⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
DET
@ 7:15p
ATL
Truist Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.13×
Weather Mod
-4.0%
cool air · steady wind in · roof open
Combined
0.678
Temp
57.5°F
Wind
12.7 mph
in
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Matt Olson Matt Olson 87 🟢 A · · 4 0.313 92.1 17.7% 36.8% 416 25.9% 36.4% 27.4% 40
2 Michael Harris II 82 🟢 A · · 10 0.236 95.4 19.7% 35.7% 391 19.2% 30.0% 24.5% 34
3 Drake Baldwin Drake Baldwin 72 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 27 0.210 90.5 15.9% 27.8% 400 25.9% 18.2% 14.1% 35
4 Ronald Acuña Jr. Ronald Acuña Jr. 54 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 63 0.119 88.6 13.4% 11.8% 411 15.4% 9.1% 9.0% 34
5 Dominic Smith Dominic Smith 53 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 66 0.222 89.5 8.8% 22.2% 398 13.0% 10.0% 11.9% 28
6 Austin Riley Austin Riley 50 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 79 0.136 90.4 9.0% 10.0% 385 7.4% 18.2% 14.8% 37
7 Ozzie Albies Ozzie Albies 43 ⚪ D · · 111 0.175 86.2 3.3% 18.2% 379 14.8% 18.2% 9.1% 47
8 Mauricio Dubón Mauricio Dubón 33 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 157 0.151 87.2 6.8% 13.3% 393 0.0% 0.0% 10.7% 30
9 Mike Yastrzemski Mike Yastrzemski 24 ⚪ D · · 198 0.059 91.2 3.4% 13.3% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.2% 24
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Spencer Torkelson Spencer Torkelson 82 🟢 A · 🔥 HOT 11 0.236 90.4 13.2% 0.0% 406 17.9% 38.5% 20.8% 28
2 Dillon Dingler Dillon Dingler 80 🟢 A · · 15 0.226 91.5 18.8% 28.6% 410 15.4% 18.2% 23.4% 34
3 Kerry Carpenter Kerry Carpenter 77 🟡 B · 🌧️ COOL 19 0.289 93.2 12.2% 30.0% 382 19.2% 18.2% 36.1% 19
4 Riley Greene Riley Greene 66 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 37 0.165 89.8 14.5% 12.5% 406 10.7% 15.4% 15.8% 29
5 Kevin McGonigle Kevin McGonigle 57 🟠 C · · 56 0.198 88.1 12.2% 6.1% 408 0.0% 0.0% 14.5% 0
6 Gleyber Torres Gleyber Torres 46 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 98 0.080 83.2 5.3% 9.5% 364 7.1% 7.7% 8.7% 37
7 Matt Vierling Matt Vierling 40 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 122 0.150 88.1 2.5% 10.0% 350 0.0% 0.0% 10.3% 30
8 Javier Báez Javier Báez 40 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 123 0.145 85.0 3.4% 16.7% 379 15.4% 9.1% 10.7% 31
9 Colt Keith Colt Keith 37 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 138 0.085 94.2 8.3% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.1% 24
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