⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
CIN
@ 7:10p
NYM
Citi Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.03×
Weather Mod
+4.0%
warm air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
1.441
Temp
77.5°F
Wind
13.8 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Juan Soto Juan Soto 73 🟡 B +450 · 12 0.253 93.0 10.9% 12.5% 405 20.5% 54.5% 27.0% 36
2 Mark Vientos Mark Vientos 49 ⚪ D +850 · 91 0.170 90.5 7.8% 14.3% 406 10.9% 8.3% 11.0% 44
3 Bo Bichette Bo Bichette 47 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 104 0.097 90.8 6.6% 33.3% 389 7.7% 15.4% 13.5% 47
4 Brett Baty Brett Baty 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 119 0.114 89.9 7.3% 9.1% 415 5.8% 15.4% 10.9% 30
5 Marcus Semien Marcus Semien 38 ⚪ D · · 160 0.098 85.9 6.8% 9.1% 398 5.8% 15.4% 7.8% 43
6 Carson Benge Carson Benge 37 ⚪ D +900 🌤️ WARM 170 0.086 89.8 7.0% 8.6% 403 2.6% 0.0% 8.1% 49
7 Eric Wagaman Eric Wagaman 31 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 217 · 83.0 10.1% 0.0% 389 0.0% 0.0% 10.9% 1
8 A.J. Ewing 26 ⚪ D · · 238 · 87.8 7.9% 0.0% 405 0.0% 0.0% 10.2% 0
9 Luis Torrens Luis Torrens 21 ⚪ D · · 251 0.072 88.5 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.6% 26
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Nathaniel Lowe Nathaniel Lowe 62 🔵 C+ +800 🌤️ WARM 43 0.277 90.6 4.5% 42.1% 399 23.1% 20.0% 26.0% 23
2 JJ Bleday JJ Bleday 56 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 62 0.322 91.7 4.4% 31.6% 389 14.3% 20.0% 23.8% 36
3 Elly De La Cruz Elly De La Cruz 54 🟠 C · · 74 0.244 94.1 4.5% 21.2% 394 17.3% 21.4% 16.4% 31
4 Sal Stewart Sal Stewart 45 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 114 0.221 91.0 4.8% 21.6% 393 10.3% 14.3% 18.7% 31
5 Spencer Steer Spencer Steer 36 ⚪ D +950 🌧️ COOL 172 0.182 89.8 4.3% 11.8% 392 9.8% 0.0% 10.3% 40
6 Tyler Stephenson Tyler Stephenson 35 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 187 0.139 90.8 4.2% 14.8% 383 6.7% 20.0% 13.9% 19
7 Eugenio Suárez Eugenio Suárez 28 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 230 0.122 85.3 3.3% 18.2% 397 3.4% 0.0% 8.2% 8
8 Blake Dunn Blake Dunn 27 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 234 0.171 89.7 3.0% 0.0% 393 0.0% 0.0% 7.8% 29
9 TJ Friedl TJ Friedl 24 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 244 0.090 88.1 1.9% 8.3% 364 4.8% 0.0% 7.1% 7
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