⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
MIL
@ 7:40p
CHC
Wrigley Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.05×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
mild air · steady crosswind · roof open
Combined
1.161
Temp
69.2°F
Wind
13.8 mph
cross
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ian Happ Ian Happ 76 🟡 B +850 🌤️ WARM 11 0.232 90.4 17.1% 33.3% 400 23.4% 15.4% 34.9% 24
2 Moisés Ballesteros Moisés Ballesteros 56 🟠 C · · 53 0.219 90.9 12.6% 27.3% 390 8.3% 0.0% 17.5% 16
3 Michael Busch Michael Busch 52 🟠 C +850 🔥 HOT 64 0.125 88.2 11.8% 10.8% 401 8.5% 15.4% 10.6% 31
4 Dansby Swanson Dansby Swanson 47 ⚪ D +850 · 85 0.166 90.3 9.1% 11.1% 398 14.9% 7.7% 9.8% 36
5 Seiya Suzuki Seiya Suzuki 44 ⚪ D +950 ❄ COLD 97 0.226 88.6 7.7% 30.0% 414 10.7% 0.0% 17.9% 32
6 Miguel Amaya Miguel Amaya 42 ⚪ D +1000 · 113 0.123 86.6 8.0% 33.3% 384 25.0% 0.0% 16.8% 12
7 Pete Crow-Armstrong Pete Crow-Armstrong 39 ⚪ D +700 🌧️ COOL 133 0.133 91.0 7.9% 14.3% 382 10.9% 15.4% 10.7% 34
8 Alex Bregman Alex Bregman 35 ⚪ D +950 · 154 0.113 89.1 6.5% 22.2% 390 6.7% 7.7% 9.5% 38
9 Nico Hoerner Nico Hoerner 23 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 217 0.142 85.4 1.7% 6.5% 383 8.5% 0.0% 7.3% 50
Ben Brown
Ben Brown RHP
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jake Bauers Jake Bauers 65 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 28 0.204 93.2 13.2% 28.6% 402 15.4% 22.2% 21.1% 20
2 Garrett Mitchell Garrett Mitchell 50 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 69 0.112 92.2 14.5% 20.0% 413 3.7% 10.0% 9.9% 14
3 Gary Sánchez Gary Sánchez 49 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 74 0.238 88.3 10.9% 21.4% 405 10.0% 0.0% 15.2% 11
4 Brice Turang Brice Turang 44 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 96 0.213 91.4 9.2% 26.9% 405 9.3% 0.0% 12.7% 32
5 William Contreras William Contreras 32 ⚪ D +950 🌧️ COOL 177 0.111 90.2 6.0% 23.1% 404 7.1% 9.1% 8.8% 36
6 Luis Rengifo Luis Rengifo 22 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 220 0.068 88.1 6.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 4.8% 26
7 Sal Frelick Sal Frelick 21 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 226 0.085 84.7 3.1% 10.5% 402 5.0% 0.0% 6.1% 35
8 Joey Ortiz Joey Ortiz 13 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 248 0.044 86.1 3.7% 7.1% 395 0.0% 0.0% 6.8% 24
9 David Hamilton David Hamilton 8 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 258 0.021 84.3 2.4% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 4.8% 13
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