HOU
@
2:20p
CHC
Park Factor
1.00×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
cool air · steady crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.999
Temp
56.0°F
Wind
13.8 mph
cross
Roof
open
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Yordan Alvarez | 83 | 🟢 A | · | 🌧️ COOL | 7 | 0.321 | 94.2 | 17.3% | 22.5% | 393 | 30.3% | 18.2% | 40.3% | 29 |
| 2 |
|
Christian Walker | 68 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 27 | 0.245 | 90.9 | 11.7% | 34.5% | 394 | 21.3% | 18.2% | 30.0% | 36 |
| 3 |
|
Cam Smith | 45 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 116 | 0.121 | 88.7 | 13.6% | 14.3% | 406 | 8.9% | 0.0% | 10.5% | 21 |
| 4 |
|
Yainer Diaz | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 121 | 0.109 | 87.8 | 3.4% | 11.8% | 380 | 5.1% | 0.0% | 17.0% | 35 |
| 5 |
|
Isaac Paredes | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 122 | 0.111 | 87.2 | 4.6% | 15.6% | 372 | 6.5% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 37 |
| 6 |
|
Jose Altuve | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 123 | 0.120 | 86.3 | 6.2% | 20.0% | 373 | 7.1% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 26 |
| 7 |
|
Carlos Correa | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 128 | 0.139 | 89.2 | 10.3% | 0.0% | 384 | 3.6% | 0.0% | 8.7% | 25 |
| 8 |
|
Brice Matthews | 42 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 133 | 0.177 | 88.1 | 7.7% | 15.4% | 398 | 9.5% | 0.0% | 14.3% | 32 |
| 9 |
|
Christian Vázquez | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 181 | 0.171 | 87.5 | 2.7% | 15.4% | 374 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.8% | 25 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ian Happ | 71 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 23 | 0.232 | 90.3 | 17.0% | 33.3% | 400 | 22.4% | 8.3% | 14.1% | 19 |
| 2 |
|
Moisés Ballesteros | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 60 | 0.219 | 90.9 | 12.4% | 25.0% | 390 | 7.7% | 0.0% | 10.9% | 11 |
| 3 |
|
Michael Busch | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 86 | 0.125 | 88.2 | 11.5% | 10.8% | 401 | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 26 |
| 4 |
|
Dansby Swanson | 46 | ⚪ D | · | · | 112 | 0.166 | 90.3 | 8.9% | 13.8% | 398 | 14.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 28 |
| 5 |
|
Seiya Suzuki | 43 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 129 | 0.226 | 88.8 | 7.4% | 28.6% | 414 | 10.0% | 0.0% | 15.1% | 28 |
| 6 |
|
Alex Bregman | 34 | ⚪ D | · | · | 189 | 0.113 | 89.1 | 6.3% | 20.7% | 390 | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 34 |
| 7 |
|
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 34 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 191 | 0.133 | 90.7 | 7.8% | 14.3% | 382 | 10.4% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 28 |
| 8 |
|
Carson Kelly | 28 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 215 | 0.098 | 90.0 | 8.5% | 0.0% | 414 | 4.4% | 0.0% | 5.2% | 21 |
| 9 |
|
Nico Hoerner | 23 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 234 | 0.142 | 85.3 | 1.6% | 6.5% | 383 | 8.2% | 0.0% | 6.3% | 45 |