⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
MIA
@ 12:15p
TB
Tropicana Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.93×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
0.926
Wind
0 mph
dome
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Junior Caminero Junior Caminero 61 🔵 C+ · · 45 0.223 91.4 10.7% 29.6% 413 24.4% 16.7% 20.6% 41
2 Jonathan Aranda Jonathan Aranda 53 🟠 C · · 77 0.196 89.8 10.4% 22.2% 396 15.0% 8.3% 12.2% 33
3 Yandy Díaz Yandy Díaz 39 ⚪ D · · 161 0.135 89.9 6.3% 21.1% 367 12.5% 8.3% 11.0% 41
4 Jonny DeLuca Jonny DeLuca 26 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 220 0.161 86.1 3.9% 0.0% 416 0.0% 0.0% 8.9% 22
5 Chandler Simpson Chandler Simpson 18 ⚪ D · · 244 0.044 84.1 · 10.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.6% 38
6 Cedric Mullins Cedric Mullins 18 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 246 0.078 86.5 1.8% 12.0% 379 6.7% 9.1% 6.7% 32
7 Nick Fortes Nick Fortes 17 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 248 0.077 87.9 1.1% 11.1% 408 0.0% 0.0% 9.1% 20
8 Richie Palacios Richie Palacios 16 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 250 0.064 85.6 3.8% 9.1% 382 0.0% 0.0% 6.6% 15
9 Taylor Walls Taylor Walls 16 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 252 0.054 82.2 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.1% 30
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Owen Caissie Owen Caissie 49 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 93 0.141 91.3 12.7% 17.6% 391 4.2% 9.1% 18.2% 12
2 Liam Hicks Liam Hicks 48 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 104 0.228 87.7 6.1% 26.7% 379 22.0% 16.7% 21.5% 39
3 Otto Lopez Otto Lopez 39 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 160 0.158 90.1 9.4% 13.6% 396 7.0% 8.3% 9.3% 47
4 Connor Norby Connor Norby 36 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 178 0.137 87.8 9.1% 16.7% 396 9.8% 9.1% 8.5% 23
5 Jakob Marsee Jakob Marsee 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 180 0.088 87.7 4.2% 8.0% 374 10.3% 16.7% 11.7% 29
6 Xavier Edwards Xavier Edwards 35 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 183 0.162 88.3 6.1% 7.1% 398 7.0% 16.7% 10.2% 40
7 Leo Jiménez 31 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 195 0.030 89.9 7.1% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.1% 17
8 Kyle Stowers Kyle Stowers 29 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 205 0.089 90.4 6.5% 8.3% 380 0.0% 0.0% 8.8% 31
9 Christopher Morel Christopher Morel 8 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 267 · 87.6 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 8.0% 21
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