⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
MIA
@ 3:10p
LAD
Dodger Stadium · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.29×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · wind in · roof open
Combined
1.030
Temp
54.7°F
Wind
0 mph
in
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Shohei Ohtani Shohei Ohtani 77 🟡 B · · 19 0.222 94.1 22.1% 14.3% 403 11.1% 7.7% 16.9% 32
2 Max Muncy Max Muncy 71 🟡 B · 🌧️ COOL 27 0.163 92.2 17.7% 27.6% 412 23.4% 28.6% 24.4% 54
3 Freddie Freeman Freddie Freeman 60 🔵 C+ · · 56 0.162 92.4 15.3% 7.4% 412 7.7% 0.0% 10.5% 37
4 Teoscar Hernández Teoscar Hernández 56 🟠 C · · 69 0.163 89.5 12.1% 33.3% 387 6.7% 8.3% 13.9% 32
5 Kyle Tucker Kyle Tucker 52 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 83 0.124 88.0 6.8% 9.5% 404 3.8% 8.3% 9.2% 40
6 Will Smith Will Smith 49 ⚪ D · · 106 0.113 89.1 10.8% 12.5% 406 11.5% 8.3% 8.5% 32
7 Andy Pages Andy Pages 49 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 107 0.204 90.1 7.1% 20.0% 392 14.8% 0.0% 15.0% 39
8 Alex Freeland Alex Freeland 44 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 130 0.094 89.5 9.5% 7.7% 413 0.0% 0.0% 9.1% 21
9 Hyeseong Kim Hyeseong Kim 31 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 203 0.098 87.3 7.1% 11.1% 372 0.0% 0.0% 9.6% 29
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Liam Hicks Liam Hicks 65 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 47 0.233 87.7 6.3% 37.5% 370 23.1% 27.3% 35.8% 36
2 Otto Lopez Otto Lopez 51 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 92 0.175 92.9 11.4% 16.7% 390 7.1% 0.0% 18.1% 38
3 Connor Norby Connor Norby 50 🟠 C · · 103 0.156 88.8 9.1% 20.0% 390 11.1% 10.0% 16.9% 24
4 Owen Caissie Owen Caissie 45 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 124 0.141 92.3 14.6% 16.7% 387 0.0% 0.0% 10.0% 21
5 Xavier Edwards Xavier Edwards 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 166 0.120 90.6 5.8% 5.6% 377 0.0% 0.0% 7.7% 36
6 Graham Pauley Graham Pauley 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 168 0.141 84.0 4.8% 6.7% · 0.0% 0.0% 9.7% 18
7 Agustín Ramírez Agustín Ramírez 37 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 174 0.125 88.2 5.6% 12.5% 415 7.7% 10.0% 12.7% 31
8 Jakob Marsee Jakob Marsee 30 ⚪ D · · 209 0.088 87.8 2.6% 5.9% 351 7.1% 9.1% 7.7% 34
9 Heriberto Hernández 18 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 247 0.031 89.4 4.5% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 10.5% 16
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