MIL
@
7:40p
CHC
Park Factor
1.05×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
mild air · steady crosswind · roof open
Combined
1.161
Temp
69.2°F
Wind
13.8 mph
cross
Roof
open
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ian Happ | 76 | 🟡 B | +850 | 🌤️ WARM | 11 | 0.232 | 90.4 | 17.1% | 33.3% | 400 | 23.4% | 15.4% | 34.9% | 24 |
| 2 |
|
Moisés Ballesteros | 56 | 🟠 C | · | · | 53 | 0.219 | 90.9 | 12.6% | 27.3% | 390 | 8.3% | 0.0% | 17.5% | 16 |
| 3 |
|
Michael Busch | 52 | 🟠 C | +850 | 🔥 HOT | 64 | 0.125 | 88.2 | 11.8% | 10.8% | 401 | 8.5% | 15.4% | 10.6% | 31 |
| 4 |
|
Dansby Swanson | 47 | ⚪ D | +850 | · | 85 | 0.166 | 90.3 | 9.1% | 11.1% | 398 | 14.9% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 36 |
| 5 |
|
Seiya Suzuki | 44 | ⚪ D | +950 | ❄ COLD | 97 | 0.226 | 88.6 | 7.7% | 30.0% | 414 | 10.7% | 0.0% | 17.9% | 32 |
| 6 |
|
Miguel Amaya | 42 | ⚪ D | +1000 | · | 113 | 0.123 | 86.6 | 8.0% | 33.3% | 384 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 16.8% | 12 |
| 7 |
|
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 39 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌧️ COOL | 133 | 0.133 | 91.0 | 7.9% | 14.3% | 382 | 10.9% | 15.4% | 10.7% | 34 |
| 8 |
|
Alex Bregman | 35 | ⚪ D | +950 | · | 154 | 0.113 | 89.1 | 6.5% | 22.2% | 390 | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 38 |
| 9 |
|
Nico Hoerner | 23 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 217 | 0.142 | 85.4 | 1.7% | 6.5% | 383 | 8.5% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 50 |
Ben Brown
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jake Bauers | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 28 | 0.204 | 93.2 | 13.2% | 28.6% | 402 | 15.4% | 22.2% | 21.1% | 20 |
| 2 |
|
Garrett Mitchell ⚡ | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 69 | 0.112 | 92.2 | 14.5% | 20.0% | 413 | 3.7% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 14 |
| 3 |
|
Gary Sánchez | 49 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 74 | 0.238 | 88.3 | 10.9% | 21.4% | 405 | 10.0% | 0.0% | 15.2% | 11 |
| 4 |
|
Brice Turang ⚡ | 44 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 96 | 0.213 | 91.4 | 9.2% | 26.9% | 405 | 9.3% | 0.0% | 12.7% | 32 |
| 5 |
|
William Contreras ⚡ | 32 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌧️ COOL | 177 | 0.111 | 90.2 | 6.0% | 23.1% | 404 | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 36 |
| 6 |
|
Luis Rengifo | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 220 | 0.068 | 88.1 | 6.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.8% | 26 |
| 7 |
|
Sal Frelick | 21 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 226 | 0.085 | 84.7 | 3.1% | 10.5% | 402 | 5.0% | 0.0% | 6.1% | 35 |
| 8 |
|
Joey Ortiz | 13 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 248 | 0.044 | 86.1 | 3.7% | 7.1% | 395 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.8% | 24 |
| 9 |
|
David Hamilton | 8 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 258 | 0.021 | 84.3 | 2.4% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.8% | 13 |