CIN
@
7:10p
NYM
Park Factor
1.07×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
warm air · steady crosswind · roof open
Combined
1.180
Temp
79.6°F
Wind
10.4 mph
cross
Roof
open
Chase Burns
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Juan Soto | 75 | 🟡 B | · | · | 9 | 0.253 | 93.0 | 13.2% | 33.3% | 405 | 18.4% | 45.5% | 41.2% | 37 |
| 2 |
|
MJ Melendez | 46 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 89 | 0.153 | 94.0 | 11.3% | 11.1% | 373 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 11.8% | 12 |
| 3 |
|
Bo Bichette | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 94 | 0.097 | 90.8 | 8.1% | 3.2% | 389 | 7.8% | 15.4% | 8.4% | 47 |
| 4 |
|
Brett Baty | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 107 | 0.114 | 89.9 | 8.9% | 12.5% | 415 | 5.9% | 15.4% | 12.6% | 33 |
| 5 |
|
Jared Young | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 141 | 0.071 | 88.7 | 12.3% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.2% | 33 |
| 6 |
|
Marcus Semien | 38 | ⚪ D | +900 | · | 159 | 0.098 | 85.9 | 8.3% | 8.1% | 398 | 5.9% | 15.4% | 7.1% | 45 |
| 7 |
|
Carson Benge | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 160 | 0.086 | 89.8 | 8.5% | 10.7% | 403 | 2.6% | 0.0% | 10.0% | 51 |
| 8 | A.J. Ewing | 26 | ⚪ D | +900 | · | 223 | · | 87.8 | 9.6% | 0.0% | 405 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.0% | 0 | |
| 9 |
|
Luis Torrens | 23 | ⚪ D | · | · | 234 | 0.072 | 88.5 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.1% | 26 |
David Peterson
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
JJ Bleday | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 33 | 0.322 | 91.7 | 8.2% | 14.3% | 389 | 15.0% | 22.2% | 27.6% | 36 |
| 2 |
|
Elly De La Cruz | 61 | 🔵 C+ | +250 | · | 44 | 0.244 | 94.1 | 8.3% | 35.3% | 394 | 17.6% | 21.4% | 22.0% | 31 |
| 3 |
|
Sal Stewart | 52 | 🟠 C | +850 | 🌧️ COOL | 64 | 0.221 | 91.0 | 8.8% | 36.4% | 393 | 10.5% | 14.3% | 19.5% | 32 |
| 4 |
|
Dane Myers | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 123 | 0.141 | 90.3 | 7.4% | 14.3% | 378 | 9.5% | 50.0% | 13.1% | 16 |
| 5 |
|
Matt McLain | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 127 | 0.138 | 88.1 | 5.9% | 27.3% | 398 | 8.2% | 16.7% | 10.8% | 33 |
| 6 |
|
Spencer Steer | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 132 | 0.182 | 89.8 | 8.0% | 23.5% | 392 | 10.0% | 0.0% | 11.2% | 42 |
| 7 |
|
Tyler Stephenson | 40 | ⚪ D | +305 | 🌧️ COOL | 148 | 0.139 | 90.8 | 7.8% | 9.1% | 383 | 6.8% | 20.0% | 11.9% | 20 |
| 8 |
|
Eugenio Suárez | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 193 | 0.122 | 85.3 | 6.0% | 20.0% | 397 | 3.6% | 0.0% | 9.7% | 5 |
| 9 |
|
Blake Dunn | 32 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 197 | 0.171 | 89.7 | 5.6% | 14.3% | 393 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.4% | 26 |