|
Sal Frelick | 32 | ⚪ D | +1000 | 🌤️ WARM | 198 | 0.092 | 85.6 | 3.8% | 10.0% | 402 | 4.3% | 0.0% | 8.9% | 36 |
| 8 |
|
Luis Rengifo | 21 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 235 | 0.057 | 87.3 | 5.3% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 27 |
| 9 |
|
David Hamilton | 17 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 243 | 0.054 | 84.8 | 3.3% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 20 |