⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
MIL
@ 6:40p
DET
Comerica Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.97×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · steady crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.681
Temp
42.8°F
Wind
9.7 mph
cross
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Dillon Dingler Dillon Dingler 77 🟡 B · · 16 0.283 92.8 15.8% 29.4% 413 19.0% 25.0% 28.3% 38
2 Kerry Carpenter Kerry Carpenter 67 🔵 C+ · · 32 0.228 93.3 14.3% 25.0% 382 19.0% 16.7% 26.5% 17
3 Riley Greene Riley Greene 47 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 83 0.125 89.0 12.8% 5.3% 408 4.5% 7.7% 6.7% 27
4 Kevin McGonigle Kevin McGonigle 42 ⚪ D · · 105 0.171 88.1 9.4% 4.0% 408 0.0% 0.0% 10.2% 0
5 Colt Keith Colt Keith 36 ⚪ D · · 139 0.104 93.9 9.8% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.2% 29
6 Javier Báez Javier Báez 34 ⚪ D · · 153 0.138 86.7 3.0% 14.3% 354 12.5% 12.5% 8.2% 32
7 Spencer Torkelson Spencer Torkelson 26 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 189 0.045 89.8 9.7% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.0% 24
8 Gleyber Torres Gleyber Torres 26 ⚪ D · · 191 0.060 83.9 6.4% 5.0% 364 4.5% 0.0% 6.6% 43
9 Zach McKinstry Zach McKinstry 25 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 195 0.117 85.9 3.1% 12.5% 399 5.0% 0.0% 7.7% 19
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jake Bauers Jake Bauers 70 🟡 B · · 27 0.239 93.7 15.4% 35.7% 395 33.3% 33.3% 22.9% 27
2 Brice Turang Brice Turang 68 🔵 C+ · 🔥 HOT 28 0.271 93.5 10.3% 26.7% 401 15.0% 20.0% 21.7% 23
3 Garrett Mitchell Garrett Mitchell 48 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 82 0.140 96.8 19.0% 25.0% 420 0.0% 0.0% 6.6% 10
4 William Contreras William Contreras 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 142 0.165 91.8 4.3% 15.4% 397 5.3% 0.0% 7.6% 35
5 Luis Rengifo Luis Rengifo 28 ⚪ D · · 182 0.100 85.6 7.9% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.1% 28
6 Brandon Lockridge Brandon Lockridge 13 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 234 0.054 83.9 3.1% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.3% 19
7 Sal Frelick Sal Frelick 13 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 235 0.074 85.7 2.4% 9.1% 407 5.6% 0.0% 5.6% 33
8 David Hamilton David Hamilton 8 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 242 0.000 84.2 3.6% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.7% 21
9 Joey Ortiz Joey Ortiz 8 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 243 0.000 85.4 5.7% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.9% 22
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