DET
@
7:10p
NYM
Park Factor
0.94×
Weather Mod
-4.0%
cool air · steady wind in · roof open
Combined
0.561
Temp
57.1°F
Wind
11.5 mph
in
Roof
open
Jack Flaherty
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Juan Soto | 46 | ⚪ D | +475 | 🌤️ WARM | 34 | 0.218 | 92.6 | · | 21.4% | 384 | 7.4% | 10.0% | 25.8% | 38 |
| 2 |
|
Mark Vientos ⚡ | 38 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🔥 HOT | 75 | 0.111 | 90.5 | · | 26.3% | 409 | 12.1% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 29 |
| 3 |
|
Francisco Alvarez | 34 | ⚪ D | +525 | 🌤️ WARM | 99 | 0.169 | 90.1 | · | 17.6% | 415 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.2% | 25 |
| 4 |
|
Francisco Lindor | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 126 | 0.129 | 90.9 | · | 12.5% | 406 | 5.9% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 25 |
| 5 |
|
Carson Benge | 28 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌤️ WARM | 154 | 0.093 | 90.9 | · | 16.7% | 403 | 4.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 28 |
| 6 | Luis Robert Jr. | 25 | ⚪ D | · | · | 179 | 0.105 | 90.2 | · | 0.0% | 400 | 4.3% | 0.0% | 7.9% | 0 | |
| 7 |
|
Bo Bichette ⚡ | 25 | ⚪ D | +850 | · | 182 | 0.089 | 91.0 | · | 5.9% | 365 | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 44 |
| 8 |
|
Brett Baty | 24 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🌧️ COOL | 192 | 0.102 | 89.8 | · | 4.8% | 414 | 2.6% | 0.0% | 7.6% | 22 |
| 9 |
|
Marcus Semien | 19 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌧️ COOL | 218 | 0.076 | 86.0 | · | 6.2% | 401 | 2.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 34 |
Freddy Peralta
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kerry Carpenter | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 65 | 0.272 | 92.0 | · | 24.0% | 382 | 13.5% | 0.0% | 18.5% | 17 |
| 2 |
|
Spencer Torkelson | 35 | ⚪ D | +525 | 🌧️ COOL | 95 | 0.219 | 91.8 | · | 24.0% | 404 | 15.4% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 24 |
| 3 |
|
Dillon Dingler | 35 | ⚪ D | +475 | 🌧️ COOL | 96 | 0.220 | 90.9 | · | 31.8% | 415 | 13.9% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 31 |
| 4 |
|
Riley Greene | 33 | ⚪ D | +500 | 🌤️ WARM | 110 | 0.182 | 90.9 | · | 12.0% | 409 | 7.7% | 0.0% | 11.4% | 24 |
| 5 |
|
Matt Vierling | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 114 | 0.140 | 88.4 | · | 7.7% | 358 | 6.7% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 32 |
| 6 |
|
Javier Báez | 24 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 189 | 0.141 | 84.7 | · | 11.1% | 379 | 8.7% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 2 |
| 7 |
|
Kevin McGonigle ⚡ | 22 | ⚪ D | +950 | ❄ COLD | 199 | 0.185 | 88.4 | · | 5.3% | 407 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.6% | 35 |
| 8 |
|
Gleyber Torres | 13 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 236 | 0.075 | 83.0 | · | 9.5% | 376 | 5.1% | 0.0% | 4.6% | 16 |
| 9 |
|
Colt Keith | 11 | ⚪ D | +850 | ❄ COLD | 239 | 0.080 | 90.7 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.5% | 24 |