⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
HOU
@ 4:10p
SEA
T-Mobile Park · 17 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.86×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · steady wind in · retractable roof
Combined
0.686
Temp
49.3°F
Wind
8.2 mph
in
Roof
retractable
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Cal Raleigh Cal Raleigh 66 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 6 0.342 80.1 9.4% 25.3% 418 15.4% 22.2% 21.6% 32
2 Julio Rodriguez Julio Rodriguez 53 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 25 0.207 86.0 5.8% 18.5% · 7.7% 11.1% 12.3% 34
3 Dominic Canzone Dominic Canzone 47 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 37 0.181 93.4 12.9% 17.7% 431 7.7% 0.0% 10.6% 17
4 Randy Arozarena Randy Arozarena 43 ⚪ D · · 46 0.188 91.3 9.4% 15.6% · 0.0% 0.0% 10.3% 31
5 Jorge Polanco Jorge Polanco 42 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 49 0.229 87.3 5.9% 14.9% · 6.2% 10.0% 12.3% 32
6 Cole Young Cole Young 35 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 63 0.094 84.3 10.4% 5.2% 381 15.4% 11.1% 4.2% 31
7 J.P. Crawford 19 ⚪ D · · 80 0.105 90.4 0.0% 8.5% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.3% 16
8 Ben Williamson Ben Williamson 14 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 83 0.058 87.9 0.0% 1.8% · 0.0% 0.0% 2.4% 26
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Christian Walker Christian Walker 50 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 32 0.183 93.2 8.5% 14.7% 390 20.0% 27.3% 20.7% 36
2 Cam Smith Cam Smith 43 ⚪ D · · 45 0.122 87.8 8.3% 9.6% 403 20.0% 27.3% 12.0% 32
3 Jose Altuve Jose Altuve 39 ⚪ D · · 53 0.177 87.2 6.0% 13.6% 376 6.7% 9.1% 12.9% 36
4 Isaac Paredes Isaac Paredes 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 59 0.204 83.6 0.0% 14.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 13.4% 19
5 Jake Meyers Jake Meyers 33 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 66 0.082 86.4 7.3% 3.8% 393 7.7% 10.0% 4.5% 24
6 Jeremy Pena Jeremy Pena 32 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 67 0.172 83.0 0.0% 12.8% · 0.0% 0.0% 10.8% 29
7 Mauricio Dubon Mauricio Dubon 31 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 69 0.114 90.5 7.0% 5.5% 393 7.7% 10.0% 5.4% 44
8 Yainer Diaz Yainer Diaz 28 ⚪ D · · 74 0.161 84.5 0.0% 12.7% · 7.7% 10.0% 10.1% 34
9 Victor Caratini Victor Caratini 28 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 75 0.145 88.4 5.4% 11.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 8.4% 33
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