MIA
@
7:15p
ATL
Park Factor
1.15×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
1.034
Temp
55.4°F
Wind
4.0 mph
out
Roof
open
Eury Pérez
RHP
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Matt Olson | 85 | 🟢 A | · | · | 1 | 0.212 | 91.5 | 18.9% | 16.0% | 428 | 20.0% | 25.0% | 33.6% | 36 |
| 2 |
|
Drake Baldwin | 78 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 2 | 0.195 | 91.5 | 18.2% | 18.1% | 394 | 33.3% | 25.0% | 25.7% | 46 |
| 3 |
|
Ronald Acuna Jr. | 72 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 3 | 0.228 | 87.3 | 15.0% | 23.1% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 25.7% | 41 |
| 4 | Michael Harris II | 68 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 5 | 0.160 | 93.9 | 17.8% | 12.5% | 372 | 13.3% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 32 | |
| 5 |
|
Austin Riley | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 24 | 0.168 | 85.9 | 11.7% | 12.4% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.9% | 35 |
| 6 |
|
Ozzie Albies | 53 | 🟠 C | · | · | 26 | 0.124 | 86.3 | 10.2% | 7.2% | 375 | 13.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 41 |
| 7 |
|
Marcell Ozuna | 52 | 🟠 C | · | · | 28 | 0.168 | 85.1 | 8.9% | 15.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.3% | 23 |
| 8 |
|
Nick Allen | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 73 | 0.030 | 85.3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.8% | 10 |
Grant Holmes
RHP
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Otto Lopez | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 30 | 0.121 | 89.8 | 8.2% | 9.5% | 392 | 13.3% | 16.7% | 6.0% | 38 |
| 2 |
|
Kyle Stowers ⚡ | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 33 | 0.256 | 89.8 | 4.9% | 22.9% | 404 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.4% | 35 |
| 3 |
|
Agustin Ramirez | 45 | ⚪ D | · | · | 40 | 0.182 | 87.4 | 5.7% | 13.9% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.5% | 35 |
| 4 |
|
Liam Hicks | 44 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 43 | 0.099 | 90.5 | 9.0% | 6.4% | 367 | 23.1% | 18.2% | 5.2% | 36 |
| 5 |
|
Connor Norby | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 47 | 0.138 | 87.3 | 8.0% | 9.9% | · | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 26 |
| 6 |
|
Javier Sanoja | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 55 | 0.153 | 89.7 | 5.7% | 5.9% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.2% | 27 |
| 7 |
|
Dane Myers | 38 | ⚪ D | · | · | 57 | 0.091 | 90.2 | 7.5% | 7.7% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.1% | 12 |
| 8 |
|
Xavier Edwards ⚡ | 31 | ⚪ D | · | · | 70 | 0.070 | 90.8 | 4.4% | 2.2% | 377 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.7% | 42 |