⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
MIA
@ 7:15p
ATL
Truist Park · 16 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.15×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
1.034
Temp
55.4°F
Wind
4.0 mph
out
Roof
open
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Matt Olson Matt Olson 85 🟢 A · · 1 0.212 91.5 18.9% 16.0% 428 20.0% 25.0% 33.6% 36
2 Drake Baldwin Drake Baldwin 78 🟡 B · 🌧️ COOL 2 0.195 91.5 18.2% 18.1% 394 33.3% 25.0% 25.7% 46
3 Ronald Acuna Jr. Ronald Acuna Jr. 72 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 3 0.228 87.3 15.0% 23.1% · 0.0% 0.0% 25.7% 41
4 Michael Harris II 68 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 5 0.160 93.9 17.8% 12.5% 372 13.3% 8.3% 13.3% 32
5 Austin Riley Austin Riley 53 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 24 0.168 85.9 11.7% 12.4% · 0.0% 0.0% 13.9% 35
6 Ozzie Albies Ozzie Albies 53 🟠 C · · 26 0.124 86.3 10.2% 7.2% 375 13.3% 8.3% 8.3% 41
7 Marcell Ozuna Marcell Ozuna 52 🟠 C · · 28 0.168 85.1 8.9% 15.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 15.3% 23
8 Nick Allen Nick Allen 29 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 73 0.030 85.3 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 1.8% 10
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Otto Lopez Otto Lopez 52 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 30 0.121 89.8 8.2% 9.5% 392 13.3% 16.7% 6.0% 38
2 Kyle Stowers Kyle Stowers 50 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 33 0.256 89.8 4.9% 22.9% 404 0.0% 0.0% 16.4% 35
3 Agustin Ramirez Agustin Ramirez 45 ⚪ D · · 40 0.182 87.4 5.7% 13.9% · 0.0% 0.0% 9.5% 35
4 Liam Hicks Liam Hicks 44 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 43 0.099 90.5 9.0% 6.4% 367 23.1% 18.2% 5.2% 36
5 Connor Norby Connor Norby 43 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 47 0.138 87.3 8.0% 9.9% · 6.7% 8.3% 6.1% 26
6 Javier Sanoja Javier Sanoja 39 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 55 0.153 89.7 5.7% 5.9% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.2% 27
7 Dane Myers Dane Myers 38 ⚪ D · · 57 0.091 90.2 7.5% 7.7% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.1% 12
8 Xavier Edwards Xavier Edwards 31 ⚪ D · · 70 0.070 90.8 4.4% 2.2% 377 0.0% 0.0% 2.7% 42
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