COL
@
6:40p
PIT
Park Factor
0.76×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light wind in · roof open
Combined
0.687
Temp
60.0°F
Wind
2.0 mph
in
Roof
open
Michael Lorenzen
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Brandon Lowe | 51 | 🟠 C | +750 | 🌤️ WARM | 21 | 0.275 | 88.6 | · | 33.3% | 402 | 13.3% | 27.3% | 34.3% | 33 |
| 2 |
|
Oneil Cruz | 41 | ⚪ D | +700 | ❄ COLD | 62 | 0.265 | 95.8 | · | 33.3% | 410 | 27.3% | 18.2% | 23.4% | 35 |
| 3 |
|
Spencer Horwitz | 30 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌤️ WARM | 139 | 0.136 | 86.4 | · | 16.0% | 385 | 3.3% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 34 |
| 4 |
|
Ryan O'Hearn | 28 | ⚪ D | +1000 | 🌧️ COOL | 156 | 0.183 | 90.4 | · | 15.4% | 388 | 9.1% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 36 |
| 5 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 25 | ⚪ D | +1000 | · | 183 | 0.119 | 91.8 | · | 12.5% | 415 | 11.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 28 |
| 6 |
|
Konnor Griffin | 24 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌤️ WARM | 191 | 0.115 | 88.4 | · | 21.4% | 401 | 4.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 32 |
| 7 |
|
Marcell Ozuna | 19 | ⚪ D | +1000 | · | 219 | 0.080 | 89.2 | · | 9.1% | 400 | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 26 |
| 8 |
|
Nick Yorke | 17 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 224 | 0.089 | 89.5 | · | 0.0% | 394 | 5.0% | 0.0% | 5.6% | 7 |
| 9 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 8 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 248 | 0.049 | 86.7 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.7% | 36 |
Paul Skenes
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Hunter Goodman | 47 | ⚪ D | +950 | · | 32 | 0.318 | 92.8 | · | 28.6% | 402 | 21.2% | 18.2% | 25.7% | 30 |
| 2 |
|
Mickey Moniak | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 50 | 0.345 | 89.5 | · | 30.0% | 421 | 20.6% | 18.2% | 23.3% | 25 |
| 3 |
|
Edouard Julien | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 193 | 0.141 | 91.7 | · | 17.6% | 389 | 5.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 16 |
| 4 | TJ Rumfield | 23 | ⚪ D | · | · | 198 | 0.154 | 85.9 | · | 20.0% | 412 | 7.4% | 16.7% | 7.8% | 39 | |
| 5 |
|
Willi Castro | 16 | ⚪ D | · | · | 230 | 0.110 | 88.9 | · | 11.8% | 406 | 4.2% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 28 |
| 6 |
|
Troy Johnston | 14 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 233 | 0.142 | 89.5 | · | 20.0% | 415 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.8% | 22 |
| 7 |
|
Ezequiel Tovar | 10 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 244 | 0.097 | 87.3 | · | 10.7% | 401 | 2.9% | 0.0% | 6.1% | 24 |
| 8 |
|
Kyle Karros | 10 | ⚪ D | · | · | 245 | 0.068 | 89.4 | · | 10.0% | 448 | 3.7% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 19 |
| 9 |
|
Brenton Doyle | 4 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 252 | 0.073 | 88.1 | · | 7.7% | 408 | 3.0% | 0.0% | 5.9% | 14 |