CIN
@
4:10p
NYM
Park Factor
1.05×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
warm air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
1.050
Temp
74.0°F
Wind
3.4 mph
out
Roof
open
Nolan McLean
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Nathaniel Lowe | 74 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 6 | 0.273 | 90.7 | 9.7% | 44.4% | 399 | 24.0% | 20.0% | 36.3% | 21 |
| 2 |
|
Elly De La Cruz | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 27 | 0.250 | 94.1 | 9.6% | 21.2% | 394 | 18.0% | 23.1% | 23.4% | 30 |
| 3 |
|
JJ Bleday | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 38 | 0.303 | 91.6 | 9.0% | 27.8% | 386 | 10.5% | 12.5% | 22.1% | 34 |
| 4 |
|
Sal Stewart | 55 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 58 | 0.225 | 90.9 | 10.1% | 21.6% | 393 | 10.8% | 15.4% | 25.4% | 31 |
| 5 |
|
Spencer Steer | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 100 | 0.186 | 90.0 | 9.3% | 11.8% | 392 | 10.2% | 0.0% | 14.1% | 39 |
| 6 |
|
Matt McLain | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 101 | 0.141 | 88.1 | 6.8% | 7.5% | 398 | 8.3% | 18.2% | 13.1% | 31 |
| 7 |
|
Blake Dunn | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 143 | 0.190 | 89.9 | 6.7% | 0.0% | 393 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.6% | 23 |
| 8 |
|
Eugenio Suárez | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 168 | 0.117 | 84.9 | 7.0% | 18.2% | 397 | 3.7% | 0.0% | 13.6% | 2 |
| 9 |
|
Tyler Stephenson | 34 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 169 | 0.121 | 90.6 | 8.6% | 11.5% | 388 | 4.7% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 19 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Mark Vientos | 63 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 32 | 0.178 | 90.6 | 14.3% | 14.3% | 406 | 11.1% | 8.3% | 14.0% | 44 |
| 2 |
|
Bo Bichette | 59 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 43 | 0.100 | 90.9 | 12.1% | 33.3% | 389 | 8.0% | 16.7% | 17.6% | 44 |
| 3 |
|
Tyrone Taylor | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 49 | 0.132 | 86.3 | 11.2% | 14.3% | 401 | 11.1% | 0.0% | 11.1% | 19 |
| 4 |
|
Brett Baty | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 50 | 0.113 | 90.2 | 13.5% | 9.4% | 415 | 6.0% | 16.7% | 12.7% | 30 |
| 5 |
|
Carson Benge | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 80 | 0.089 | 90.2 | 12.7% | 8.6% | 403 | 2.7% | 0.0% | 9.3% | 48 |
| 6 |
|
Marcus Semien | 45 | ⚪ D | · | · | 102 | 0.088 | 85.7 | 11.9% | 0.0% | 396 | 4.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 41 |
| 7 | A.J. Ewing | 40 | ⚪ D | · | · | 134 | · | 88.0 | 15.2% | 0.0% | 405 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.1% | 0 | |
| 8 |
|
Luis Torrens | 29 | ⚪ D | · | · | 189 | 0.075 | 89.0 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.0% | 24 |
| 9 |
|
Nick Morabito | 24 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 208 | 0.063 | 87.3 | 4.5% | 0.0% | 408 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.0% | 18 |