DET
@
7:15p
ATL
Park Factor
1.13×
Weather Mod
-4.0%
cool air · steady wind in · roof open
Combined
0.678
Temp
57.5°F
Wind
12.7 mph
in
Roof
open
Casey Mize
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Matt Olson | 87 | 🟢 A | · | · | 4 | 0.313 | 92.1 | 17.7% | 36.8% | 416 | 25.9% | 36.4% | 27.4% | 40 |
| 2 | Michael Harris II | 82 | 🟢 A | · | · | 10 | 0.236 | 95.4 | 19.7% | 35.7% | 391 | 19.2% | 30.0% | 24.5% | 34 | |
| 3 |
|
Drake Baldwin | 72 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 27 | 0.210 | 90.5 | 15.9% | 27.8% | 400 | 25.9% | 18.2% | 14.1% | 35 |
| 4 |
|
Ronald Acuña Jr. | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 63 | 0.119 | 88.6 | 13.4% | 11.8% | 411 | 15.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 34 |
| 5 |
|
Dominic Smith | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 66 | 0.222 | 89.5 | 8.8% | 22.2% | 398 | 13.0% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 28 |
| 6 |
|
Austin Riley | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 79 | 0.136 | 90.4 | 9.0% | 10.0% | 385 | 7.4% | 18.2% | 14.8% | 37 |
| 7 |
|
Ozzie Albies | 43 | ⚪ D | · | · | 111 | 0.175 | 86.2 | 3.3% | 18.2% | 379 | 14.8% | 18.2% | 9.1% | 47 |
| 8 |
|
Mauricio Dubón | 33 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 157 | 0.151 | 87.2 | 6.8% | 13.3% | 393 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.7% | 30 |
| 9 |
|
Mike Yastrzemski | 24 | ⚪ D | · | · | 198 | 0.059 | 91.2 | 3.4% | 13.3% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 24 |
Martín Pérez
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Spencer Torkelson | 82 | 🟢 A | · | 🔥 HOT | 11 | 0.236 | 90.4 | 13.2% | 0.0% | 406 | 17.9% | 38.5% | 20.8% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Dillon Dingler | 80 | 🟢 A | · | · | 15 | 0.226 | 91.5 | 18.8% | 28.6% | 410 | 15.4% | 18.2% | 23.4% | 34 |
| 3 |
|
Kerry Carpenter | 77 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 19 | 0.289 | 93.2 | 12.2% | 30.0% | 382 | 19.2% | 18.2% | 36.1% | 19 |
| 4 |
|
Riley Greene | 66 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 37 | 0.165 | 89.8 | 14.5% | 12.5% | 406 | 10.7% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 29 |
| 5 |
|
Kevin McGonigle | 57 | 🟠 C | · | · | 56 | 0.198 | 88.1 | 12.2% | 6.1% | 408 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.5% | 0 |
| 6 |
|
Gleyber Torres | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 98 | 0.080 | 83.2 | 5.3% | 9.5% | 364 | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 37 |
| 7 |
|
Matt Vierling | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 122 | 0.150 | 88.1 | 2.5% | 10.0% | 350 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.3% | 30 |
| 8 |
|
Javier Báez | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 123 | 0.145 | 85.0 | 3.4% | 16.7% | 379 | 15.4% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 31 |
| 9 |
|
Colt Keith | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 138 | 0.085 | 94.2 | 8.3% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 24 |