MIA
@
1:40p
DET
Park Factor
0.99×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light wind in · roof open
Combined
0.789
Temp
45.6°F
Wind
6.8 mph
in
Roof
open
Sandy Alcantara
RHP
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kerry Carpenter | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 54 | 0.245 | 92.1 | 6.5% | 0.0% | 392 | 14.3% | 18.2% | 3.9% | 21 |
| 2 |
|
Riley Greene | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 55 | 0.235 | 84.6 | 4.8% | 0.0% | · | 7.1% | 9.1% | 2.9% | 34 |
| 3 |
|
Spencer Torkelson ⚡ | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 87 | 0.217 | 86.7 | 5.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.8% | 22 |
| 4 |
|
Javier Báez | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 101 | 0.141 | 83.3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.8% | 22 |
| 5 |
|
Zach McKinstry ⚡ | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 123 | 0.179 | 88.2 | 4.1% | 0.0% | 399 | 7.7% | 10.0% | 1.0% | 22 |
| 6 |
|
Gleyber Torres | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 124 | 0.132 | 81.4 | 4.4% | 0.0% | 364 | 7.1% | 9.1% | 0.6% | 33 |
| 7 |
|
Colt Keith | 31 | ⚪ D | · | · | 127 | 0.157 | 95.5 | 4.6% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.9% | 29 |
| 8 |
|
Dillon Dingler | 31 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 128 | 0.147 | 93.6 | 8.4% | 0.0% | 418 | 7.1% | 0.0% | 0.9% | 23 |
Tarik Skubal
LHP
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heriberto Hernández | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 74 | 0.172 | 89.3 | 8.7% | 14.1% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.8% | 24 | |
| 2 |
|
Otto Lopez | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 83 | 0.121 | 89.8 | 8.9% | 9.5% | 392 | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 38 |
| 3 |
|
Agustín Ramírez | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 85 | 0.182 | 87.4 | 6.2% | 13.9% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.2% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Connor Norby | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 105 | 0.138 | 87.3 | 8.7% | 9.9% | · | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 26 |
| 5 |
|
Javier Sanoja | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 135 | 0.153 | 89.7 | 6.2% | 5.9% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.1% | 27 |
| 6 |
|
Jakob Marsee | 27 | ⚪ D | · | · | 145 | 0.187 | 88.2 | 0.0% | 8.8% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.5% | 36 |
| 7 |
|
Austin Slater | 23 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 156 | 0.155 | 77.6 | 0.0% | 15.6% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 9 |
| 8 |
|
Xavier Edwards ⚡ | 18 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 167 | 0.070 | 90.8 | 4.8% | 2.2% | 377 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.6% | 41 |