⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
CHC
@
TB
Tropicana Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.99×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
0.990
Wind
0 mph
dome
Jameson Taillon
Jameson Taillon RHP 💥 Meltdown
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Junior Caminero Junior Caminero 63 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 17 0.271 92.4 10.7% 24.5% 392 14.3% 14.3% 20.2% 31
2 Yandy Diaz Yandy Diaz 61 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 22 0.182 93.0 8.2% 18.2% 379 40.0% 40.0% 14.2% 37
3 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 58 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 27 0.221 91.1 10.2% 22.0% 400 14.3% 14.3% 29.2% 26
4 Jonathan Aranda Jonathan Aranda 54 🟠 C · · 40 0.173 93.0 10.2% 14.7% 398 14.3% 14.3% 13.2% 34
5 Christopher Morel Christopher Morel 48 ⚪ D · · 63 0.176 91.8 10.9% 14.5% 404 0.0% 0.0% 14.0% 0
6 Josh Lowe Josh Lowe 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 91 0.146 88.6 6.9% 12.9% 392 0.0% 0.0% 8.8% 20
7 Taylor Walls Taylor Walls 26 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 199 0.099 87.0 5.1% 4.8% 388 0.0% 0.0% 4.8% 27
8 Jake Mangum Jake Mangum 20 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 210 0.072 87.3 4.6% 4.1% 405 0.0% 0.0% 4.4% 21
9 Chandler Simpson Chandler Simpson 17 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 212 0.051 84.3 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 1.1% 35
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ian Happ Ian Happ 62 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 19 0.178 90.0 9.6% 13.3% 393 55.6% 55.6% 21.8% 19
2 Seiya Suzuki Seiya Suzuki 57 🟠 C · · 28 0.233 91.3 12.2% 16.5% 398 0.0% 0.0% 23.6% 0
3 Dansby Swanson Dansby Swanson 56 🟠 C · · 33 0.173 90.5 10.2% 15.5% 403 22.2% 22.2% 13.6% 21
4 Michael Busch Michael Busch 54 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 39 0.261 92.2 12.3% 20.9% 397 0.0% 0.0% 22.3% 29
5 Matt Shaw Matt Shaw 49 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 57 0.168 84.9 7.8% 10.8% 387 25.0% 25.0% 18.5% 24
6 Pete Crow-Armstrong Pete Crow-Armstrong 48 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 61 0.234 89.5 10.8% 14.2% 395 0.0% 0.0% 17.6% 26
7 Carson Kelly Carson Kelly 48 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 64 0.179 88.8 9.2% 13.6% 386 0.0% 0.0% 13.2% 20
8 Kyle Tucker Kyle Tucker 45 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 85 0.198 90.1 9.8% 11.8% 393 0.0% 0.0% 13.6% 27
9 Nico Hoerner Nico Hoerner 30 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 171 0.097 86.7 4.5% 3.7% 379 0.0% 0.0% 5.0% 29
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