COL
@
9:40p
SD
Park Factor
0.90×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light wind in · roof open
Combined
0.810
Temp
56.1°F
Wind
3.2 mph
in
Roof
open
Walker Buehler
RHP
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Mickey Moniak | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 25 | 0.249 | 89.7 | 11.5% | 16.8% | 411 | 22.2% | 22.2% | 27.7% | 20 |
| 2 |
|
Ezequiel Tovar | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 86 | 0.147 | 89.4 | 9.4% | 9.0% | 406 | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 36 |
| 3 |
|
Brenton Doyle | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 151 | 0.143 | 89.9 | 10.1% | 11.2% | 408 | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 25 |
| 4 |
|
Edouard Julien | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 160 | 0.104 | 89.2 | 10.8% | 10.3% | 391 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.9% | 18 |
| 5 |
|
Willi Castro | 37 | ⚪ D | · | · | 189 | 0.139 | 86.7 | 7.9% | 10.1% | 392 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 26 |
| 6 |
|
Kyle Karros | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 232 | 0.051 | 87.9 | 3.1% | 3.3% | 381 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.9% | 24 |
| 7 | TJ Rumfield | 24 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 238 | 0.117 | 87.1 | 5.1% | 8.2% | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.1% | 31 | |
| 8 |
|
Tyler Freeman | 20 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 244 | 0.080 | 90.1 | 4.5% | 2.3% | 410 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.3% | 10 |
Tomoyuki Sugano
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jackson Merrill | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 50 | 0.193 | 89.7 | 12.4% | 11.9% | 391 | 22.2% | 22.2% | 11.2% | 39 |
| 2 |
|
Ramón Laureano | 56 | 🟠 C | · | · | 56 | 0.231 | 90.3 | 12.8% | 19.7% | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.7% | 32 |
| 3 |
|
Fernando Tatis Jr. | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 85 | 0.178 | 93.3 | 11.3% | 15.8% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.5% | 32 |
| 4 |
|
Manny Machado | 49 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 98 | 0.185 | 92.9 | 12.3% | 13.1% | 396 | 11.1% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 25 |
| 5 |
|
Luis Campusano | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 118 | 0.203 | 87.8 | 9.4% | 12.7% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.8% | 9 |
| 6 |
|
Jake Cronenworth | 42 | ⚪ D | · | · | 153 | 0.131 | 88.5 | 8.6% | 9.1% | 396 | 11.1% | 11.1% | 6.4% | 33 |
| 7 |
|
Xander Bogaerts | 42 | ⚪ D | · | · | 155 | 0.128 | 89.0 | 9.0% | 7.8% | 389 | 11.1% | 11.1% | 6.0% | 44 |
| 8 |
|
Miguel Andujar | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 165 | 0.153 | 88.0 | 7.4% | 10.5% | 377 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 20 |
| 9 |
|
Gavin Sheets | 39 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 176 | 0.177 | 89.9 | 10.6% | 11.9% | 402 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.9% | 27 |