⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
HOU
@ 6:35p
BAL
Camden Yards · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.35×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.077
Temp
53.4°F
Wind
4.6 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
Shane Baz
Shane Baz RHP
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Yordan Alvarez Yordan Alvarez 95 🥇 S · · 1 0.397 94.2 20.5% 24.0% 390 46.2% 45.5% 35.0% 47
2 Christian Walker Christian Walker 81 🟢 A · 🌤️ WARM 14 0.282 89.7 11.7% 35.7% 393 22.2% 27.3% 42.3% 33
3 Cam Smith Cam Smith 54 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 62 0.145 89.2 14.9% 15.4% 403 11.1% 0.0% 11.4% 25
4 Isaac Paredes Isaac Paredes 51 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 74 0.151 88.5 3.3% 14.3% 379 7.4% 18.2% 19.7% 36
5 Yainer Diaz Yainer Diaz 49 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 85 0.114 87.7 4.5% 15.4% 380 8.3% 10.0% 10.2% 24
6 Jose Altuve Jose Altuve 47 ⚪ D · · 92 0.153 85.8 7.5% 25.0% 378 8.0% 11.1% 13.3% 33
7 Carlos Correa Carlos Correa 46 ⚪ D · · 97 0.136 88.5 8.1% 0.0% 402 7.7% 9.1% 8.6% 33
8 Christian Vázquez Christian Vázquez 42 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 115 0.222 86.4 3.3% 20.0% 368 0.0% 0.0% 20.1% 18
9 Joey Loperfido Joey Loperfido 32 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 165 0.086 90.0 5.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 8.1% 9
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Gunnar Henderson Gunnar Henderson 80 🟢 A · · 16 0.277 90.8 12.0% 30.0% 388 33.3% 27.3% 54.1% 33
2 Samuel Basallo Samuel Basallo 73 🟡 B · · 25 0.219 92.2 11.8% 33.3% 415 25.0% 22.2% 47.8% 25
3 Coby Mayo Coby Mayo 67 🔵 C+ · 🔥 HOT 36 0.174 87.5 6.7% 14.3% 429 13.6% 30.0% 19.1% 23
4 Jeremiah Jackson Jeremiah Jackson 61 🔵 C+ · · 43 0.191 88.6 9.4% 35.7% 399 14.3% 18.2% 18.2% 35
5 Leody Taveras Leody Taveras 54 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 61 0.153 87.5 7.0% 23.1% 409 0.0% 0.0% 25.8% 28
6 Dylan Beavers Dylan Beavers 53 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 65 0.128 87.5 5.8% 22.2% 406 9.1% 12.5% 15.0% 22
7 Taylor Ward Taylor Ward 52 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 70 0.147 90.6 5.9% 0.0% 394 3.7% 9.1% 6.6% 44
8 Pete Alonso Pete Alonso 52 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 71 0.140 94.3 7.2% 17.6% 403 7.7% 8.3% 9.7% 33
9 Blaze Alexander Blaze Alexander 19 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 207 0.018 92.0 2.8% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.3% 16
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