⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
DET
@ 7:10p
NYM
Citi Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.94×
Weather Mod
-4.0%
cool air · steady wind in · roof open
Combined
0.561
Temp
57.1°F
Wind
11.5 mph
in
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Juan Soto Juan Soto 46 ⚪ D +475 🌤️ WARM 34 0.218 92.6 · 21.4% 384 7.4% 10.0% 25.8% 38
2 Mark Vientos Mark Vientos 38 ⚪ D +850 🔥 HOT 75 0.111 90.5 · 26.3% 409 12.1% 15.4% 14.8% 29
3 Francisco Alvarez Francisco Alvarez 34 ⚪ D +525 🌤️ WARM 99 0.169 90.1 · 17.6% 415 0.0% 0.0% 10.2% 25
4 Francisco Lindor Francisco Lindor 31 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 126 0.129 90.9 · 12.5% 406 5.9% 0.0% 7.3% 25
5 Carson Benge Carson Benge 28 ⚪ D +850 🌤️ WARM 154 0.093 90.9 · 16.7% 403 4.0% 7.7% 9.2% 28
6 Luis Robert Jr. 25 ⚪ D · · 179 0.105 90.2 · 0.0% 400 4.3% 0.0% 7.9% 0
7 Bo Bichette Bo Bichette 25 ⚪ D +850 · 182 0.089 91.0 · 5.9% 365 5.3% 7.7% 6.5% 44
8 Brett Baty Brett Baty 24 ⚪ D +625 🌧️ COOL 192 0.102 89.8 · 4.8% 414 2.6% 0.0% 7.6% 22
9 Marcus Semien Marcus Semien 19 ⚪ D +700 🌧️ COOL 218 0.076 86.0 · 6.2% 401 2.6% 7.7% 6.2% 34
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kerry Carpenter Kerry Carpenter 40 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 65 0.272 92.0 · 24.0% 382 13.5% 0.0% 18.5% 17
2 Spencer Torkelson Spencer Torkelson 35 ⚪ D +525 🌧️ COOL 95 0.219 91.8 · 24.0% 404 15.4% 9.1% 9.7% 24
3 Dillon Dingler Dillon Dingler 35 ⚪ D +475 🌧️ COOL 96 0.220 90.9 · 31.8% 415 13.9% 10.0% 10.5% 31
4 Riley Greene Riley Greene 33 ⚪ D +500 🌤️ WARM 110 0.182 90.9 · 12.0% 409 7.7% 0.0% 11.4% 24
5 Matt Vierling Matt Vierling 33 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 114 0.140 88.4 · 7.7% 358 6.7% 9.1% 4.9% 32
6 Javier Báez Javier Báez 24 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 189 0.141 84.7 · 11.1% 379 8.7% 0.0% 6.4% 2
7 Kevin McGonigle Kevin McGonigle 22 ⚪ D +950 ❄ COLD 199 0.185 88.4 · 5.3% 407 0.0% 0.0% 9.6% 35
8 Gleyber Torres Gleyber Torres 13 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 236 0.075 83.0 · 9.5% 376 5.1% 0.0% 4.6% 16
9 Colt Keith Colt Keith 11 ⚪ D +850 ❄ COLD 239 0.080 90.7 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.5% 24
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