⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
COL
@ 9:40p
SD
Petco Park · 17 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.90×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light wind in · roof open
Combined
0.810
Temp
56.1°F
Wind
3.2 mph
in
Roof
open
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Mickey Moniak Mickey Moniak 64 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 25 0.249 89.7 11.5% 16.8% 411 22.2% 22.2% 27.7% 20
2 Ezequiel Tovar Ezequiel Tovar 51 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 86 0.147 89.4 9.4% 9.0% 406 9.1% 9.1% 7.2% 36
3 Brenton Doyle Brenton Doyle 42 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 151 0.143 89.9 10.1% 11.2% 408 9.1% 9.1% 7.8% 25
4 Edouard Julien Edouard Julien 41 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 160 0.104 89.2 10.8% 10.3% 391 0.0% 0.0% 6.9% 18
5 Willi Castro Willi Castro 37 ⚪ D · · 189 0.139 86.7 7.9% 10.1% 392 0.0% 0.0% 7.2% 26
6 Kyle Karros Kyle Karros 27 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 232 0.051 87.9 3.1% 3.3% 381 0.0% 0.0% 3.9% 24
7 TJ Rumfield 24 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 238 0.117 87.1 5.1% 8.2% 385 0.0% 0.0% 6.1% 31
8 Tyler Freeman Tyler Freeman 20 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 244 0.080 90.1 4.5% 2.3% 410 0.0% 0.0% 3.3% 10
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jackson Merrill Jackson Merrill 57 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 50 0.193 89.7 12.4% 11.9% 391 22.2% 22.2% 11.2% 39
2 Ramón Laureano Ramón Laureano 56 🟠 C · · 56 0.231 90.3 12.8% 19.7% 398 0.0% 0.0% 16.7% 32
3 Fernando Tatis Jr. Fernando Tatis Jr. 51 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 85 0.178 93.3 11.3% 15.8% 409 0.0% 0.0% 11.5% 32
4 Manny Machado Manny Machado 49 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 98 0.185 92.9 12.3% 13.1% 396 11.1% 11.1% 10.9% 25
5 Luis Campusano Luis Campusano 46 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 118 0.203 87.8 9.4% 12.7% · 0.0% 0.0% 11.8% 9
6 Jake Cronenworth Jake Cronenworth 42 ⚪ D · · 153 0.131 88.5 8.6% 9.1% 396 11.1% 11.1% 6.4% 33
7 Xander Bogaerts Xander Bogaerts 42 ⚪ D · · 155 0.128 89.0 9.0% 7.8% 389 11.1% 11.1% 6.0% 44
8 Miguel Andujar Miguel Andujar 40 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 165 0.153 88.0 7.4% 10.5% 377 0.0% 0.0% 8.1% 20
9 Gavin Sheets Gavin Sheets 39 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 176 0.177 89.9 10.6% 11.9% 402 0.0% 0.0% 9.9% 27
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