⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
CWS
@ 9:40p
AZ
Chase Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.82×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
mild air · light wind in · retractable roof
Combined
0.817
Temp
66.0°F
Wind
2.3 mph
in
Roof
retractable
Merrill Kelly
Merrill Kelly RHP 💥 Meltdown
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Everson Pereira Everson Pereira 80 🟢 A · ❄ COLD 12 0.352 93.6 27.3% 42.9% 410 66.7% 50.0% 24.1% 16
2 Colson Montgomery Colson Montgomery 75 🟡 B · 🔥 HOT 17 0.253 85.4 10.3% 33.3% 379 50.0% 40.0% 24.8% 25
3 Munetaka Murakami Munetaka Murakami 73 🟡 B · · 20 0.334 92.8 21.2% 50.0% 399 0.0% 0.0% 21.2% 0
4 Miguel Vargas Miguel Vargas 58 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 48 0.187 86.4 9.8% 14.3% 402 28.6% 33.3% 10.2% 36
5 Andrew Benintendi Andrew Benintendi 52 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 70 0.164 89.8 10.0% 7.7% · 16.7% 20.0% 7.2% 23
6 Chase Meidroth Chase Meidroth 29 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 178 0.105 87.6 4.4% 7.1% 417 0.0% 0.0% 5.7% 35
7 Luisangel Acuña Luisangel Acuña 20 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 210 0.016 87.8 2.2% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.1% 27
8 Edgar Quero Edgar Quero 15 ⚪ D · · 225 0.019 89.8 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.2% 23
9 Tristan Peters Tristan Peters 11 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 239 0.024 83.3 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.5% 12
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Corbin Carroll Corbin Carroll 67 🔵 C+ · · 34 0.300 91.9 12.2% 21.4% 407 33.3% 33.3% 13.1% 25
2 Jorge Barrosa Jorge Barrosa 54 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 61 0.240 84.9 7.7% 11.1% · 14.3% 14.3% 11.3% 25
3 Ildemaro Vargas Ildemaro Vargas 45 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 93 0.228 86.4 8.6% 33.3% 405 14.3% 14.3% 12.6% 39
4 Ketel Marte Ketel Marte 41 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 107 0.169 92.4 9.6% 26.7% 411 0.0% 0.0% 16.2% 34
5 Nolan Arenado Nolan Arenado 39 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 126 0.137 83.8 4.5% 21.4% 399 11.8% 20.0% 12.4% 35
6 Jose Fernandez Jose Fernandez 38 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 132 0.133 86.0 9.4% 33.3% 409 0.0% 0.0% 11.8% 25
7 Gabriel Moreno Gabriel Moreno 30 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 174 0.125 87.4 9.1% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.1% 8
8 Geraldo Perdomo Geraldo Perdomo 22 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 205 0.085 86.7 1.8% 7.7% 398 0.0% 0.0% 5.9% 32
9 Alek Thomas Alek Thomas 19 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 213 0.115 92.2 5.7% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.3% 26
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