MIL
@
6:40p
DET
Park Factor
0.97×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
cool air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.972
Temp
63.9°F
Wind
3.9 mph
cross
Roof
open
Casey Mize
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Gary Sánchez | 74 | 🟡 B | · | ❄ COLD | 21 | 0.383 | 91.4 | 29.4% | 71.4% | 405 | 40.0% | 25.0% | 30.5% | 25 |
| 2 |
|
Jake Bauers | 67 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 35 | 0.236 | 93.7 | 15.4% | 33.3% | 395 | 28.6% | 28.6% | 27.4% | 32 |
| 3 |
|
Brice Turang | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 47 | 0.253 | 93.5 | 10.3% | 25.0% | 401 | 14.3% | 20.0% | 26.4% | 29 |
| 4 |
|
Garrett Mitchell | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 84 | 0.163 | 96.8 | 19.0% | 25.0% | 420 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.5% | 14 |
| 5 |
|
William Contreras | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 154 | 0.154 | 91.8 | 4.3% | 13.3% | 397 | 5.0% | 0.0% | 8.5% | 37 |
| 6 |
|
Luis Rengifo | 25 | ⚪ D | · | · | 206 | 0.095 | 85.6 | 7.9% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.1% | 27 |
| 7 |
|
Sal Frelick | 13 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 251 | 0.071 | 85.7 | 2.4% | 8.3% | 407 | 5.3% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 33 |
| 8 |
|
Brandon Lockridge | 10 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 257 | 0.054 | 83.9 | 3.1% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 19 |
| 9 |
|
David Hamilton ⚡ | 6 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 261 | 0.000 | 84.2 | 3.6% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 24 |
Chad Patrick
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Dillon Dingler | 70 | 🟡 B | · | · | 29 | 0.264 | 92.8 | 15.8% | 27.8% | 413 | 18.2% | 25.0% | 22.4% | 38 |
| 2 |
|
Kerry Carpenter | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 46 | 0.216 | 93.3 | 14.3% | 25.0% | 382 | 18.2% | 16.7% | 20.1% | 18 |
| 3 |
|
Riley Greene | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 107 | 0.121 | 89.0 | 12.8% | 5.3% | 408 | 4.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 29 |
| 4 |
|
Kevin McGonigle | 38 | ⚪ D | · | · | 141 | 0.172 | 88.1 | 9.4% | 3.9% | 408 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 0 |
| 5 |
|
Colt Keith | 32 | ⚪ D | · | · | 179 | 0.103 | 93.9 | 9.8% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.0% | 28 |
| 6 |
|
Javier Báez | 29 | ⚪ D | · | · | 190 | 0.131 | 86.7 | 3.0% | 12.5% | 354 | 11.1% | 11.1% | 6.2% | 32 |
| 7 |
|
Spencer Torkelson ⚡ | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 221 | 0.043 | 89.8 | 9.7% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.8% | 23 |
| 8 |
|
Gleyber Torres | 22 | ⚪ D | · | · | 222 | 0.058 | 83.9 | 6.4% | 5.0% | 364 | 4.3% | 0.0% | 5.3% | 41 |
| 9 |
|
Zach McKinstry | 18 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 235 | 0.117 | 85.9 | 3.1% | 12.5% | 399 | 4.8% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 17 |