KC
@
4:05p
TEX
Park Factor
1.04×
Weather Mod
+5.0%
hot air · strong partial wind out · retractable roof
Combined
1.557
Temp
92.5°F
Wind
15.0 mph
slight_out
Roof
retractable
Seth Lugo
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jake Burger | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 51 | 0.193 | 90.5 | 10.3% | 25.8% | 393 | 16.0% | 27.3% | 22.3% | 33 |
| 2 |
|
Joc Pederson | 58 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 62 | 0.189 | 91.6 | 9.6% | 18.8% | 388 | 14.3% | 27.3% | 17.2% | 29 |
| 3 |
|
Brandon Nimmo | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 74 | 0.161 | 91.8 | 11.6% | 15.4% | 411 | 11.8% | 25.0% | 13.7% | 37 |
| 4 |
|
Ezequiel Duran | 47 | ⚪ D | · | · | 124 | 0.172 | 90.8 | 8.5% | 15.8% | 370 | 12.5% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 37 |
| 5 |
|
Josh Jung | 45 | ⚪ D | · | · | 138 | 0.161 | 89.7 | 8.0% | 17.9% | 386 | 12.0% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 35 |
| 6 |
|
Nicky Lopez | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 159 | 0.086 | 86.5 | 8.0% | 0.0% | 397 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 8.8% | 8 |
| 7 |
|
Danny Jansen | 41 | ⚪ D | · | · | 168 | 0.139 | 87.9 | 8.1% | 13.3% | 398 | 6.2% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 19 |
| 8 |
|
Michael Helman | 35 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 201 | 0.170 | 78.2 | 9.2% | 8.1% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.2% | 11 |
| 9 |
|
Alejandro Osuna | 17 | ⚪ D | · | · | 257 | 0.026 | 88.3 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.2% | 35 |
Kumar Rocker
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Salvador Perez | 58 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 61 | 0.182 | 89.0 | 8.1% | 20.6% | 395 | 17.0% | 25.0% | 21.9% | 35 |
| 2 | Bobby Witt Jr. | 57 | 🟠 C | · | · | 68 | 0.191 | 93.8 | 9.8% | 18.2% | 405 | 15.1% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 38 | |
| 3 |
|
Jac Caglianone | 50 | 🟠 C | · | · | 108 | 0.152 | 93.2 | 10.5% | 17.4% | 408 | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 26 |
| 4 |
|
Carter Jensen | 38 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 185 | 0.155 | 89.6 | 7.7% | 16.7% | 387 | 10.8% | 0.0% | 10.3% | 26 |
| 5 |
|
Michael Massey | 37 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 190 | 0.170 | 91.1 | 7.6% | 8.1% | 402 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.0% | 23 |
| 6 |
|
Vinnie Pasquantino | 33 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 211 | 0.123 | 88.4 | 7.4% | 13.5% | 398 | 9.8% | 0.0% | 8.4% | 33 |
| 7 |
|
Maikel Garcia | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 214 | 0.120 | 90.3 | 5.6% | 3.5% | 398 | 5.9% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 43 |
| 8 |
|
Isaac Collins | 30 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 223 | 0.095 | 88.6 | 7.9% | 10.5% | 377 | 6.5% | 0.0% | 8.0% | 21 |
| 9 |
|
Kyle Isbel ⚡ | 29 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 225 | 0.119 | 87.7 | 5.2% | 17.6% | 390 | 6.4% | 0.0% | 8.9% | 22 |