⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
COL
@ 6:40p
PIT
PNC Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.76×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light wind in · roof open
Combined
0.687
Temp
60.0°F
Wind
2.0 mph
in
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 51 🟠 C +750 🌤️ WARM 21 0.275 88.6 · 33.3% 402 13.3% 27.3% 34.3% 33
2 Oneil Cruz Oneil Cruz 41 ⚪ D +700 ❄ COLD 62 0.265 95.8 · 33.3% 410 27.3% 18.2% 23.4% 35
3 Spencer Horwitz Spencer Horwitz 30 ⚪ D +950 🌤️ WARM 139 0.136 86.4 · 16.0% 385 3.3% 9.1% 9.0% 34
4 Ryan O'Hearn Ryan O'Hearn 28 ⚪ D +1000 🌧️ COOL 156 0.183 90.4 · 15.4% 388 9.1% 9.1% 12.1% 36
5 Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds 25 ⚪ D +1000 · 183 0.119 91.8 · 12.5% 415 11.8% 9.1% 8.3% 28
6 Konnor Griffin Konnor Griffin 24 ⚪ D +950 🌤️ WARM 191 0.115 88.4 · 21.4% 401 4.8% 9.1% 8.1% 32
7 Marcell Ozuna Marcell Ozuna 19 ⚪ D +1000 · 219 0.080 89.2 · 9.1% 400 8.3% 10.0% 8.4% 26
8 Nick Yorke Nick Yorke 17 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 224 0.089 89.5 · 0.0% 394 5.0% 0.0% 5.6% 7
9 Nick Gonzales Nick Gonzales 8 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 248 0.049 86.7 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 4.7% 36
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Hunter Goodman Hunter Goodman 47 ⚪ D +950 · 32 0.318 92.8 · 28.6% 402 21.2% 18.2% 25.7% 30
2 Mickey Moniak Mickey Moniak 43 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 50 0.345 89.5 · 30.0% 421 20.6% 18.2% 23.3% 25
3 Edouard Julien Edouard Julien 24 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 193 0.141 91.7 · 17.6% 389 5.7% 9.1% 8.2% 16
4 TJ Rumfield 23 ⚪ D · · 198 0.154 85.9 · 20.0% 412 7.4% 16.7% 7.8% 39
5 Willi Castro Willi Castro 16 ⚪ D · · 230 0.110 88.9 · 11.8% 406 4.2% 8.3% 5.7% 28
6 Troy Johnston Troy Johnston 14 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 233 0.142 89.5 · 20.0% 415 0.0% 0.0% 6.8% 22
7 Ezequiel Tovar Ezequiel Tovar 10 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 244 0.097 87.3 · 10.7% 401 2.9% 0.0% 6.1% 24
8 Kyle Karros Kyle Karros 10 ⚪ D · · 245 0.068 89.4 · 10.0% 448 3.7% 0.0% 6.2% 19
9 Brenton Doyle Brenton Doyle 4 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 252 0.073 88.1 · 7.7% 408 3.0% 0.0% 5.9% 14
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