⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
DET
@ 7:10p
NYM
Citi Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.91×
Weather Mod
+3.0%
mild air · strong partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.188
Temp
66.2°F
Wind
17.3 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kerry Carpenter Kerry Carpenter 43 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 49 0.272 92.0 · 24.0% 382 13.2% 0.0% 15.4% 15
2 Dillon Dingler Dillon Dingler 43 ⚪ D +475 🌧️ COOL 52 0.220 91.1 · 34.8% 409 16.2% 20.0% 21.5% 29
3 Spencer Torkelson Spencer Torkelson 39 ⚪ D +425 🌧️ COOL 74 0.219 91.7 · 22.2% 404 15.0% 9.1% 13.5% 27
4 Riley Greene Riley Greene 37 ⚪ D +370 🌤️ WARM 82 0.182 90.7 · 12.0% 409 7.5% 0.0% 9.5% 25
5 Matt Vierling Matt Vierling 36 ⚪ D +625 🌤️ WARM 90 0.140 88.2 · 6.7% 358 6.2% 9.1% 6.9% 32
6 Kevin McGonigle Kevin McGonigle 28 ⚪ D +525 🌧️ COOL 143 0.185 88.5 · 5.3% 407 0.0% 0.0% 8.0% 34
7 Javier Báez Javier Báez 28 ⚪ D · · 149 0.141 84.7 · 11.1% 379 8.3% 0.0% 9.2% 0
8 Gleyber Torres Gleyber Torres 20 ⚪ D · · 210 0.075 83.0 · 9.5% 376 5.0% 0.0% 6.6% 13
9 Colt Keith Colt Keith 14 ⚪ D +575 ❄ COLD 236 0.080 90.7 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.4% 24
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Juan Soto Juan Soto 38 ⚪ D +400 🌤️ WARM 76 0.218 92.7 · 7.7% 384 7.1% 9.1% 12.2% 38
2 Mark Vientos Mark Vientos 31 ⚪ D +500 🔥 HOT 124 0.111 90.4 · 9.1% 409 11.8% 15.4% 11.1% 33
3 Francisco Alvarez Francisco Alvarez 28 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 145 0.169 90.3 · 16.7% 415 0.0% 0.0% 9.5% 23
4 Francisco Lindor Francisco Lindor 28 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 150 0.129 90.9 · 10.5% 406 5.7% 0.0% 6.7% 23
5 Carson Benge Carson Benge 22 ⚪ D +950 🌤️ WARM 202 0.093 90.4 · 13.3% 403 3.8% 7.7% 7.5% 29
6 Luis Robert Jr. 20 ⚪ D · · 211 0.105 90.2 · 33.3% 400 4.2% 0.0% 10.0% 0
7 Brett Baty Brett Baty 18 ⚪ D +950 · 218 0.102 90.2 · 6.7% 414 2.6% 0.0% 6.8% 22
8 Bo Bichette Bo Bichette 15 ⚪ D +700 🌧️ COOL 233 0.089 90.7 · 12.5% 365 5.1% 0.0% 6.9% 44
9 Marcus Semien Marcus Semien 13 ⚪ D +700 🌧️ COOL 243 0.076 86.2 · 0.0% 401 2.6% 7.7% 4.7% 35
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