HOU
@
4:10p
SEA
Park Factor
0.86×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · steady wind in · retractable roof
Combined
0.686
Temp
49.3°F
Wind
8.2 mph
in
Roof
retractable
Mike Burrows
RHP
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Cal Raleigh | 66 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 6 | 0.342 | 80.1 | 9.4% | 25.3% | 418 | 15.4% | 22.2% | 21.6% | 32 |
| 2 |
|
Julio Rodriguez | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 25 | 0.207 | 86.0 | 5.8% | 18.5% | · | 7.7% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 34 |
| 3 |
|
Dominic Canzone | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 37 | 0.181 | 93.4 | 12.9% | 17.7% | 431 | 7.7% | 0.0% | 10.6% | 17 |
| 4 |
|
Randy Arozarena | 43 | ⚪ D | · | · | 46 | 0.188 | 91.3 | 9.4% | 15.6% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.3% | 31 |
| 5 |
|
Jorge Polanco | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 49 | 0.229 | 87.3 | 5.9% | 14.9% | · | 6.2% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 32 |
| 6 |
|
Cole Young | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 63 | 0.094 | 84.3 | 10.4% | 5.2% | 381 | 15.4% | 11.1% | 4.2% | 31 |
| 7 | J.P. Crawford | 19 | ⚪ D | · | · | 80 | 0.105 | 90.4 | 0.0% | 8.5% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.3% | 16 | |
| 8 |
|
Ben Williamson | 14 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 83 | 0.058 | 87.9 | 0.0% | 1.8% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.4% | 26 |
George Kirby
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Christian Walker | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 32 | 0.183 | 93.2 | 8.5% | 14.7% | 390 | 20.0% | 27.3% | 20.7% | 36 |
| 2 |
|
Cam Smith | 43 | ⚪ D | · | · | 45 | 0.122 | 87.8 | 8.3% | 9.6% | 403 | 20.0% | 27.3% | 12.0% | 32 |
| 3 |
|
Jose Altuve | 39 | ⚪ D | · | · | 53 | 0.177 | 87.2 | 6.0% | 13.6% | 376 | 6.7% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 36 |
| 4 |
|
Isaac Paredes | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 59 | 0.204 | 83.6 | 0.0% | 14.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.4% | 19 |
| 5 |
|
Jake Meyers | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 66 | 0.082 | 86.4 | 7.3% | 3.8% | 393 | 7.7% | 10.0% | 4.5% | 24 |
| 6 |
|
Jeremy Pena | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 67 | 0.172 | 83.0 | 0.0% | 12.8% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.8% | 29 |
| 7 |
|
Mauricio Dubon | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 69 | 0.114 | 90.5 | 7.0% | 5.5% | 393 | 7.7% | 10.0% | 5.4% | 44 |
| 8 |
|
Yainer Diaz | 28 | ⚪ D | · | · | 74 | 0.161 | 84.5 | 0.0% | 12.7% | · | 7.7% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 34 |
| 9 |
|
Victor Caratini | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 75 | 0.145 | 88.4 | 5.4% | 11.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.4% | 33 |