HOU
@
6:35p
BAL
Park Factor
1.35×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.077
Temp
53.4°F
Wind
4.6 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
Shane Baz
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Yordan Alvarez | 95 | 🥇 S | · | · | 1 | 0.397 | 94.2 | 20.5% | 24.0% | 390 | 46.2% | 45.5% | 35.0% | 47 |
| 2 |
|
Christian Walker | 81 | 🟢 A | · | 🌤️ WARM | 14 | 0.282 | 89.7 | 11.7% | 35.7% | 393 | 22.2% | 27.3% | 42.3% | 33 |
| 3 |
|
Cam Smith | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 62 | 0.145 | 89.2 | 14.9% | 15.4% | 403 | 11.1% | 0.0% | 11.4% | 25 |
| 4 |
|
Isaac Paredes | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 74 | 0.151 | 88.5 | 3.3% | 14.3% | 379 | 7.4% | 18.2% | 19.7% | 36 |
| 5 |
|
Yainer Diaz | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 85 | 0.114 | 87.7 | 4.5% | 15.4% | 380 | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 24 |
| 6 |
|
Jose Altuve | 47 | ⚪ D | · | · | 92 | 0.153 | 85.8 | 7.5% | 25.0% | 378 | 8.0% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 33 |
| 7 |
|
Carlos Correa | 46 | ⚪ D | · | · | 97 | 0.136 | 88.5 | 8.1% | 0.0% | 402 | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 33 |
| 8 |
|
Christian Vázquez | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 115 | 0.222 | 86.4 | 3.3% | 20.0% | 368 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 20.1% | 18 |
| 9 |
|
Joey Loperfido | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 165 | 0.086 | 90.0 | 5.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 9 |
Kai-Wei Teng
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Gunnar Henderson | 80 | 🟢 A | · | · | 16 | 0.277 | 90.8 | 12.0% | 30.0% | 388 | 33.3% | 27.3% | 54.1% | 33 |
| 2 |
|
Samuel Basallo | 73 | 🟡 B | · | · | 25 | 0.219 | 92.2 | 11.8% | 33.3% | 415 | 25.0% | 22.2% | 47.8% | 25 |
| 3 |
|
Coby Mayo | 67 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🔥 HOT | 36 | 0.174 | 87.5 | 6.7% | 14.3% | 429 | 13.6% | 30.0% | 19.1% | 23 |
| 4 |
|
Jeremiah Jackson | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 43 | 0.191 | 88.6 | 9.4% | 35.7% | 399 | 14.3% | 18.2% | 18.2% | 35 |
| 5 |
|
Leody Taveras | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 61 | 0.153 | 87.5 | 7.0% | 23.1% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 25.8% | 28 |
| 6 |
|
Dylan Beavers | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 65 | 0.128 | 87.5 | 5.8% | 22.2% | 406 | 9.1% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 22 |
| 7 |
|
Taylor Ward | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 70 | 0.147 | 90.6 | 5.9% | 0.0% | 394 | 3.7% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 44 |
| 8 |
|
Pete Alonso | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 71 | 0.140 | 94.3 | 7.2% | 17.6% | 403 | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 33 |
| 9 |
|
Blaze Alexander | 19 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 207 | 0.018 | 92.0 | 2.8% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 16 |