⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
HOU
@ 2:20p
CHC
Wrigley Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.02×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.922
Temp
55.2°F
Wind
6.9 mph
cross
Roof
open
Colin Rea
Colin Rea RHP
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Yordan Alvarez Yordan Alvarez 72 🟡 B · 🌧️ COOL 15 0.294 94.0 13.4% 21.9% 393 29.4% 16.7% 24.9% 27
2 Zach Cole Zach Cole 70 🟡 B · · 22 0.245 92.6 13.7% 27.3% 376 25.0% 25.0% 17.6% 21
3 Christian Walker Christian Walker 62 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 41 0.244 91.1 11.0% 33.3% 394 20.8% 16.7% 22.8% 33
4 Braden Shewmake Braden Shewmake 44 ⚪ D · · 144 0.200 89.5 6.7% 23.1% 376 0.0% 0.0% 13.8% 31
5 Cam Smith Cam Smith 41 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 162 0.111 88.6 12.2% 13.6% 406 8.7% 0.0% 8.0% 21
6 Isaac Paredes Isaac Paredes 40 ⚪ D · · 172 0.131 87.5 7.4% 15.6% 372 6.4% 9.1% 9.0% 37
7 Brice Matthews Brice Matthews 37 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 201 0.146 88.3 8.9% 15.4% 398 9.1% 0.0% 9.1% 30
8 Jeremy Peña Jeremy Peña 22 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 271 0.074 85.4 4.6% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.3% 13
9 César Salazar César Salazar 11 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 286 · 85.7 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 10.5% 7
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Michael Conforto Michael Conforto 66 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 30 0.323 95.3 9.0% 18.8% 409 6.2% 100.0% 24.7% 15
2 Miguel Amaya Miguel Amaya 54 🟠 C · · 73 0.247 86.4 6.5% 33.3% 384 20.0% 0.0% 20.6% 14
3 Moisés Ballesteros Moisés Ballesteros 53 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 80 0.213 90.9 8.6% 24.0% 390 7.4% 0.0% 17.0% 12
4 Michael Busch Michael Busch 50 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 97 0.150 88.5 8.8% 10.8% 401 8.0% 8.3% 10.1% 26
5 Dansby Swanson Dansby Swanson 41 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 163 0.156 90.2 7.2% 13.3% 398 14.0% 8.3% 7.2% 27
6 Pete Crow-Armstrong Pete Crow-Armstrong 40 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 179 0.127 90.7 7.1% 14.3% 386 12.2% 16.7% 13.9% 27
7 Alex Bregman Alex Bregman 39 ⚪ D · · 186 0.149 89.0 6.1% 20.7% 390 6.2% 8.3% 7.6% 35
8 Seiya Suzuki Seiya Suzuki 38 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 191 0.186 88.7 6.5% 28.6% 414 9.7% 0.0% 10.3% 29
9 Nico Hoerner Nico Hoerner 24 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 263 0.126 85.3 3.1% 6.1% 383 8.0% 0.0% 5.4% 43
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