HOU
@
2:20p
CHC
Park Factor
1.02×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.922
Temp
55.2°F
Wind
6.9 mph
cross
Roof
open
Colin Rea
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Yordan Alvarez | 72 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 15 | 0.294 | 94.0 | 13.4% | 21.9% | 393 | 29.4% | 16.7% | 24.9% | 27 |
| 2 |
|
Zach Cole | 70 | 🟡 B | · | · | 22 | 0.245 | 92.6 | 13.7% | 27.3% | 376 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 17.6% | 21 |
| 3 |
|
Christian Walker | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 41 | 0.244 | 91.1 | 11.0% | 33.3% | 394 | 20.8% | 16.7% | 22.8% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Braden Shewmake | 44 | ⚪ D | · | · | 144 | 0.200 | 89.5 | 6.7% | 23.1% | 376 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.8% | 31 |
| 5 |
|
Cam Smith | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 162 | 0.111 | 88.6 | 12.2% | 13.6% | 406 | 8.7% | 0.0% | 8.0% | 21 |
| 6 |
|
Isaac Paredes | 40 | ⚪ D | · | · | 172 | 0.131 | 87.5 | 7.4% | 15.6% | 372 | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 37 |
| 7 |
|
Brice Matthews | 37 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 201 | 0.146 | 88.3 | 8.9% | 15.4% | 398 | 9.1% | 0.0% | 9.1% | 30 |
| 8 |
|
Jeremy Peña | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 271 | 0.074 | 85.4 | 4.6% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.3% | 13 |
| 9 |
|
César Salazar | 11 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 286 | · | 85.7 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.5% | 7 |
Kai-Wei Teng
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Michael Conforto | 66 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 30 | 0.323 | 95.3 | 9.0% | 18.8% | 409 | 6.2% | 100.0% | 24.7% | 15 |
| 2 |
|
Miguel Amaya | 54 | 🟠 C | · | · | 73 | 0.247 | 86.4 | 6.5% | 33.3% | 384 | 20.0% | 0.0% | 20.6% | 14 |
| 3 |
|
Moisés Ballesteros | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 80 | 0.213 | 90.9 | 8.6% | 24.0% | 390 | 7.4% | 0.0% | 17.0% | 12 |
| 4 |
|
Michael Busch | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 97 | 0.150 | 88.5 | 8.8% | 10.8% | 401 | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 26 |
| 5 |
|
Dansby Swanson | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 163 | 0.156 | 90.2 | 7.2% | 13.3% | 398 | 14.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 27 |
| 6 |
|
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 179 | 0.127 | 90.7 | 7.1% | 14.3% | 386 | 12.2% | 16.7% | 13.9% | 27 |
| 7 |
|
Alex Bregman | 39 | ⚪ D | · | · | 186 | 0.149 | 89.0 | 6.1% | 20.7% | 390 | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 35 |
| 8 |
|
Seiya Suzuki | 38 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 191 | 0.186 | 88.7 | 6.5% | 28.6% | 414 | 9.7% | 0.0% | 10.3% | 29 |
| 9 |
|
Nico Hoerner | 24 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 263 | 0.126 | 85.3 | 3.1% | 6.1% | 383 | 8.0% | 0.0% | 5.4% | 43 |