MIA
@
10:10p
LAD
Park Factor
1.34×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
1.073
Temp
51.7°F
Wind
3.4 mph
cross
Roof
open
Janson Junk
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Shohei Ohtani | 76 | 🟡 B | · | · | 20 | 0.222 | 94.1 | 22.1% | 15.0% | 403 | 11.5% | 7.7% | 19.1% | 35 |
| 2 |
|
Max Muncy | 74 | 🟡 B | · | · | 22 | 0.163 | 92.2 | 17.7% | 28.6% | 412 | 24.4% | 30.0% | 27.4% | 54 |
| 3 |
|
Freddie Freeman | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 50 | 0.168 | 92.4 | 15.3% | 7.7% | 412 | 8.0% | 0.0% | 12.2% | 35 |
| 4 |
|
Teoscar Hernández | 56 | 🟠 C | · | · | 58 | 0.170 | 89.5 | 12.1% | 37.5% | 387 | 7.1% | 8.3% | 15.7% | 28 |
| 5 |
|
Kyle Tucker | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 72 | 0.128 | 88.0 | 6.8% | 10.0% | 404 | 4.0% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 41 |
| 6 |
|
Andy Pages | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 73 | 0.211 | 90.1 | 7.1% | 26.7% | 392 | 15.4% | 0.0% | 17.7% | 37 |
| 7 |
|
Will Smith | 49 | ⚪ D | · | · | 84 | 0.119 | 89.1 | 10.8% | 14.3% | 406 | 12.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 30 |
| 8 |
|
Alex Freeland | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 106 | 0.100 | 89.5 | 9.5% | 7.7% | 413 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.2% | 20 |
| 9 |
|
Hyeseong Kim | 32 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 167 | 0.107 | 87.3 | 7.1% | 14.3% | 372 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.0% | 26 |
Shohei Ohtani
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Liam Hicks | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 41 | 0.233 | 87.7 | 6.3% | 35.7% | 370 | 24.0% | 27.3% | 32.0% | 39 |
| 2 |
|
Otto Lopez | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 78 | 0.174 | 92.9 | 11.4% | 18.2% | 390 | 7.4% | 0.0% | 12.6% | 36 |
| 3 |
|
Connor Norby | 50 | 🟠 C | · | · | 80 | 0.162 | 88.8 | 9.1% | 21.4% | 390 | 11.5% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 24 |
| 4 |
|
Owen Caissie | 46 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 96 | 0.147 | 92.3 | 14.6% | 18.2% | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.4% | 18 |
| 5 |
|
Xavier Edwards | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 128 | 0.122 | 90.6 | 5.8% | 5.9% | 377 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 36 |
| 6 |
|
Agustín Ramírez | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 140 | 0.128 | 88.2 | 5.6% | 12.5% | 415 | 8.3% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 33 |
| 7 |
|
Jakob Marsee | 31 | ⚪ D | · | · | 169 | 0.091 | 87.8 | 2.6% | 5.9% | 351 | 7.7% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 36 |
| 8 | Heriberto Hernández | 18 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 209 | 0.031 | 89.4 | 4.5% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 16 | |
| 9 |
|
Javier Sanoja | 16 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 213 | 0.050 | 89.0 | 2.1% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 20 |