⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
CIN
@ 7:10p
NYM
Citi Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.07×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
warm air · steady crosswind · roof open
Combined
1.180
Temp
79.6°F
Wind
10.4 mph
cross
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Juan Soto Juan Soto 75 🟡 B · · 9 0.253 93.0 13.2% 33.3% 405 18.4% 45.5% 41.2% 37
2 MJ Melendez MJ Melendez 46 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 89 0.153 94.0 11.3% 11.1% 373 25.0% 0.0% 11.8% 12
3 Bo Bichette Bo Bichette 46 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 94 0.097 90.8 8.1% 3.2% 389 7.8% 15.4% 8.4% 47
4 Brett Baty Brett Baty 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 107 0.114 89.9 8.9% 12.5% 415 5.9% 15.4% 12.6% 33
5 Jared Young Jared Young 41 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 141 0.071 88.7 12.3% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 10.2% 33
6 Marcus Semien Marcus Semien 38 ⚪ D +900 · 159 0.098 85.9 8.3% 8.1% 398 5.9% 15.4% 7.1% 45
7 Carson Benge Carson Benge 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 160 0.086 89.8 8.5% 10.7% 403 2.6% 0.0% 10.0% 51
8 A.J. Ewing 26 ⚪ D +900 · 223 · 87.8 9.6% 0.0% 405 0.0% 0.0% 11.0% 0
9 Luis Torrens Luis Torrens 23 ⚪ D · · 234 0.072 88.5 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.1% 26
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 JJ Bleday JJ Bleday 64 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 33 0.322 91.7 8.2% 14.3% 389 15.0% 22.2% 27.6% 36
2 Elly De La Cruz Elly De La Cruz 61 🔵 C+ +250 · 44 0.244 94.1 8.3% 35.3% 394 17.6% 21.4% 22.0% 31
3 Sal Stewart Sal Stewart 52 🟠 C +850 🌧️ COOL 64 0.221 91.0 8.8% 36.4% 393 10.5% 14.3% 19.5% 32
4 Dane Myers Dane Myers 44 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 123 0.141 90.3 7.4% 14.3% 378 9.5% 50.0% 13.1% 16
5 Matt McLain Matt McLain 43 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 127 0.138 88.1 5.9% 27.3% 398 8.2% 16.7% 10.8% 33
6 Spencer Steer Spencer Steer 42 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 132 0.182 89.8 8.0% 23.5% 392 10.0% 0.0% 11.2% 42
7 Tyler Stephenson Tyler Stephenson 40 ⚪ D +305 🌧️ COOL 148 0.139 90.8 7.8% 9.1% 383 6.8% 20.0% 11.9% 20
8 Eugenio Suárez Eugenio Suárez 33 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 193 0.122 85.3 6.0% 20.0% 397 3.6% 0.0% 9.7% 5
9 Blake Dunn Blake Dunn 32 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 197 0.171 89.7 5.6% 14.3% 393 0.0% 0.0% 9.4% 26
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