MIA
@
3:10p
LAD
Park Factor
1.29×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · wind in · roof open
Combined
1.030
Temp
54.7°F
Wind
0 mph
in
Roof
open
Sandy Alcantara
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Shohei Ohtani | 77 | 🟡 B | · | · | 19 | 0.222 | 94.1 | 22.1% | 14.3% | 403 | 11.1% | 7.7% | 16.9% | 32 |
| 2 |
|
Max Muncy | 71 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 27 | 0.163 | 92.2 | 17.7% | 27.6% | 412 | 23.4% | 28.6% | 24.4% | 54 |
| 3 |
|
Freddie Freeman | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 56 | 0.162 | 92.4 | 15.3% | 7.4% | 412 | 7.7% | 0.0% | 10.5% | 37 |
| 4 |
|
Teoscar Hernández | 56 | 🟠 C | · | · | 69 | 0.163 | 89.5 | 12.1% | 33.3% | 387 | 6.7% | 8.3% | 13.9% | 32 |
| 5 |
|
Kyle Tucker | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 83 | 0.124 | 88.0 | 6.8% | 9.5% | 404 | 3.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 40 |
| 6 |
|
Will Smith | 49 | ⚪ D | · | · | 106 | 0.113 | 89.1 | 10.8% | 12.5% | 406 | 11.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 32 |
| 7 |
|
Andy Pages | 49 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 107 | 0.204 | 90.1 | 7.1% | 20.0% | 392 | 14.8% | 0.0% | 15.0% | 39 |
| 8 |
|
Alex Freeland | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 130 | 0.094 | 89.5 | 9.5% | 7.7% | 413 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.1% | 21 |
| 9 |
|
Hyeseong Kim | 31 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 203 | 0.098 | 87.3 | 7.1% | 11.1% | 372 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.6% | 29 |
Tyler Glasnow
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Liam Hicks | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 47 | 0.233 | 87.7 | 6.3% | 37.5% | 370 | 23.1% | 27.3% | 35.8% | 36 |
| 2 |
|
Otto Lopez | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 92 | 0.175 | 92.9 | 11.4% | 16.7% | 390 | 7.1% | 0.0% | 18.1% | 38 |
| 3 |
|
Connor Norby | 50 | 🟠 C | · | · | 103 | 0.156 | 88.8 | 9.1% | 20.0% | 390 | 11.1% | 10.0% | 16.9% | 24 |
| 4 |
|
Owen Caissie | 45 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 124 | 0.141 | 92.3 | 14.6% | 16.7% | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.0% | 21 |
| 5 |
|
Xavier Edwards | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 166 | 0.120 | 90.6 | 5.8% | 5.6% | 377 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 36 |
| 6 |
|
Graham Pauley | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 168 | 0.141 | 84.0 | 4.8% | 6.7% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.7% | 18 |
| 7 |
|
Agustín Ramírez | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 174 | 0.125 | 88.2 | 5.6% | 12.5% | 415 | 7.7% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 31 |
| 8 |
|
Jakob Marsee | 30 | ⚪ D | · | · | 209 | 0.088 | 87.8 | 2.6% | 5.9% | 351 | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 34 |
| 9 | Heriberto Hernández | 18 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 247 | 0.031 | 89.4 | 4.5% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.5% | 16 |